TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13077483
Played Sep 4Finished
Aleksander Lilien
Home
1.54
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1113119119117––
Wojciech Gronowski
Away
2.25
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:18 and never touched — 59.8% is still 59.8%
Graded at full timeAleksander Lilien to win
59.8%
59.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
82 points played in total.
Set by set
1113119119117––
H2H Aleksander Lilien 19–13 Wojciech Gronowski Wojciech Gronowski has won 13 of their 32 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 13:18What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.54 (59%)
Lilien
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
19-13 in 32
Lilien
Correct
gap of 6 in 32, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Lilien 1493 vs Gronowski 1304
Lilien
Correct
both rated, 189 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Lilien 80% vs Gronowski 60%
Lilien
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Lilien 50% vs Gronowski 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Lilien -1 · Gronowski +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 60% — Slight lean (leans Lilien)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Gronowski form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLilien 1.54 / Gronowski 2.25
Signal prob.60% / 40%
Edge (Lilien)+0.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13077483
Lilien1.54
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite59% won 244 of 411
Up 2–0, closes it96% 127 of 132
Up 1–0, closes it78% 188 of 242
Gronowski2.25
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog37% won 86 of 230
Down 0–1, comes back16% 21 of 131
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 62
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeLilien6wins
AwayGronowski4wins
1 of 10 to a deciderLilien leads 6–4, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLilien80%4 of 5
AwayGronowski60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Lilien5Gronowski5n = 10split evenly
S2Lilien8Gronowski2n = 10Lilien took 8 of 10
S3Lilien4Gronowski6n = 10Gronowski took 6 of 10
S4Lilien3Gronowski3n = 6split evenly
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricLilienGronowskiL − GBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match38.233.9+4.3per matchSweeps31+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLilienGronowskiBasisWin rate · lifetime828 / 1533 vs 481 / 110154%43.7%828 / 1533 vs 481 / 1101Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.536.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LilienLilien 1.54/Gronowski 2.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
59.8%
Lilien · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Lilien won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LMay 15 · 03:25A. Lilien—6118111W. Gronowski—11411133
WApr 24 · 14:20A. Lilien—9111011113W. Gronowski—11812472
WMar 23 · 10:00A. Lilien—11116113W. Gronowski—971181
LJan 28 · 14:50A. Lilien—11116151W. Gronowski—13811173
LJan 26 · 10:25A. Lilien—13980W. Gronowski—1511113
WJan 26 · 05:10A. Lilien—1111143W. Gronowski—85120
WJan 21 · 04:50A. Lilien—1111113W. Gronowski—5570
WJan 20 · 07:15A. Lilien—1111113W. Gronowski—7480
WJan 20 · 04:45A. Lilien—61111113W. Gronowski—118581
LJan 9 · 06:15A. Lilien—1188141W. Gronowski—61111163
A. Lilien10
LSep 7 · 24:10A. Myszewski2.401211113A. Lilien1.5110490LSep 6 · 23:45A. Lilien1.66118991A. Linek2.1071111113LSep 6 · 22:55A. Lilien1.66511961B. Sulkowski2.0511711113WSep 6 · 21:05A. Lilien1.471111113M. Trela2.453880WSep 6 · 20:05A. Wos1.63115111082A. Lilien2.10911712113LSep 6 · 19:20A. Myszewski2.301111113A. Lilien1.528560LSep 6 · 17:20J. Michalczyk1.90111275113A. Lilien1.80710111182WSep 6 · 16:35B. Sulkowski2.258115101A. Lilien1.5511811123LSep 6 · 15:00M. Trela3.051111113A. Lilien1.319890LSep 6 · 24:10A. Lilien1.83713291K. Kufel1.83111111113
W. Gronowski10
LSep 5 · 07:40W. Gronowski2.0091111882J. Przewlocki1.71115911113LSep 5 · 06:25W. Gronowski2.38111011992M. Minda1.49712711113LSep 5 · 05:15W. Gronowski1.711131081D. Wrobel2.0071112113WSep 5 · 04:00K. Klocek1.857101131W. Gronowski1.8511127113WSep 5 · 03:20W. Gronowski1.9511118113J. Wozniak1.75761181LSep 4 · 14:20M. Minda1.5511711123W. Gronowski2.307117101WSep 4 · 11:25A. Myszewski2.101091261W. Gronowski1.60121110113LSep 4 · 10:35M. Lukaszewski2.55811911113W. Gronowski1.4311911772WSep 4 · 09:00M. Misiak1.745890W. Gronowski1.951111113WSep 4 · 08:10W. Gronowski1.95119911113B. Sulkowski1.7491111482
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