TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13055591
Played Aug 31Finished
Miroslaw Piecowski
Home
1.98
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
119119611911711
Bartlomiej Mrugala
Away
1.73
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:27 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMiroslaw Piecowski to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
95 points played in total.
Set by set
119119611911711
H2H Miroslaw Piecowski 3–3 Bartlomiej Mrugala Dead even across their 6 meetings.
Last 6 · 3–3Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 21:27What took a side1 for · 1 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (53%)
Mrugala
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-3 in 6
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Piecowski 1250 vs Mrugala 1226
Piecowski
Wrong
both rated, 24 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Piecowski 60% vs Mrugala 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Piecowski 40% vs Mrugala 30%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Piecowski +1 · Mrugala +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Mrugala) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPiecowski 1.98 / Mrugala 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Mrugala)+0.6pp
TT Elite Series · #13055591
Piecowski1.98
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog42% won 112 of 264
Down 0–1, comes back25% 36 of 142
Down 0–2, comes back6% 4 of 72
Mrugala1.73
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite49% won 66 of 134
Up 2–0, closes it96% 25 of 26
Up 1–0, closes it76% 45 of 59
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomePiecowski3wins
AwayMrugala3wins
1 of 6 to a deciderLevel at 3–3, and 1 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePiecowskin = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayMrugala75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Piecowski2Mrugala4n = 6Mrugala took 4 of 6
S2Piecowski4Mrugala2n = 6Piecowski took 4 of 6
S3Piecowski4Mrugala2n = 6Piecowski took 4 of 6
S4Piecowski3Mrugala2n = 5Piecowski took 3 of 5
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home117%
3–1Four sets, home233%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away117%
1–3Four sets, away233%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 6 meetings
MetricPiecowskiMrugalaP − MBasisWins330in 6 meetingsFirst set24−2of 6Avg pointsper match41.235.7+5.5per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPiecowskiMrugalaBasisWin rate · lifetime513 / 1156 vs 284 / 62944.4%45.2%513 / 1156 vs 284 / 629Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.437.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MrugalaPiecowski 1.98/Mrugala 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Mrugala · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Mrugala won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
WAug 31 · 20:05M. Piecowski—1111183B. Mrugala—29160
LMar 22 · 18:45M. Piecowski—811891B. Mrugala—11611113
WMar 11 · 13:35M. Piecowski—11911113B. Mrugala—411971
LFeb 26 · 14:00M. Piecowski—81191292B. Mrugala—1171110113
LFeb 18 · 11:05M. Piecowski—1561181B. Mrugala—17116113
WJan 28 · 10:00M. Piecowski—71111113B. Mrugala—116231
M. Piecowski10
LSep 3 · 24:10M. Piecowski1.34111578113M. Piecowski2.90713111192LSep 2 · 23:45M. Piecowski1.83611591K. Marchlewski1.8611411113WSep 2 · 22:55M. Piecowski1.7581111113W. Gluszek1.95118371WSep 2 · 21:05M. Piecowski1.9081111113M. Kowalczyk1.75119861WSep 2 · 20:05W. Gluszek2.105750M. Piecowski1.601111113LSep 2 · 19:20M. Kowalczyk1.7411118113M. Piecowski1.95241141LSep 2 · 17:20K. Marchlewski1.71117118113M. Piecowski1.9841191182WSep 2 · 16:35P. Strus1.6761114452M. Piecowski2.031191211113WSep 2 · 15:00M. Piecowski1.471112991M. Piecowski2.45131011113WSep 1 · 24:10B. Wisniewski1.603950M. Piecowski2.151111113
B. Mrugala10
LSep 2 · 24:10B. Mrugala1.668970K. Marchlewski2.051111113LSep 1 · 23:20B. Mrugala1.857111031J. Rolak1.8511912113WSep 1 · 21:55B. Mrugala1.901311511113B. Wisniewski1.8015711692WSep 1 · 21:30B. Mrugala1.911111113W. Gluszek1.803680LSep 1 · 20:30B. Mrugala1.908114101J. Rolak1.8011811123LSep 1 · 18:55B. Mrugala2.2011791132D. Szlubowski1.57711119113WSep 1 · 17:45B. Mrugala2.1011118113W. Gluszek1.63681141LSep 1 · 16:15B. Mrugala1.95891281B. Wisniewski1.70111110113WSep 1 · 15:00B. Mrugala1.5871111133K. Marchlewski2.181139111WSep 1 · 24:35B. Mrugala2.171111113M. Piecowski1.597880
Upcoming Matches
M. Piecowski
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B. Mrugala
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