TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13093368
Played Sep 7Finished
Wojciech Iwasyszyn
Home
1.71
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
8111131181210––
Bartlomiej Mrugala
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:47 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeWojciech Iwasyszyn to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
74 points played in total.
Set by set
8111131181210––
H2H Wojciech Iwasyszyn 2–3 Bartlomiej Mrugala Wojciech Iwasyszyn has won 2 of their 5 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:47What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.71 (54%)
Iwasyszyn
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-3 in 5
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Iwasyszyn 1290 vs Mrugala 1235
Iwasyszyn
Correct
both rated, 56 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Iwasyszyn 40% vs Mrugala 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Iwasyszyn 50% vs Mrugala 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Iwasyszyn -1 · Mrugala -3
Mrugala
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Iwasyszyn)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Iwasyszyn form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsIwasyszyn 1.71 / Mrugala 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Iwasyszyn)+0.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13093368
Iwasyszyn1.71
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite53% won 78 of 148
Up 2–0, closes it100% 20 of 20
Up 1–0, closes it77% 49 of 64
Mrugala2.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog44% won 115 of 261
Down 0–1, comes back21% 27 of 132
Down 0–2, comes back6% 4 of 66
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeIwasyszyn2wins
AwayMrugala3wins
2 of 5 to a deciderMrugala leads 3–2, and 2 of those 5 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeIwasyszynn = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayMrugala75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Iwasyszyn1Mrugala4n = 5Mrugala took 4 of 5
S2Iwasyszyn1Mrugala4n = 5Mrugala took 4 of 5
S3Iwasyszyn3Mrugala2n = 5Iwasyszyn took 3 of 5
S4Iwasyszyn3Mrugala1n = 4Iwasyszyn took 3 of 4
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home120%
3–2Decider, home120%
2–3Decider, away120%
1–3Four sets, away120%
0–3Straight, away120%
These 5 meetings
MetricIwasyszynMrugalaI − MBasisWins23−1in 5 meetingsFirst set14−3of 5Avg pointsper match38.639.4−0.8per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricIwasyszynMrugalaBasisWin rate · lifetime526 / 1032 vs 290 / 64151%45.2%526 / 1032 vs 290 / 641Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match39.837.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
IwasyszynIwasyszyn 1.71/Mrugala 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.3%
Iwasyszyn · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Iwasyszyn won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
WMar 24 · 13:10W. Iwasyszyn—10101111113B. Mrugala—12128882
LJan 22 · 03:20W. Iwasyszyn—4760B. Mrugala—1111113
LJan 22 · 24:55W. Iwasyszyn—861171B. Mrugala—11114113
LJan 16 · 14:00W. Iwasyszyn—711101192B. Mrugala—112127113
WDec 30 · 10:20W. Iwasyszyn—12911113B. Mrugala—1011691
W. Iwasyszyn10
LSep 7 · 15:00W. Iwasyszyn1.7598120J. Nosiadek1.951111143WSep 5 · 14:20A. Szoltysek1.851191361W. Iwasyszyn1.8561115113LSep 5 · 13:30M. Zwolinski2.1581112113W. Iwasyszyn1.601161081WSep 5 · 11:25J. Rolak1.6011115882W. Iwasyszyn2.20951111113LSep 5 · 10:35W. Suchecki2.601111113W. Iwasyszyn1.417490WSep 5 · 09:00T. Piotrowski1.74119981W. Iwasyszyn1.9581111113LSep 5 · 07:40W. Iwasyszyn1.8561151192M. Zwolinski1.80119118113LSep 5 · 06:30W. Iwasyszyn1.95481112102T. Piotrowski1.741111710123WSep 5 · 05:15W. Iwasyszyn1.8661116133A. Szoltysek1.8111514111WSep 5 · 04:10W. Suchecki2.60311671W. Iwasyszyn1.4111811113
B. Mrugala10
WSep 7 · 17:20B. Mrugala1.95611811113J. Nosiadek1.7411911762LSep 7 · 15:25B. Mrugala2.356590M. Trela1.511111113LSep 2 · 24:10B. Mrugala1.668970K. Marchlewski2.051111113LSep 1 · 23:20B. Mrugala1.857111031J. Rolak1.8511912113WSep 1 · 21:55B. Mrugala1.901311511113B. Wisniewski1.8015711692WSep 1 · 21:30B. Mrugala1.911111113W. Gluszek1.803680LSep 1 · 20:30B. Mrugala1.908114101J. Rolak1.8011811123LSep 1 · 18:55B. Mrugala2.2011791132D. Szlubowski1.57711119113WSep 1 · 17:45B. Mrugala2.1011118113W. Gluszek1.63681141LSep 1 · 16:15B. Mrugala1.95891281B. Wisniewski1.70111110113
Upcoming Matches
W. Iwasyszyn
Sep 7 · 17:45W. Iwasyszyn2.00J. Przewlocki1.71—Sep 7 · 18:55W. Iwasyszyn1.63P. Strus2.06—Sep 7 · 20:30W. Iwasyszyn1.86M. Trela1.80—Sep 7 · 21:05W. Iwasyszyn1.60B. Mrugala2.10—Sep 7 · 22:15W. Iwasyszyn1.95J. Przewlocki1.70—Sep 7 · 22:35W. Iwasyszyn1.54K. Golaszewski2.25—Sep 7 · 23:20W. Iwasyszyn1.80M. Trela1.84—
B. Mrugala
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