TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13075504
Played Sep 4Finished
Wojciech Gronowski
Home
1.36
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
112118711117––
Mikolaj Lukaszewski
Away
2.80
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 04:11 and never touched — 67.3% is still 67.3%
Graded at full timeWojciech Gronowski to win
67.3%
67.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
68 points played in total.
Set by set
112118711117––
H2H Wojciech Gronowski 6–5 Mikolaj Lukaszewski Mikolaj Lukaszewski has won 5 of their 11 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 04:11What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.36 (67%)
Gronowski
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-5 in 11
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Gronowski 1289 vs Lukaszewski 1253
Gronowski
Correct
both rated, 36 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Gronowski 20% vs Lukaszewski 80%
Lukaszewski
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Gronowski 20% vs Lukaszewski 60%
Lukaszewski
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Gronowski -1 · Lukaszewski -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 67% — Clear lean (leans Gronowski)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Lukaszewski form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (36%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsGronowski 1.36 / Lukaszewski 2.80
Signal prob.67% / 33%
Edge (Gronowski)-0.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13075504
Gronowski1.36
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite51% won 56 of 110
Up 2–0, closes it96% 21 of 22
Up 1–0, closes it74% 42 of 57
Lukaszewski2.80
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog41% won 278 of 673
Down 0–1, comes back14% 53 of 372
Down 0–2, comes back3% 5 of 195
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeGronowski6wins
AwayLukaszewski4wins
1 of 10 to a deciderGronowski leads 6–4, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeGronowski83.3%5 of 6
AwayLukaszewski75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Gronowski6Lukaszewski4n = 10Gronowski took 6 of 10
S2Gronowski2Lukaszewski8n = 10Lukaszewski took 8 of 10
S3Gronowski7Lukaszewski3n = 10Gronowski took 7 of 10
S4Gronowski5Lukaszewski3n = 8Gronowski took 5 of 8
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricGronowskiLukaszewskiG − LBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match39.134.0+5.1per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricGronowskiLukaszewskiBasisWin rate · lifetime477 / 1094 vs 927 / 204343.6%45.4%477 / 1094 vs 927 / 2043Avg sets wonper match1.91.8per matchAvg pointsper match36.736.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
GronowskiGronowski 1.36/Lukaszewski 2.80
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
67.3%
Gronowski · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Gronowski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LJun 5 · 12:10W. Gronowski—8101181M. Lukaszewski—11127113
WJun 5 · 06:40W. Gronowski—1011911113M. Lukaszewski—12411442
LJun 5 · 04:10W. Gronowski—691191M. Lukaszewski—11118113
WMar 6 · 12:00W. Gronowski—11811123M. Lukaszewski—5119101
WJan 28 · 10:45W. Gronowski—11811113M. Lukaszewski—411431
WJan 20 · 13:10W. Gronowski—111111113M. Lukaszewski—713761
LJan 19 · 15:35W. Gronowski—11108141M. Lukaszewski—71211163
WDec 20 · 06:20W. Gronowski—1111113M. Lukaszewski—6690
WOct 12 · 09:20W. Gronowski—11911113M. Lukaszewski—711781
LSep 2 · 01:25W. Gronowski—7780M. Lukaszewski—1111113
W. Gronowski10
LSep 5 · 07:40W. Gronowski2.0091111882J. Przewlocki1.71115911113LSep 5 · 06:25W. Gronowski2.38111011992M. Minda1.49712711113LSep 5 · 05:15W. Gronowski1.711131081D. Wrobel2.0071112113WSep 5 · 04:00K. Klocek1.857101131W. Gronowski1.8511127113WSep 5 · 03:20W. Gronowski1.9511118113J. Wozniak1.75761181LSep 4 · 14:20M. Minda1.5511711123W. Gronowski2.307117101LSep 4 · 13:30A. Lilien1.54111111113W. Gronowski2.25139971WSep 4 · 11:25A. Myszewski2.101091261W. Gronowski1.60121110113LSep 4 · 10:35M. Lukaszewski2.55811911113W. Gronowski1.4311911772WSep 4 · 09:00M. Misiak1.745890W. Gronowski1.951111113
M. Lukaszewski10
LSep 4 · 13:55A. Myszewski1.28131111113M. Lukaszewski3.251113761LSep 4 · 13:05M. Misiak1.221111113M. Lukaszewski3.704840WSep 4 · 12:15M. Lukaszewski3.7581512113A. Lilien1.2211131081WSep 4 · 10:35M. Lukaszewski2.55811911113W. Gronowski1.4311911772LSep 4 · 09:50M. Minda1.23111111123M. Lukaszewski3.558134101WSep 4 · 08:35A. Myszewski1.411111111192M. Lukaszewski2.60213713113LSep 4 · 07:20M. Lukaszewski3.355770B. Sulkowski1.271111113LSep 4 · 06:05M. Misiak1.2511119113M. Lukaszewski3.45771121LSep 4 · 03:25K. Klocek1.651311113M. Lukaszewski2.0511810WSep 3 · 07:40M. Lukaszewski2.95115155113B. Sulkowski1.35711131152
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