TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13076930
Played Sep 4Finished
Mikolaj Lukaszewski
Home
3.75
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
81115131210118––
Aleksander Lilien
Away
1.22
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:38 and never touched — 60.7% is still 60.7%
Graded at full timeAleksander Lilien to win
60.7%
60.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
88 points played in total.
Set by set
81115131210118––
H2H Mikolaj Lukaszewski 9–15 Aleksander Lilien Mikolaj Lukaszewski has won 9 of their 24 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 10:38What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.22 (75%)
Lilien
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
9-15 in 24
Lilien
Wrong
gap of 6 in 24, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Lukaszewski 1246 vs Lilien 1514
Lilien
Wrong
both rated, 268 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Lukaszewski 40% vs Lilien 80%
Lilien
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Lukaszewski 50% vs Lilien 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Lukaszewski +1 · Lilien +4
Lilien
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 79% — Strong (leans Lilien) · live re-read · sealed at 61% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Lukaszewski form (40%) outperforms what odds imply (27%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLukaszewski 3.75 / Lilien 1.22
Signal prob.21% / 79%
Edge (Lilien)+3.2pp
TT Elite Series · #13076930
Lukaszewski3.75
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog41% won 278 of 673
Down 0–1, comes back14% 53 of 372
Down 0–2, comes back3% 5 of 195
Lilien1.22
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite59% won 244 of 411
Up 2–0, closes it96% 127 of 132
Up 1–0, closes it78% 188 of 242
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeLukaszewski3wins
AwayLilien7wins
Lilien leads 7–3.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLukaszewski100%3 of 3
AwayLilien100%7 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Lukaszewski3Lilien7n = 10Lilien took 7 of 10
S2Lukaszewski8Lilien2n = 10Lukaszewski took 8 of 10
S3Lukaszewski4Lilien6n = 10Lilien took 6 of 10
S4Lukaszewski0Lilien6n = 6Lilien took 6 of 6
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away660%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricLukaszewskiLilienLukaszewski − LilienBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match30.735.5−4.8per matchSweeps31+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLukaszewskiLilienBasisWin rate · lifetime927 / 2046 vs 828 / 153345.3%54%927 / 2046 vs 828 / 1533Avg sets wonper match1.82.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.238.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LilienLukaszewski 3.75/Lilien 1.22
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
78.7%
Lilien · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Lukaszewski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LFeb 10 · 11:30M. Lukaszewski—511591A. Lilien—11911113
LJan 28 · 13:35M. Lukaszewski—1011681A. Lilien—12911113
WJan 27 · 10:00M. Lukaszewski—1113113A. Lilien—91190
LJan 20 · 14:50M. Lukaszewski—411871A. Lilien—11411113
LDec 2 · 11:55M. Lukaszewski—351141A. Lilien—11119113
WNov 27 · 04:25M. Lukaszewski—1111153A. Lilien—75130
LNov 18 · 14:25M. Lukaszewski—811471A. Lilien—11911113
WOct 9 · 13:30M. Lukaszewski—1111113A. Lilien—4990
LOct 2 · 05:40M. Lukaszewski—811961A. Lilien—11711113
LSep 22 · 07:45M. Lukaszewski—5870A. Lilien—1111113
M. Lukaszewski10
LSep 4 · 13:55A. Myszewski1.28131111113M. Lukaszewski3.251113761LSep 4 · 13:05M. Misiak1.221111113M. Lukaszewski3.704840WSep 4 · 10:35M. Lukaszewski2.55811911113W. Gronowski1.4311911772LSep 4 · 09:50M. Minda1.23111111123M. Lukaszewski3.558134101WSep 4 · 08:35A. Myszewski1.411111111192M. Lukaszewski2.60213713113LSep 4 · 07:20M. Lukaszewski3.355770B. Sulkowski1.271111113LSep 4 · 06:05M. Misiak1.2511119113M. Lukaszewski3.45771121LSep 4 · 04:55W. Gronowski1.3611117113M. Lukaszewski2.80281171LSep 4 · 03:25K. Klocek1.651311113M. Lukaszewski2.0511810WSep 3 · 07:40M. Lukaszewski2.95115155113B. Sulkowski1.35711131152
A. Lilien10
LSep 7 · 24:10A. Myszewski2.401211113A. Lilien1.5110490LSep 6 · 23:45A. Lilien1.66118991A. Linek2.1071111113LSep 6 · 22:55A. Lilien1.66511961B. Sulkowski2.0511711113WSep 6 · 21:05A. Lilien1.471111113M. Trela2.453880WSep 6 · 20:05A. Wos1.63115111082A. Lilien2.10911712113LSep 6 · 19:20A. Myszewski2.301111113A. Lilien1.528560LSep 6 · 17:20J. Michalczyk1.90111275113A. Lilien1.80710111182WSep 6 · 16:35B. Sulkowski2.258115101A. Lilien1.5511811123LSep 6 · 15:00M. Trela3.051111113A. Lilien1.319890LSep 6 · 24:10A. Lilien1.83713291K. Kufel1.83111111113
Upcoming Matches
M. Lukaszewski
Nothing scheduled
A. Lilien
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.