TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13104137
Played Sep 9Finished
Mateusz Trela
Home
1.96
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
811611118118911
Kamil Klocek
Away
1.70
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:15 and never touched — 58.3% is still 58.3%
Graded at full timeKamil Klocek to win
58.3%
58.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
94 points played in total.
Set by set
811611118118911
H2H Mateusz Trela 9–11 Kamil Klocek Mateusz Trela has won 9 of their 20 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 5h before this match
Trela beat Klocek 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:15What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.70 (54%)
Klocek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
9-11 in 20
Klocek
Correct
gap of 2 in 20, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Trela 1379 vs Klocek 1421
Klocek
Correct
both rated, 43 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Trela 80% vs Klocek 80%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Trela 60% vs Klocek 80%
Klocek
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Trela +3 · Klocek +3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Klocek) · live re-read · sealed at 58% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Klocek form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (59%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsTrela 1.96 / Klocek 1.70
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Klocek)+0.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13104137
Trela1.96
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog44% won 172 of 391
Down 0–1, comes back27% 58 of 219
Down 0–2, comes back10% 11 of 110
Klocek1.70
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest90%takes the first set · 9 of 10
As favourite62% won 244 of 397
Up 2–0, closes it96% 127 of 132
Up 1–0, closes it81% 185 of 228
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeTrela6wins
AwayKlocek4wins
5 of 10 to a deciderTrela leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeTrela75%3 of 4
AwayKlocek50%3 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Trela4Klocek6n = 10Klocek took 6 of 10
S2Trela5Klocek5n = 10split evenly
S3Trela3Klocek7n = 10Klocek took 7 of 10
S4Trela3Klocek5n = 8Klocek took 5 of 8
S5Trela5Klocek0n = 5Trela took 5 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home550%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricTrelaKlocekT − KBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match38.941.5−2.6per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricTrelaKlocekBasisWin rate · lifetime815 / 1662 vs 443 / 84549%52.4%815 / 1662 vs 443 / 845Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.337.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KlocekTrela 1.96/Klocek 1.70
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Klocek · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Klocek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 9 · 17:45M. Trela—1110118113K. Klocek—91271152
LSep 2 · 04:10M. Trela—12480K. Klocek—1411113
WAug 28 · 22:35M. Trela—811211113K. Klocek—11811282
WAug 28 · 16:15M. Trela—912511143K. Klocek—1110113122
LAug 14 · 03:25M. Trela—115391K. Klocek—31111113
LAug 5 · 05:15M. Trela—913100K. Klocek—1115123
WJul 15 · 23:20M. Trela—134117113K. Klocek—111181192
WJul 15 · 21:00M. Trela—11123113K. Klocek—9101181
LJul 3 · 18:30M. Trela—811931K. Klocek—11911113
WMay 15 · 10:05M. Trela—811115113K. Klocek—11781172
M. Trela10
WSep 9 · 23:20A. Myszewski1.8511115992M. Trela1.75981111113WSep 9 · 22:35K. Golaszewski2.15911861M. Trela1.6011911113WSep 9 · 21:05P. Ostachowski3.408740M. Trela1.281111113WSep 9 · 20:30M. Trela1.8511113113A. Myszewski1.80851161WSep 9 · 18:55M. Trela1.561111113P. Strus2.176750WSep 9 · 17:45M. Trela1.961110118113K. Klocek1.7091271152LSep 9 · 16:15M. Trela1.49991361K. Golaszewski2.33111111113WSep 9 · 15:00M. Trela1.441111113P. Ostachowski2.504160LSep 8 · 24:10M. Trela1.66681111102B. Mrugala2.05111179123LSep 7 · 23:20M. Trela1.86811811132W. Iwasyszyn1.83119117153
K. Klocek10
WSep 9 · 21:30A. Myszewski1.8113590K. Klocek1.831511113WSep 9 · 20:05K. Klocek1.25114711123P. Ostachowski3.45411115102WSep 9 · 18:30K. Golaszewski2.6051160K. Klocek1.411113113LSep 9 · 17:45M. Trela1.961110118113K. Klocek1.7091271152WSep 9 · 16:55K. Klocek1.8011911123A. Myszewski1.857115101WSep 9 · 15:50K. Klocek1.501111113P. Strus2.327680WSep 9 · 24:10J. Rolak2.467570K. Klocek1.441111113WSep 8 · 23:45K. Klocek1.3811116113P. Ostachowski2.75421161LSep 8 · 22:55K. Klocek1.51119111192B. Mrugala2.28811413113WSep 8 · 21:05K. Klocek1.4411813113K. Golaszewski2.469111171
Upcoming Matches
M. Trela
Nothing scheduled
K. Klocek
Sep 10 · 24:35K. Klocek1.41K. Golaszewski2.60—Sep 10 · 03:00K. Klocek1.69D. Wrobel1.97—Sep 10 · 04:05K. Klocek1.51B. Wisniewski2.29—Sep 10 · 06:10K. Klocek2.32J. Glanowski1.50—Sep 10 · 07:10K. Klocek2.10M. Misiak1.60—Sep 10 · 08:35K. Klocek1.76K. Sulkowski1.87—Sep 10 · 15:00K. Klocek—M. Lukaszewski——
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