TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13106086
Played Sep 10Finished
Kamil Klocek
Home
2.10
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
16141161210––––
Mateusz Misiak
Away
1.60
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:04 and never touched — 60.7% is still 60.7%
Graded at full timeKamil Klocek to win
60.7%
60.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
69 points played in total.
Set by set
16141161210––––
H2H Kamil Klocek 2–1 Mateusz Misiak Mateusz Misiak has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:04What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.60 (57%)
Misiak
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-1 in 3
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Klocek 1427 vs Misiak 1339
Klocek
Correct
both rated, 88 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Klocek 80% vs Misiak 40%
Klocek
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Klocek 80% vs Misiak 50%
Klocek
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Klocek -1 · Misiak +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Misiak) · live re-read · sealed at 39% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Misiak form (40%) is below what odds imply (63%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKlocek 2.10 / Misiak 1.60
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Misiak)-2.8pp (anti-value)
TT Elite Series · #13106086
Klocek2.10
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog42% won 122 of 288
Down 0–1, comes back21% 34 of 164
Down 0–2, comes back5% 4 of 83
Misiak1.60
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite60% won 218 of 364
Up 2–0, closes it96% 133 of 138
Up 1–0, closes it81% 178 of 221
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeKlocek2wins
AwayMisiak1wins
1 of 3 to a deciderKlocek leads 2–1, and 1 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Klocek2Misiak1n = 3Klocek took 2 of 3
S2Klocek3Misiak0n = 3Klocek took 3 of 3
S3Klocek1Misiak2n = 3Misiak took 2 of 3
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home133%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home133%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away133%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricKlocekMisiakK − MBasisWins21+1in 3 meetingsFirst set21+1of 3Avg pointsper match40.040.7−0.7per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKlocekMisiakBasisWin rate · lifetime449 / 852 vs 1048 / 197452.7%53.1%449 / 852 vs 1048 / 1974Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.737.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MisiakKlocek 2.10/Misiak 1.60
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Misiak · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Klocek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
WSep 10 · 07:10K. Klocek—1611123M. Misiak—146100
LSep 4 · 07:40K. Klocek—7121091M. Misiak—111012113
WJul 31 · 08:10K. Klocek—111254113M. Misiak—710111192
K. Klocek10
WSep 10 · 08:35K. Klocek1.901311113K. Sulkowski1.8011690WSep 10 · 06:10K. Klocek2.321131111113J. Glanowski1.5013118852LSep 10 · 04:05K. Klocek1.755560B. Wisniewski1.901111113WSep 10 · 03:00K. Klocek1.6912117113D. Wrobel1.971081181WSep 10 · 24:35K. Golaszewski2.6010950K. Klocek1.411211113WSep 9 · 22:55P. Ostachowski3.503630K. Klocek1.241111113WSep 9 · 22:15M. Trela1.9686111192K. Klocek1.70111188113WSep 9 · 21:30A. Myszewski1.8113590K. Klocek1.831511113WSep 9 · 20:05K. Klocek1.25114711123P. Ostachowski3.45411115102WSep 9 · 18:30K. Golaszewski2.6051160K. Klocek1.411113113
M. Misiak10
WSep 10 · 07:50B. Wisniewski2.75114581M. Misiak1.4071111113WSep 10 · 06:30M. Misiak1.77131111113K. Sulkowski1.95156781WSep 10 · 04:30M. Misiak1.511212113D. Wrobel2.29101020LSep 10 · 03:45J. Glanowski1.9011118113M. Misiak1.80791171LSep 4 · 14:40M. Misiak2.80119691A. Lilien1.3791111113WSep 4 · 13:05M. Misiak1.221111113M. Lukaszewski3.704840LSep 4 · 11:50M. Misiak2.6071160M. Minda1.411113113WSep 4 · 10:10M. Misiak1.511111123A. Myszewski2.4087100LSep 4 · 09:00M. Misiak1.745890W. Gronowski1.951111113WSep 4 · 07:40K. Klocek2.307121091M. Misiak1.55111012113
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