TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13093703
Played Sep 7Finished
Mateusz Trela
Home
1.95
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
811118811114116
Jacek Przewlocki
Away
1.74
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 16:04 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJacek Przewlocki to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
89 points played in total.
Set by set
811118811114116
H2H Mateusz Trela 32–26 Jacek Przewlocki Jacek Przewlocki has won 26 of their 58 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 5h before this match
Trela beat Przewlocki 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 16:04What took a side1 for · 4 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.74 (53%)
Przewlocki
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
32-26 in 58
Trela
Correct
gap of 6 in 58, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Trela 1372 vs Przewlocki 1316
Trela
Correct
both rated, 57 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Trela 80% vs Przewlocki 60%
Trela
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Trela 60% vs Przewlocki 40%
Trela
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Trela -1 · Przewlocki +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Przewlocki)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Trela form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (51%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsTrela 1.95 / Przewlocki 1.74
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Przewlocki)+1.2pp
TT Elite Series · #13093703
Trela1.95
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog45% won 175 of 393
Down 0–1, comes back27% 58 of 218
Down 0–2, comes back10% 11 of 110
Przewlocki1.74
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite57% won 139 of 242
Up 2–0, closes it97% 65 of 67
Up 1–0, closes it75% 106 of 141
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeTrela6wins
AwayPrzewlocki4wins
4 of 10 to a deciderTrela leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeTrela100%3 of 3
AwayPrzewlocki57.1%4 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Trela3Przewlocki7n = 10Przewlocki took 7 of 10
S2Trela5Przewlocki5n = 10split evenly
S3Trela6Przewlocki4n = 10Trela took 6 of 10
S4Trela6Przewlocki3n = 9Trela took 6 of 9
S5Trela3Przewlocki1n = 4Trela took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricTrelaPrzewlockiT − PBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match41.341.6−0.3per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricTrelaPrzewlockiBasisWin rate · lifetime809 / 1653 vs 528 / 107748.9%49%809 / 1653 vs 528 / 1077Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.338.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PrzewlockiTrela 1.95/Przewlocki 1.74
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Przewlocki · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Trela won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 7 · 16:55M. Trela—111112113J. Przewlocki—881471
WAug 28 · 21:05M. Trela—1112113J. Przewlocki—71080
LAug 28 · 15:00M. Trela—891171J. Przewlocki—11115113
WMay 25 · 09:20M. Trela—119912113J. Przewlocki—811111092
LMay 25 · 06:40M. Trela—511261J. Przewlocki—11911113
WMay 25 · 04:10M. Trela—871111163J. Przewlocki—111185142
LMay 16 · 12:40M. Trela—471151J. Przewlocki—11116113
LMay 8 · 11:20M. Trela—911151252J. Przewlocki—1171710113
WMay 8 · 05:25M. Trela—61111143J. Przewlocki—1198121
WMay 8 · 03:00M. Trela—971111113J. Przewlocki—11116942
M. Trela10
WSep 7 · 21:55M. Trela1.701116113K. Golaszewski2.0081460LSep 7 · 20:30W. Iwasyszyn1.85851111113M. Trela1.8011118352WSep 7 · 19:20M. Trela1.761491110133J. Nosiadek1.901211612112WSep 7 · 18:10P. Strus2.203111181M. Trela1.6011613113WSep 7 · 16:55J. Przewlocki1.85881471M. Trela1.85111112113WSep 7 · 15:25B. Mrugala2.356590M. Trela1.511111113WSep 6 · 23:20A. Myszewski1.91815100M. Trela1.771117123LSep 6 · 22:35A. Linek1.60412811113M. Trela2.15111011842WSep 6 · 22:15M. Trela1.941111117113B. Sulkowski1.7461341192LSep 6 · 21:05A. Lilien1.471111113M. Trela2.453880
J. Przewlocki10
WSep 7 · 22:15W. Iwasyszyn1.9511791172J. Przewlocki1.70711116113WSep 7 · 20:05J. Przewlocki1.80821111113J. Nosiadek1.9011118892LSep 7 · 18:30B. Mrugala2.2511157113J. Przewlocki1.544131171WSep 7 · 17:45W. Iwasyszyn2.0094111172J. Przewlocki1.71111188113LSep 7 · 16:55J. Przewlocki1.85881471M. Trela1.85111112113WSep 7 · 15:50J. Przewlocki1.90111188123P. Strus1.80991111102LSep 5 · 14:35J. Przewlocki1.85119881B. Kwodawski1.8551111113LSep 5 · 13:00J. Przewlocki1.951511610102J. Wozniak1.751391112123LSep 5 · 11:45J. Przewlocki1.959470K. Klocek1.701111113WSep 5 · 10:05J. Przewlocki1.951211123A. Mugowski1.74104100
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