TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13067550
Played Sep 2Finished
Miroslaw Piecowski
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
611114511911––
Kacper Marchlewski
Away
1.86
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:09 and never touched — 57.8% is still 57.8%
Graded at full timeKacper Marchlewski to win
57.8%
57.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
68 points played in total.
Set by set
611114511911––
H2H Miroslaw Piecowski 5–14 Kacper Marchlewski Miroslaw Piecowski has won 5 of their 19 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 22:09What took a side1 for · 5 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Piecowski
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-14 in 19
Marchlewski
Correct
gap of 9 in 19, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Piecowski 1278 vs Marchlewski 1201
Piecowski
Wrong
both rated, 77 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Piecowski 60% vs Marchlewski 40%
Piecowski
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Piecowski 70% vs Marchlewski 50%
Piecowski
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Piecowski +3 · Marchlewski -2
Piecowski
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Marchlewski) · live re-read · sealed at 58% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Marchlewski form (40%) is below what odds imply (54%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPiecowski 1.83 / Marchlewski 1.86
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Marchlewski)+4.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13067550
Piecowski1.83
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite51% won 65 of 128
Up 2–0, closes it88% 30 of 34
Up 1–0, closes it71% 49 of 69
Marchlewski1.86
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog36% won 41 of 115
Down 0–1, comes back12% 7 of 57
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 30
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePiecowski5wins
AwayMarchlewski5wins
7 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 7 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePiecowski50%2 of 4
AwayMarchlewski50%3 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Piecowski4Marchlewski6n = 10Marchlewski took 6 of 10
S2Piecowski6Marchlewski4n = 10Piecowski took 6 of 10
S3Piecowski6Marchlewski4n = 10Piecowski took 6 of 10
S4Piecowski4Marchlewski4n = 8split evenly
S5Piecowski3Marchlewski4n = 7Marchlewski took 4 of 7
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricPiecowskiMarchlewskiP − MBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match43.643.1+0.5per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPiecowskiMarchlewskiBasisWin rate · lifetime518 / 1163 vs 143 / 32544.5%44%518 / 1163 vs 143 / 325Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.436.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MarchlewskiPiecowski 1.83/Marchlewski 1.86
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Marchlewski · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Marchlewski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 2 · 17:20M. Piecowski—41191182K. Marchlewski—117118113
WAug 30 · 13:30M. Piecowski—1111123K. Marchlewski—84100
WAug 30 · 04:30M. Piecowski—10101112123K. Marchlewski—1212610102
WAug 7 · 24:10M. Piecowski—13811113K. Marchlewski—1111581
WAug 6 · 18:55M. Piecowski—9111210113K. Marchlewski—118101272
LJul 18 · 24:35M. Piecowski—111178102K. Marchlewski—971111123
LJul 17 · 22:10M. Piecowski—111031372K. Marchlewski—4121111113
WJul 17 · 17:45M. Piecowski—711138113K. Marchlewski—116111172
LMar 23 · 02:00M. Piecowski—4680K. Marchlewski—1111113
LMar 22 · 23:35M. Piecowski—511111392K. Marchlewski—119415113
M. Piecowski10
LSep 3 · 24:10M. Piecowski1.34111578113M. Piecowski2.90713111192WSep 2 · 22:55M. Piecowski1.7581111113W. Gluszek1.95118371WSep 2 · 21:05M. Piecowski1.9081111113M. Kowalczyk1.75119861WSep 2 · 20:05W. Gluszek2.105750M. Piecowski1.601111113LSep 2 · 19:20M. Kowalczyk1.7411118113M. Piecowski1.95241141LSep 2 · 17:20K. Marchlewski1.71117118113M. Piecowski1.9841191182WSep 2 · 16:35P. Strus1.6761114452M. Piecowski2.031191211113WSep 2 · 15:00M. Piecowski1.471112991M. Piecowski2.45131011113WSep 1 · 24:10B. Wisniewski1.603950M. Piecowski2.151111113LAug 31 · 23:45M. Piecowski1.9811116972B. Mrugala1.73991111113
K. Marchlewski10
WSep 3 · 24:35K. Marchlewski2.001111113W. Gluszek1.718980LSep 2 · 22:35K. Marchlewski1.8512940M. Kowalczyk1.801411113LSep 2 · 21:55M. Piecowski1.8511911113K. Marchlewski1.80711991WSep 2 · 19:40K. Marchlewski2.001111113P. Strus1.735670LSep 2 · 18:30K. Marchlewski2.24811881W. Gluszek1.5511911113WSep 2 · 17:20K. Marchlewski1.71117118113M. Piecowski1.9841191182LSep 2 · 16:15M. Piecowski1.831110118113K. Marchlewski1.8681241172LSep 2 · 15:25K. Marchlewski1.802950M. Kowalczyk1.901111113WSep 2 · 24:10B. Mrugala1.668970K. Marchlewski2.051111113WSep 1 · 23:45K. Marchlewski2.001311113B. Wisniewski1.7111890
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