TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13065578
Played Sep 2Finished
Milosz Piecowski
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1181012114811117
Kacper Marchlewski
Away
1.86
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:21 and never touched — 54.8% is still 54.8%
Graded at full timeMilosz Piecowski to win
54.8%
54.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
93 points played in total.
Set by set
1181012114811117
H2H Milosz Piecowski 5–5 Kacper Marchlewski Dead even across their 10 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 15:21What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Piecowski
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-5 in 10
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Piecowski 1338 vs Marchlewski 1213
Piecowski
Correct
both rated, 125 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Piecowski 40% vs Marchlewski 80%
Marchlewski
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Piecowski 30% vs Marchlewski 60%
Marchlewski
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Piecowski -3 · Marchlewski -1
Piecowski
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Piecowski)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Marchlewski form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (54%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPiecowski 1.83 / Marchlewski 1.86
Signal prob.55% / 45%
Edge (Piecowski)+4.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13065578
Piecowski1.83
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite57% won 149 of 261
Up 2–0, closes it93% 38 of 41
Up 1–0, closes it75% 88 of 118
Marchlewski1.86
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog36% won 41 of 115
Down 0–1, comes back12% 7 of 57
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 30
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePiecowski5wins
AwayMarchlewski5wins
7 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 7 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePiecowski100%4 of 4
AwayMarchlewski83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Piecowski4Marchlewski6n = 10Marchlewski took 6 of 10
S2Piecowski4Marchlewski6n = 10Marchlewski took 6 of 10
S3Piecowski6Marchlewski4n = 10Piecowski took 6 of 10
S4Piecowski6Marchlewski3n = 9Piecowski took 6 of 9
S5Piecowski3Marchlewski4n = 7Marchlewski took 4 of 7
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricPiecowskiMarchlewskiP − MBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match42.743.5−0.8per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPiecowskiMarchlewskiBasisWin rate · lifetime856 / 1738 vs 141 / 31949.3%44.2%856 / 1738 vs 141 / 319Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.136.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PiecowskiPiecowski 1.83/Marchlewski 1.86
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.8%
Piecowski · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Piecowski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 30 · 09:00M. Piecowski—129711113K. Marchlewski—101111752
WAug 30 · 08:10M. Piecowski—12811113K. Marchlewski—1011781
WAug 6 · 21:30M. Piecowski—8131110123K. Marchlewski—1111812102
LAug 6 · 17:45M. Piecowski—6111111102K. Marchlewski—111376123
WJul 19 · 01:00M. Piecowski—11811113K. Marchlewski—711161
LJul 18 · 22:35M. Piecowski—61141182K. Marchlewski—116119113
LJul 18 · 20:30M. Piecowski—6860K. Marchlewski—1111113
LJun 14 · 14:40M. Piecowski—31191262K. Marchlewski—1171110113
WApr 19 · 18:35M. Piecowski—114116113K. Marchlewski—91191192
LMar 8 · 18:50M. Piecowski—121111852K. Marchlewski—146711113
M. Piecowski10
WSep 3 · 24:10M. Piecowski1.34111578113M. Piecowski2.90713111192WSep 2 · 23:20M. Piecowski1.831114113M. Kowalczyk1.8691270WSep 2 · 21:55M. Piecowski1.8511911113K. Marchlewski1.80711991LSep 2 · 21:30M. Piecowski1.6071110101W. Gluszek2.1011912123WSep 2 · 20:30M. Piecowski1.86111011113M. Kowalczyk1.83912691WSep 2 · 18:55M. Piecowski1.8571111123P. Strus1.851179101WSep 2 · 17:45M. Piecowski1.55101211123W. Gluszek2.2512108101LSep 2 · 15:00M. Piecowski1.471112991M. Piecowski2.45131011113LSep 1 · 24:35B. Mrugala2.171111113M. Piecowski1.597880LAug 31 · 22:55M. Piecowski2.558111110113M. Piecowski1.4511571282
K. Marchlewski10
WSep 3 · 24:35K. Marchlewski2.001111113W. Gluszek1.718980WSep 2 · 23:45M. Piecowski1.83611591K. Marchlewski1.8611411113LSep 2 · 22:35K. Marchlewski1.8512940M. Kowalczyk1.801411113LSep 2 · 21:55M. Piecowski1.8511911113K. Marchlewski1.80711991WSep 2 · 19:40K. Marchlewski2.001111113P. Strus1.735670LSep 2 · 18:30K. Marchlewski2.24811881W. Gluszek1.5511911113WSep 2 · 17:20K. Marchlewski1.71117118113M. Piecowski1.9841191182LSep 2 · 15:25K. Marchlewski1.802950M. Kowalczyk1.901111113WSep 2 · 24:10B. Mrugala1.668970K. Marchlewski2.051111113WSep 1 · 23:45K. Marchlewski2.001311113B. Wisniewski1.7111890
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