TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13104129
Played Sep 9Finished
Adrian Myszewski
Home
1.85
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
119118511911911
Mateusz Trela
Away
1.75
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:13 and never touched — 59.2% is still 59.2%
Graded at full timeMateusz Trela to win
59.2%
59.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
95 points played in total.
Set by set
119118511911911
H2H Adrian Myszewski 9–14 Mateusz Trela Adrian Myszewski has won 9 of their 23 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 3h before this match
Trela beat Myszewski 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:13What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.75 (51%)
Trela
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
9-14 in 23
Trela
Correct
gap of 5 in 23, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Myszewski 1307 vs Trela 1383
Trela
Correct
both rated, 77 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Myszewski 40% vs Trela 80%
Trela
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Myszewski 40% vs Trela 60%
Trela
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Myszewski -3 · Trela +1
Myszewski
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Trela) · live re-read · sealed at 59% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Trela form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (57%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMyszewski 1.85 / Trela 1.75
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Trela)+2.6pp
TT Elite Series · #13104129
Myszewski1.85
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog36% won 62 of 171
Down 0–1, comes back18% 18 of 100
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 52
Trela1.75
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite55% won 146 of 266
Up 2–0, closes it92% 54 of 59
Up 1–0, closes it71% 99 of 140
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMyszewski4wins
AwayTrela6wins
3 of 10 to a deciderTrela leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMyszewski66.7%4 of 6
AwayTrela100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Myszewski6Trela4n = 10Myszewski took 6 of 10
S2Myszewski2Trela8n = 10Trela took 8 of 10
S3Myszewski3Trela7n = 10Trela took 7 of 10
S4Myszewski4Trela4n = 8split evenly
S5Myszewski2Trela1n = 3Myszewski took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricMyszewskiTrelaM − TBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match40.740.5+0.2per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMyszewskiTrelaBasisWin rate · lifetime447 / 913 vs 817 / 166549%49.1%447 / 913 vs 817 / 1665Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.538.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TrelaMyszewski 1.85/Trela 1.75
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Trela · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Trela won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 9 · 20:30A. Myszewski—851161M. Trela—11113113
LSep 6 · 23:20A. Myszewski—815100M. Trela—1117123
WSep 6 · 20:30A. Myszewski—11118113M. Trela—991161
LAug 14 · 04:10A. Myszewski—10960M. Trela—1211113
LAug 9 · 13:25A. Myszewski—11971192M. Trela—811115113
WAug 9 · 03:40A. Myszewski—118119113M. Trela—81191182
LJul 31 · 23:20A. Myszewski—14111091M. Trela—16912113
WJul 31 · 15:25A. Myszewski—1212911113M. Trela—101411672
WJul 29 · 04:10A. Myszewski—11911113M. Trela—311461
LMay 19 · 13:50A. Myszewski—1161491M. Trela—91116113
A. Myszewski10
LSep 9 · 21:55A. Myszewski1.52116491K. Golaszewski2.3061111113LSep 9 · 21:30A. Myszewski1.8113590K. Klocek1.831511113LSep 9 · 20:30M. Trela1.8511113113A. Myszewski1.80851161WSep 9 · 19:20A. Myszewski1.5011119123P. Ostachowski2.375511101WSep 9 · 18:10P. Strus2.507850A. Myszewski1.461111113LSep 9 · 16:55K. Klocek1.8011911123A. Myszewski1.857115101WSep 9 · 15:25K. Golaszewski2.37691661A. Myszewski1.52111114113LSep 8 · 14:20A. Lilien1.5711119113A. Myszewski2.20851191WSep 8 · 13:30B. Sulkowski1.7431151182A. Myszewski1.95115116113LSep 8 · 11:25J. Glanowski1.511111128113A. Myszewski2.2887141192
M. Trela10
WSep 9 · 22:35K. Golaszewski2.15911861M. Trela1.6011911113LSep 9 · 22:15M. Trela1.9686111192K. Klocek1.70111188113WSep 9 · 21:05P. Ostachowski3.408740M. Trela1.281111113WSep 9 · 20:30M. Trela1.8511113113A. Myszewski1.80851161WSep 9 · 18:55M. Trela1.561111113P. Strus2.176750WSep 9 · 17:45M. Trela1.961110118113K. Klocek1.7091271152LSep 9 · 16:15M. Trela1.49991361K. Golaszewski2.33111111113WSep 9 · 15:00M. Trela1.441111113P. Ostachowski2.504160LSep 8 · 24:10M. Trela1.66681111102B. Mrugala2.05111179123LSep 7 · 23:20M. Trela1.86811811132W. Iwasyszyn1.83119117153
Upcoming Matches
A. Myszewski
M. Trela
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