TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13066412
Played Sep 2Finished
Milosz Piecowski
Home
1.85
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
7111171191210––
Piotr Strus
Away
1.85
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:29 and never touched — 57.4% is still 57.4%
Graded at full timePiotr Strus to win
57.4%
57.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
78 points played in total.
Set by set
7111171191210––
H2H Milosz Piecowski 3–4 Piotr Strus Milosz Piecowski has won 3 of their 7 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 17:29What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.85 (50%)
Strus
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-4 in 7
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Piecowski 1355 vs Strus 1196
Piecowski
Correct
both rated, 159 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Piecowski 40% vs Strus 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Piecowski 50% vs Strus 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Piecowski +2 · Strus -3
Strus
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Piecowski) · live re-read · sealed at 43% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Strus form (40%) is below what odds imply (54%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPiecowski 1.85 / Strus 1.85
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Piecowski)+4.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13066412
Piecowski1.85
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Strus1.85
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomePiecowski3wins
AwayStrus4wins
3 of 7 to a deciderStrus leads 4–3, and 3 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePiecowskin = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayStrus80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Piecowski2Strus5n = 7Strus took 5 of 7
S2Piecowski4Strus3n = 7Piecowski took 4 of 7
S3Piecowski2Strus5n = 7Strus took 5 of 7
S4Piecowski1Strus3n = 4Strus took 3 of 4
S5Piecowski2Strus1n = 3Piecowski took 2 of 3
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home114%
3–2Decider, home229%
2–3Decider, away114%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away343%
These 7 meetings
MetricPiecowskiStrusP − SBasisWins34−1in 7 meetingsFirst set25−3of 7Avg pointsper match34.640.7−6.1per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPiecowskiStrusBasisWin rate · lifetime858 / 1740 vs 383 / 84349.3%45.4%858 / 1740 vs 383 / 843Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.137.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PiecowskiPiecowski 1.85/Strus 1.85
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Piecowski · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Piecowski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
WAug 19 · 18:55M. Piecowski—111259113P. Strus—810111182
WJun 24 · 19:40M. Piecowski—41111113P. Strus—118971
WMar 22 · 04:50M. Piecowski—111195113P. Strus—65111192
LOct 11 · 06:55M. Piecowski—64100P. Strus—1111123
LSep 7 · 09:00M. Piecowski—4940P. Strus—1111113
LMar 8 · 10:50M. Piecowski—17240P. Strus—1911113
LJan 11 · 08:05M. Piecowski—71611972P. Strus—1114511113
M. Piecowski10
WSep 3 · 24:10M. Piecowski1.34111578113M. Piecowski2.90713111192WSep 2 · 23:20M. Piecowski1.831114113M. Kowalczyk1.8691270WSep 2 · 21:55M. Piecowski1.8511911113K. Marchlewski1.80711991LSep 2 · 21:30M. Piecowski1.6071110101W. Gluszek2.1011912123WSep 2 · 20:30M. Piecowski1.86111011113M. Kowalczyk1.83912691WSep 2 · 17:45M. Piecowski1.55101211123W. Gluszek2.2512108101WSep 2 · 16:15M. Piecowski1.831110118113K. Marchlewski1.8681241172LSep 2 · 15:00M. Piecowski1.471112991M. Piecowski2.45131011113LSep 1 · 24:35B. Mrugala2.171111113M. Piecowski1.597880LAug 31 · 22:55M. Piecowski2.558111110113M. Piecowski1.4511571282
P. Strus10
WSep 4 · 19:40D. Poloszczanski1.651211411112P. Strus2.07143117133WSep 4 · 18:55D. Kotwica1.47119741P. Strus2.5081111113WSep 4 · 18:10P. Strus1.908111016113K. Golaszewski1.80118121482WSep 4 · 16:35P. Strus2.0591411133S. Wnek1.6511128111WSep 4 · 15:50D. Szlubowski1.27841171P. Strus3.3011116113LSep 2 · 19:40K. Marchlewski2.001111113P. Strus1.735670LSep 2 · 18:10P. Strus1.809590M. Kowalczyk1.851111113LSep 2 · 16:35P. Strus1.6761114452M. Piecowski2.031191211113LSep 2 · 15:50W. Gluszek1.65111184113P. Strus2.0799111172WAug 31 · 19:40M. Piecowski1.9511146752P. Strus1.769121111113
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