TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13061414
Played Sep 1Finished
Kacper Marchlewski
Home
2.00
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1311118119––––
Bartlomiej Wisniewski
Away
1.71
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:55 and never touched — 54.3% is still 54.3%
Graded at full timeBartlomiej Wisniewski to win
54.3%
54.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
63 points played in total.
Set by set
1311118119––––
H2H Kacper Marchlewski 19–13 Bartlomiej Wisniewski Bartlomiej Wisniewski has won 13 of their 32 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 22:55What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.71 (54%)
Wisniewski
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
19-13 in 32
Marchlewski
Correct
gap of 6 in 32, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Marchlewski 1195 vs Wisniewski 1227
Wisniewski
Wrong
both rated, 32 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Marchlewski 80% vs Wisniewski 20%
Marchlewski
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Marchlewski 50% vs Wisniewski 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Marchlewski +3 · Wisniewski +1
Marchlewski
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Wisniewski)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Wisniewski form (20%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMarchlewski 2.00 / Wisniewski 1.71
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Wisniewski)+0.1pp
TT Elite Series · #13061414
Marchlewski2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog34% won 36 of 107
Down 0–1, comes back11% 6 of 55
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 29
Wisniewski1.71
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite54% won 187 of 344
Up 2–0, closes it96% 94 of 98
Up 1–0, closes it77% 154 of 199
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMarchlewski5wins
AwayWisniewski5wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMarchlewski100%4 of 4
AwayWisniewski83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Marchlewski4Wisniewski6n = 10Wisniewski took 6 of 10
S2Marchlewski4Wisniewski6n = 10Wisniewski took 6 of 10
S3Marchlewski4Wisniewski6n = 10Wisniewski took 6 of 10
S4Marchlewski5Wisniewski3n = 8Marchlewski took 5 of 8
S5Marchlewski2Wisniewski1n = 3Marchlewski took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricMarchlewskiWisniewskiM − WBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match38.238.8−0.6per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMarchlewskiWisniewskiBasisWin rate · lifetime139 / 316 vs 903 / 188744%47.9%139 / 316 vs 903 / 1887Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.638.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
WisniewskiMarchlewski 2.00/Wisniewski 1.71
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Wisniewski · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Marchlewski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 1 · 17:20K. Marchlewski—11911113B. Wisniewski—911351
LAug 30 · 14:20K. Marchlewski—981161B. Wisniewski—11117113
WAug 30 · 07:20K. Marchlewski—1171111113B. Wisniewski—61181382
LAug 29 · 04:30K. Marchlewski—8460B. Wisniewski—1111113
WAug 5 · 19:20K. Marchlewski—71111113B. Wisniewski—118751
WJul 27 · 15:00K. Marchlewski—116711113B. Wisniewski—81111672
LJul 17 · 20:05K. Marchlewski—81171262B. Wisniewski—1191110113
LJun 14 · 12:40K. Marchlewski—81210111B. Wisniewski—111012133
LJun 13 · 09:25K. Marchlewski—9950B. Wisniewski—1111113
WJun 12 · 21:10K. Marchlewski—11119123B. Wisniewski—9611101
K. Marchlewski10
WSep 3 · 24:35K. Marchlewski2.001111113W. Gluszek1.718980WSep 2 · 23:45M. Piecowski1.83611591K. Marchlewski1.8611411113LSep 2 · 22:35K. Marchlewski1.8512940M. Kowalczyk1.801411113LSep 2 · 21:55M. Piecowski1.8511911113K. Marchlewski1.80711991WSep 2 · 19:40K. Marchlewski2.001111113P. Strus1.735670LSep 2 · 18:30K. Marchlewski2.24811881W. Gluszek1.5511911113WSep 2 · 17:20K. Marchlewski1.71117118113M. Piecowski1.9841191182LSep 2 · 16:15M. Piecowski1.831110118113K. Marchlewski1.8681241172LSep 2 · 15:25K. Marchlewski1.802950M. Kowalczyk1.901111113WSep 2 · 24:10B. Mrugala1.668970K. Marchlewski2.051111113
B. Wisniewski10
LSep 7 · 06:55A. Szoltysek1.68111211113B. Wisniewski2.05714631WSep 7 · 06:05B. Wisniewski1.8513114133M. Zwolinski1.8511911111LSep 7 · 04:30B. Wisniewski2.3411791262K. Sulkowski1.519111110113LSep 7 · 03:50S. Brud—1411133B. Wisniewski—126110WSep 6 · 14:20F. Jablonski1.95116871B. Wisniewski1.7631111113LSep 6 · 13:30K. Sulkowski1.601111123B. Wisniewski2.2058100WSep 6 · 11:25T. Piotrowski1.47115981B. Wisniewski2.4071111113LSep 6 · 10:35M. Sinicki1.3511118133B. Wisniewski2.907711111WSep 6 · 09:00K. Golaszewski1.8381111632B. Wisniewski1.87115711113WSep 6 · 08:10K. Golaszewski2.261189101B. Wisniewski1.5541111123
Upcoming Matches
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B. Wisniewski
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