TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13078808
Played Sep 4Finished
Dawid Kotwica
Home
1.47
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
118911711411––
Piotr Strus
Away
2.50
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 3
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
72 points played in total.
Set by set
118911711411––
H2H Dawid Kotwica 8–5 Piotr Strus Piotr Strus has won 5 of their 13 meetings.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Kotwica)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Strus form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKotwica 1.47 / Strus 2.50
Signal prob.66% / 34%
Edge (Kotwica)+3.2pp
TT Elite Series · #13078808
Kotwica1.47
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite54% won 70 of 130
Up 2–0, closes it85% 29 of 34
Up 1–0, closes it77% 51 of 66
Strus2.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog46% won 107 of 233
Down 0–1, comes back27% 30 of 112
Down 0–2, comes back14% 9 of 63
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKotwica6wins
AwayStrus4wins
4 of 10 to a deciderKotwica leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKotwica75%3 of 4
AwayStrus50%3 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kotwica4Strus6n = 10Strus took 6 of 10
S2Kotwica5Strus5n = 10split evenly
S3Kotwica5Strus5n = 10split evenly
S4Kotwica4Strus4n = 8split evenly
S5Kotwica3Strus1n = 4Kotwica took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricKotwicaStrusK − SBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match40.141.8−1.7per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKotwicaStrusBasisWin rate · lifetime664 / 1601 vs 385 / 84341.5%45.7%664 / 1601 vs 385 / 843Avg sets wonper match1.71.9per matchAvg pointsper match35.438.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KotwicaKotwica 1.47/Strus 2.50
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
66.2%
Kotwica · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Strus won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WJun 8 · 19:05D. Kotwica—91115123P. Strus—11913101
WMay 26 · 20:40D. Kotwica—119123113P. Strus—611101182
LMay 19 · 20:40D. Kotwica—8960P. Strus—1111113
LMar 22 · 08:45D. Kotwica—6111751P. Strus—111315113
WMar 21 · 08:45D. Kotwica—31111113P. Strus—119991
LDec 25 · 15:30D. Kotwica—131199142P. Strus—1171111163
WNov 14 · 19:40D. Kotwica—111511633P. Strus—813131122
LNov 1 · 05:30D. Kotwica—6370P. Strus—1111113
WAug 30 · 11:45D. Kotwica—11119113P. Strus—651191
WAug 30 · 06:30D. Kotwica—891111113P. Strus—11118832
D. Kotwica10
WSep 4 · 23:20K. Golaszewski2.15711781D. Kotwica1.6011811113LSep 4 · 22:35K. Sulkowski1.85811611133D. Kotwica1.85113119112WSep 4 · 22:15D. Kotwica1.5711118113D. Poloszczanski2.20771191LSep 4 · 21:05S. Wnek2.1511711113D. Kotwica1.62511731LSep 4 · 20:30D. Kotwica1.904880K. Golaszewski1.801111113WSep 4 · 17:45D. Kotwica2.20121011113D. Szlubowski1.571012651LSep 4 · 16:15D. Kotwica1.7591191192D. Poloszczanski1.95118118113WSep 4 · 15:00D. Kotwica1.901311113S. Wnek1.7511650LAug 31 · 24:10D. Kotwica1.9587111672A. Mugowski1.751111914113LAug 30 · 23:20D. Kotwica1.9012351182M. Trela1.801011119113
P. Strus10
WSep 4 · 19:40D. Poloszczanski1.651211411112P. Strus2.07143117133WSep 4 · 18:10P. Strus1.908111016113K. Golaszewski1.80118121482WSep 4 · 16:35P. Strus2.0591411133S. Wnek1.6511128111WSep 4 · 15:50D. Szlubowski1.27841171P. Strus3.3011116113LSep 2 · 19:40K. Marchlewski2.001111113P. Strus1.735670LSep 2 · 18:55M. Piecowski1.8571111123P. Strus1.851179101LSep 2 · 18:10P. Strus1.809590M. Kowalczyk1.851111113LSep 2 · 16:35P. Strus1.6761114452M. Piecowski2.031191211113LSep 2 · 15:50W. Gluszek1.65111184113P. Strus2.0799111172WAug 31 · 19:40M. Piecowski1.9511146752P. Strus1.769121111113
Upcoming Matches
D. Kotwica
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P. Strus
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