TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13093692
Played Sep 7Finished
Mateusz Trela
Home
1.86
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
8111198111171315
Wojciech Iwasyszyn
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:59 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMateusz Trela to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
104 points played in total.
Set by set
8111198111171315
H2H Mateusz Trela 42–36 Wojciech Iwasyszyn Wojciech Iwasyszyn has won 36 of their 78 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
Same-day rematch · 3h before this match
Iwasyszyn beat Trela 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 15:59What took a side4 for · 2 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Iwasyszyn
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
42-36 in 78
Trela
Wrong
gap of 6 in 78, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Trela 1390 vs Iwasyszyn 1278
Trela
Wrong
both rated, 112 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Trela 80% vs Iwasyszyn 40%
Trela
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Trela 80% vs Iwasyszyn 40%
Trela
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Trela +2 · Iwasyszyn -3
Iwasyszyn
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Trela)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Iwasyszyn form (40%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsTrela 1.86 / Iwasyszyn 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Trela)+4.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13093692
Trela1.86
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest90%takes the first set · 9 of 10
As underdog45% won 175 of 393
Down 0–1, comes back27% 58 of 218
Down 0–2, comes back10% 11 of 110
Iwasyszyn1.83
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite53% won 78 of 148
Up 2–0, closes it100% 20 of 20
Up 1–0, closes it77% 49 of 64
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeTrela5wins
AwayIwasyszyn5wins
8 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 8 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeTrela57.1%4 of 7
AwayIwasyszyn66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Trela7Iwasyszyn3n = 10Trela took 7 of 10
S2Trela5Iwasyszyn5n = 10split evenly
S3Trela5Iwasyszyn5n = 10split evenly
S4Trela3Iwasyszyn7n = 10Iwasyszyn took 7 of 10
S5Trela4Iwasyszyn4n = 8split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricTrelaIwasyszynT − IBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match46.845.1+1.7per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricTrelaIwasyszynBasisWin rate · lifetime811 / 1655 vs 529 / 103949%50.9%811 / 1655 vs 529 / 1039Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.339.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TrelaTrela 1.86/Iwasyszyn 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Trela · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Iwasyszyn won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 7 · 20:30M. Trela—11118352W. Iwasyszyn—851111113
LJul 5 · 11:00M. Trela—911851W. Iwasyszyn—11511113
WJul 5 · 06:05M. Trela—1112119113W. Iwasyszyn—91491152
LJul 5 · 04:15M. Trela—10111111122W. Iwasyszyn—121349143
WJul 4 · 14:40M. Trela—1110911113W. Iwasyszyn—71211782
LJul 4 · 06:05M. Trela—11911992W. Iwasyszyn—211611113
WJul 4 · 03:50M. Trela—91113113W. Iwasyszyn—1171181
WJun 8 · 10:30M. Trela—1191110113W. Iwasyszyn—81141292
LJun 8 · 06:40M. Trela—11119972W. Iwasyszyn—991111113
WJun 8 · 04:10M. Trela—111147113W. Iwasyszyn—99111192
M. Trela10
LSep 8 · 24:10M. Trela1.66681111102B. Mrugala2.05111179123WSep 7 · 21:55M. Trela1.701116113K. Golaszewski2.0081460WSep 7 · 21:30M. Trela1.95811811113J. Przewlocki1.7411811462LSep 7 · 20:30W. Iwasyszyn1.85851111113M. Trela1.8011118352WSep 7 · 19:20M. Trela1.761491110133J. Nosiadek1.901211612112WSep 7 · 18:10P. Strus2.203111181M. Trela1.6011613113WSep 7 · 16:55J. Przewlocki1.85881471M. Trela1.85111112113WSep 7 · 15:25B. Mrugala2.356590M. Trela1.511111113WSep 6 · 23:20A. Myszewski1.91815100M. Trela1.771117123LSep 6 · 22:35A. Linek1.60412811113M. Trela2.15111011842
W. Iwasyszyn10
LSep 7 · 22:35K. Golaszewski2.25111165113W. Iwasyszyn1.5498111192LSep 7 · 22:15W. Iwasyszyn1.9511791172J. Przewlocki1.70711116113LSep 7 · 21:05B. Mrugala2.0017612113W. Iwasyszyn1.7215111081WSep 7 · 20:30W. Iwasyszyn1.85851111113M. Trela1.8011118352WSep 7 · 18:55W. Iwasyszyn1.631111113P. Strus2.064890LSep 7 · 17:45W. Iwasyszyn2.0094111172J. Przewlocki1.71111188113WSep 7 · 16:15W. Iwasyszyn1.7181111123B. Mrugala2.001138101LSep 7 · 15:00W. Iwasyszyn1.7598120J. Nosiadek1.951111143WSep 5 · 14:20A. Szoltysek1.851191361W. Iwasyszyn1.8561115113LSep 5 · 13:30M. Zwolinski2.1581112113W. Iwasyszyn1.601161081
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