TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13059579
Played Sep 1Finished
Bartlomiej Mrugala
Home
1.95
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 4
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
8119111210811––
Bartlomiej Wisniewski
Away
1.70
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:54 and never touched — 57.6% is still 57.6%
Graded at full timeBartlomiej Wisniewski to win
57.6%
57.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
80 points played in total.
Set by set
8119111210811––
H2H Bartlomiej Mrugala 5–9 Bartlomiej Wisniewski Bartlomiej Mrugala has won 5 of their 14 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 15:54What took a side2 for · 4 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.70 (53%)
Wisniewski
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-9 in 14
Wisniewski
Correct
gap of 4 in 14, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Mrugala 1265 vs Wisniewski 1244
Mrugala
Wrong
both rated, 20 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Mrugala 80% vs Wisniewski 40%
Mrugala
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Mrugala 60% vs Wisniewski 40%
Mrugala
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Mrugala +4 · Wisniewski +1
Mrugala
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Wisniewski) · live re-read · sealed at 58% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Wisniewski form (40%) is below what odds imply (59%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMrugala 1.95 / Wisniewski 1.70
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Wisniewski)+0.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13059579
Mrugala1.95
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog44% won 116 of 264
Down 0–1, comes back20% 27 of 135
Down 0–2, comes back6% 4 of 69
Wisniewski1.70
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite54% won 187 of 344
Up 2–0, closes it96% 94 of 98
Up 1–0, closes it77% 154 of 199
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMrugala4wins
AwayWisniewski6wins
5 of 10 to a deciderWisniewski leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMrugala60%3 of 5
AwayWisniewski80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Mrugala5Wisniewski5n = 10split evenly
S2Mrugala3Wisniewski7n = 10Wisniewski took 7 of 10
S3Mrugala4Wisniewski6n = 10Wisniewski took 6 of 10
S4Mrugala3Wisniewski5n = 8Wisniewski took 5 of 8
S5Mrugala3Wisniewski2n = 5Mrugala took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricMrugalaWisniewskiM − WBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match39.241.5−2.3per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMrugalaWisniewskiBasisWin rate · lifetime287 / 632 vs 901 / 188145.4%47.9%287 / 632 vs 901 / 1881Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.538.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
WisniewskiMrugala 1.95/Wisniewski 1.70
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.2%
Wisniewski · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Wisniewski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 31 · 21:55B. Mrugala—10860B. Wisniewski—1211113
WAug 31 · 17:45B. Mrugala—11711113B. Wisniewski—911371
WJul 27 · 19:20B. Mrugala—118117113B. Wisniewski—61181192
LJun 5 · 19:50B. Mrugala—11816572B. Wisniewski—9111411113
LMay 14 · 14:35B. Mrugala—711713102B. Wisniewski—1181111123
LMay 6 · 09:00B. Mrugala—671261B. Wisniewski—111110113
WApr 16 · 14:35B. Mrugala—1211811113B. Wisniewski—14811782
WMar 21 · 16:50B. Mrugala—111187113B. Wisniewski—53111132
LFeb 26 · 10:00B. Mrugala—119771B. Wisniewski—71111113
LFeb 18 · 01:20B. Mrugala—6580B. Wisniewski—1111113
B. Mrugala10
LSep 2 · 24:10B. Mrugala1.668970K. Marchlewski2.051111113LSep 1 · 23:20B. Mrugala1.857111031J. Rolak1.8511912113WSep 1 · 21:55B. Mrugala1.901311511113B. Wisniewski1.8015711692WSep 1 · 21:30B. Mrugala1.911111113W. Gluszek1.803680LSep 1 · 20:30B. Mrugala1.908114101J. Rolak1.8011811123LSep 1 · 18:55B. Mrugala2.2011791132D. Szlubowski1.57711119113WSep 1 · 17:45B. Mrugala2.1011118113W. Gluszek1.63681141WSep 1 · 15:00B. Mrugala1.5871111133K. Marchlewski2.181139111WSep 1 · 24:35B. Mrugala2.171111113M. Piecowski1.597880WAug 31 · 23:45M. Piecowski1.9811116972B. Mrugala1.73991111113
B. Wisniewski10
LSep 7 · 06:55A. Szoltysek1.68111211113B. Wisniewski2.05714631WSep 7 · 06:05B. Wisniewski1.8513114133M. Zwolinski1.8511911111LSep 7 · 04:30B. Wisniewski2.3411791262K. Sulkowski1.519111110113LSep 7 · 03:50S. Brud—1411133B. Wisniewski—126110WSep 6 · 14:20F. Jablonski1.95116871B. Wisniewski1.7631111113LSep 6 · 13:30K. Sulkowski1.601111123B. Wisniewski2.2058100WSep 6 · 11:25T. Piotrowski1.47115981B. Wisniewski2.4071111113LSep 6 · 10:35M. Sinicki1.3511118133B. Wisniewski2.907711111WSep 6 · 09:00K. Golaszewski1.8381111632B. Wisniewski1.87115711113LSep 1 · 21:55B. Mrugala1.901311511113B. Wisniewski1.8015711692
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