TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13093720
Played Sep 7Finished
Bartlomiej Mrugala
Home
2.25
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1141513711117––
Jacek Przewlocki
Away
1.54
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 16:03 and never touched — 63.8% is still 63.8%
Graded at full timeJacek Przewlocki to win
63.8%
63.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
79 points played in total.
Set by set
1141513711117––
H2H Bartlomiej Mrugala 1–8 Jacek Przewlocki Bartlomiej Mrugala has won 1 of their 9 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 16:03What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.54 (59%)
Przewlocki
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-8 in 9
Przewlocki
Wrong
gap of 7 in 9, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Mrugala 1235 vs Przewlocki 1312
Przewlocki
Wrong
both rated, 77 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Mrugala 20% vs Przewlocki 20%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Mrugala 40% vs Przewlocki 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Mrugala +1 · Przewlocki -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 64% — Clear lean (leans Przewlocki)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Przewlocki form (20%) is below what odds imply (65%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMrugala 2.25 / Przewlocki 1.54
Signal prob.36% / 64%
Edge (Przewlocki)+4.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13093720
Mrugala2.25
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog44% won 115 of 261
Down 0–1, comes back21% 27 of 132
Down 0–2, comes back6% 4 of 66
Przewlocki1.54
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite57% won 139 of 242
Up 2–0, closes it97% 65 of 67
Up 1–0, closes it75% 106 of 141
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 9 meetings
HomeMrugala1wins
AwayPrzewlocki8wins
3 of 9 to a deciderPrzewlocki leads 8–1, and 3 of those 9 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMrugala25%1 of 4
AwayPrzewlocki100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Mrugala4Przewlocki5n = 9Przewlocki took 5 of 9
S2Mrugala1Przewlocki8n = 9Przewlocki took 8 of 9
S3Mrugala4Przewlocki5n = 9Przewlocki took 5 of 9
S4Mrugala0Przewlocki6n = 6Przewlocki took 6 of 6
S5Mrugala1Przewlocki2n = 3Przewlocki took 2 of 3
How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home111%
2–3Decider, away222%
1–3Four sets, away333%
0–3Straight, away333%
These 9 meetings
MetricMrugalaPrzewlockiM − PBasisWins18−7in 9 meetingsFirst set45−1of 9Avg pointsper match34.441.1−6.7per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMrugalaPrzewlockiBasisWin rate · lifetime291 / 643 vs 526 / 107445.3%49%291 / 643 vs 526 / 1074Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.438.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PrzewlockiMrugala 2.25/Przewlocki 1.54
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
63.8%
Przewlocki · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Mrugala won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
LAug 21 · 24:35B. Mrugala—611861J. Przewlocki—11911113
WAug 20 · 17:45B. Mrugala—1161410113J. Przewlocki—811121272
LJul 29 · 24:35B. Mrugala—9990J. Przewlocki—1111113
LJul 28 · 18:55B. Mrugala—11911792J. Przewlocki—611911113
LJul 8 · 01:25B. Mrugala—119871J. Przewlocki—81111113
LJul 7 · 22:55B. Mrugala—116118112J. Przewlocki—311911133
LJul 7 · 18:30B. Mrugala—4880J. Przewlocki—1111113
LJan 16 · 11:05B. Mrugala—441171J. Przewlocki—11119113
LDec 29 · 13:35B. Mrugala—61090J. Przewlocki—1112113
B. Mrugala10
WSep 7 · 17:20B. Mrugala1.95611811113J. Nosiadek1.7411911762LSep 7 · 16:15W. Iwasyszyn1.7181111123B. Mrugala2.001138101LSep 7 · 15:25B. Mrugala2.356590M. Trela1.511111113LSep 2 · 24:10B. Mrugala1.668970K. Marchlewski2.051111113LSep 1 · 23:20B. Mrugala1.857111031J. Rolak1.8511912113WSep 1 · 21:55B. Mrugala1.901311511113B. Wisniewski1.8015711692WSep 1 · 21:30B. Mrugala1.911111113W. Gluszek1.803680LSep 1 · 20:30B. Mrugala1.908114101J. Rolak1.8011811123LSep 1 · 18:55B. Mrugala2.2011791132D. Szlubowski1.57711119113WSep 1 · 17:45B. Mrugala2.1011118113W. Gluszek1.63681141
J. Przewlocki10
WSep 7 · 17:45W. Iwasyszyn2.0094111172J. Przewlocki1.71111188113LSep 7 · 16:55J. Przewlocki1.85881471M. Trela1.85111112113WSep 7 · 15:50J. Przewlocki1.90111188123P. Strus1.80991111102LSep 5 · 14:35J. Przewlocki1.85119881B. Kwodawski1.8551111113LSep 5 · 13:00J. Przewlocki1.951511610102J. Wozniak1.751391112123LSep 5 · 11:45J. Przewlocki1.959470K. Klocek1.701111113WSep 5 · 10:05J. Przewlocki1.951211123A. Mugowski1.74104100LSep 5 · 09:00J. Przewlocki2.951191031M. Minda1.3561112113WSep 5 · 07:40W. Gronowski2.0091111882J. Przewlocki1.71115911113LSep 5 · 06:50K. Klocek1.59131011113J. Przewlocki2.171112561
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