TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13093710
Played Sep 7Finished
Jacek Przewlocki
Home
1.80
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
811211118118119
Jakub Nosiadek
Away
1.90
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 16:04 and never touched — 54.5% is still 54.5%
Graded at full timeJacek Przewlocki to win
54.5%
54.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
90 points played in total.
Set by set
811211118118119
H2H Jacek Przewlocki 2–0 Jakub Nosiadek Jakub Nosiadek has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 16:04What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Przewlocki
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-0 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Przewlocki 1308 vs Nosiadek 1193
Przewlocki
Correct
both rated, 115 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Przewlocki 40% vs Nosiadek 20%
Przewlocki
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Przewlocki 40% vs Nosiadek 30%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Przewlocki -1 · Nosiadek -3
Nosiadek
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Przewlocki) · live re-read · sealed at 55% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Nosiadek form (20%) is below what odds imply (53%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPrzewlocki 1.80 / Nosiadek 1.90
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Przewlocki)+2.6pp
TT Elite Series · #13093710
Przewlocki1.80
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite57% won 139 of 242
Up 2–0, closes it97% 65 of 67
Up 1–0, closes it75% 106 of 141
Nosiadek1.90
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog31% won 12 of 39
Down 0–1, comes back23% 7 of 30
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 17
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomePrzewlocki2wins
AwayNosiadek0wins
1 of 2 to a deciderPrzewlocki leads 2–0, and 1 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home1
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricPrzewlockiNosiadekP − NBasisWins20+2in 2 meetingsFirst set110of 2Avg pointsper match43.540.5+3.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPrzewlockiNosiadekBasisWin rate · lifetime527 / 1076 vs 30 / 8949%33.7%527 / 1076 vs 30 / 89Avg sets wonper match2.01.5per matchAvg pointsper match38.735.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PrzewlockiPrzewlocki 1.80/Nosiadek 1.90
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Przewlocki · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Przewlocki won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WAug 8 · 14:40J. Przewlocki—41111113J. Nosiadek—119991
WJul 11 · 13:05J. Przewlocki—127119113J. Nosiadek—101121192
J. Przewlocki10
LSep 7 · 18:30B. Mrugala2.2511157113J. Przewlocki1.544131171WSep 7 · 17:45W. Iwasyszyn2.0094111172J. Przewlocki1.71111188113LSep 7 · 16:55J. Przewlocki1.85881471M. Trela1.85111112113WSep 7 · 15:50J. Przewlocki1.90111188123P. Strus1.80991111102LSep 5 · 14:35J. Przewlocki1.85119881B. Kwodawski1.8551111113LSep 5 · 13:00J. Przewlocki1.951511610102J. Wozniak1.751391112123LSep 5 · 11:45J. Przewlocki1.959470K. Klocek1.701111113WSep 5 · 10:05J. Przewlocki1.951211123A. Mugowski1.74104100LSep 5 · 09:00J. Przewlocki2.951191031M. Minda1.3561112113WSep 5 · 07:40W. Gronowski2.0091111882J. Przewlocki1.71115911113
J. Nosiadek10
LSep 7 · 19:20M. Trela1.761491110133J. Nosiadek1.901211612112LSep 7 · 17:20B. Mrugala1.95611811113J. Nosiadek1.7411911762LSep 7 · 16:35P. Strus1.9512911113J. Nosiadek1.761011871WSep 7 · 15:00W. Iwasyszyn1.7598120J. Nosiadek1.951111143LSep 7 · 14:20M. Minda1.421111113J. Nosiadek2.606970LSep 7 · 13:30S. Brud1.3811611113J. Nosiadek2.75711781LSep 7 · 11:25A. Szoltysek1.831111113J. Nosiadek1.865560WSep 7 · 10:35M. Zwolinski1.901854101J. Nosiadek1.75161111123LSep 7 · 09:00A. Sobel1.461111113J. Nosiadek2.503480WAug 24 · 19:40J. Nosiadek1.36511411113P. Strus2.9511511392
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