TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13078591
Played Sep 4Finished
Dawid Kotwica
Home
2.20
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
12101012116115––
Dariusz Szlubowski
Away
1.57
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
77 points played in total.
Set by set
12101012116115––
H2H Dawid Kotwica 5–5 Dariusz Szlubowski Dead even across their 10 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Szlubowski)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kotwica form (20%) is below what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKotwica 2.20 / Szlubowski 1.57
Signal prob.44% / 56%
Edge (Szlubowski)-2.8pp (anti-value)
TT Elite Series · #13078591
Kotwica2.20
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog36% won 159 of 446
Down 0–1, comes back17% 44 of 259
Down 0–2, comes back3% 4 of 159
Szlubowski1.57
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest10%takes the first set · 1 of 10
As favourite63% won 82 of 131
Up 2–0, closes it89% 33 of 37
Up 1–0, closes it80% 51 of 64
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKotwica5wins
AwaySzlubowski5wins
5 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKotwica57.1%4 of 7
AwaySzlubowski66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kotwica7Szlubowski3n = 10Kotwica took 7 of 10
S2Kotwica6Szlubowski4n = 10Kotwica took 6 of 10
S3Kotwica5Szlubowski5n = 10split evenly
S4Kotwica4Szlubowski3n = 7Kotwica took 4 of 7
S5Kotwica1Szlubowski4n = 5Szlubowski took 4 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricKotwicaSzlubowskiK − SBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match39.638.7+0.9per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKotwicaSzlubowskiBasisWin rate · lifetime663 / 1600 vs 206 / 34241.4%60.2%663 / 1600 vs 206 / 342Avg sets wonper match1.72.2per matchAvg pointsper match35.439.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SzlubowskiKotwica 2.20/Szlubowski 1.57
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
55.6%
Szlubowski · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Kotwica won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 4 · 15:50D. Kotwica—5440D. Szlubowski—1111113
WJul 30 · 20:05D. Kotwica—91111113D. Szlubowski—115851
WJun 5 · 15:25D. Kotwica—1111113D. Szlubowski—7870
LMay 26 · 18:20D. Kotwica—11411962D. Szlubowski—511911113
LDec 19 · 17:25D. Kotwica—111141052D. Szlubowski—961112113
LNov 28 · 21:40D. Kotwica—910111192D. Szlubowski—111287113
WNov 14 · 18:05D. Kotwica—1361011103D. Szlubowski—111112592
WAug 22 · 19:30D. Kotwica—11154113D. Szlubowski—3131191
LJun 13 · 19:30D. Kotwica—1111812102D. Szlubowski—881114123
WJan 10 · 20:40D. Kotwica—1111113D. Szlubowski—7680
D. Kotwica10
WSep 4 · 23:20K. Golaszewski2.15711781D. Kotwica1.6011811113LSep 4 · 22:35K. Sulkowski1.85811611133D. Kotwica1.85113119112WSep 4 · 22:15D. Kotwica1.5711118113D. Poloszczanski2.20771191LSep 4 · 21:05S. Wnek2.1511711113D. Kotwica1.62511731LSep 4 · 20:30D. Kotwica1.904880K. Golaszewski1.801111113LSep 4 · 18:55D. Kotwica1.47119741P. Strus2.5081111113LSep 4 · 16:15D. Kotwica1.7591191192D. Poloszczanski1.95118118113WSep 4 · 15:00D. Kotwica1.901311113S. Wnek1.7511650LAug 31 · 24:10D. Kotwica1.9587111672A. Mugowski1.751111914113LAug 30 · 23:20D. Kotwica1.9012351182M. Trela1.801011119113
D. Szlubowski10
WSep 4 · 20:05D. Szlubowski1.871111129113S. Wnek1.83713101162LSep 4 · 18:30D. Poloszczanski2.05111666113D. Szlubowski1.66814111182LSep 4 · 16:55D. Szlubowski1.5491111482K. Golaszewski2.35119611113LSep 4 · 15:50D. Szlubowski1.27841171P. Strus3.3011116113WSep 1 · 19:40B. Wisniewski3.25951121D. Szlubowski1.2811117113WSep 1 · 18:55B. Mrugala2.2011791132D. Szlubowski1.57711119113WSep 1 · 18:10D. Szlubowski1.4771111113J. Rolak2.50118781WSep 1 · 16:35D. Szlubowski1.65811119113K. Marchlewski2.0611581142LSep 1 · 15:50W. Gluszek2.50111178113D. Szlubowski1.4677111172WAug 27 · 19:40M. Kowalczyk2.40115951D. Szlubowski1.4981111113
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