TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13049967
Played Aug 30Finished
Dawid Kotwica
Home
1.90
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 3
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1210311511119811
Mateusz Trela
Away
1.80
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:26 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeDawid Kotwica to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
91 points played in total.
Set by set
1210311511119811
H2H Dawid Kotwica 14–15 Mateusz Trela Dawid Kotwica has won 14 of their 29 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 22:26What took a side1 for · 3 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Trela
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
14-15 in 29
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kotwica 1338 vs Trela 1348
Trela
Correct
both rated, 9 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kotwica 40% vs Trela 60%
Trela
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kotwica 60% vs Trela 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kotwica -3 · Trela +1
Kotwica
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Trela) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kotwica form (40%) is below what odds imply (53%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKotwica 1.90 / Trela 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Trela)+2.6pp
TT Elite Series · #13049967
Kotwica1.90
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest90%takes the first set · 9 of 10
As underdog36% won 163 of 454
Down 0–1, comes back17% 44 of 267
Down 0–2, comes back2% 4 of 165
Trela1.80
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite53% won 142 of 267
Up 2–0, closes it93% 52 of 56
Up 1–0, closes it70% 95 of 136
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKotwica4wins
AwayTrela6wins
5 of 10 to a deciderTrela leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKotwica33.3%1 of 3
AwayTrela57.1%4 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kotwica3Trela7n = 10Trela took 7 of 10
S2Kotwica5Trela5n = 10split evenly
S3Kotwica5Trela5n = 10split evenly
S4Kotwica4Trela4n = 8split evenly
S5Kotwica2Trela3n = 5Trela took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricKotwicaTrelaK − TBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match38.041.6−3.6per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKotwicaTrelaBasisWin rate · lifetime670 / 1620 vs 792 / 162441.4%48.8%670 / 1620 vs 792 / 1624Avg sets wonper match1.72.0per matchAvg pointsper match35.338.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TrelaKotwica 1.90/Trela 1.80
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Trela · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Trela won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 30 · 20:30D. Kotwica—11491172M. Trela—811116113
WAug 23 · 08:10D. Kotwica—117811113M. Trela—61111972
WAug 5 · 24:35D. Kotwica—511118113M. Trela—11951162
WJul 30 · 21:05D. Kotwica—71211113M. Trela—1110991
LJul 30 · 15:00D. Kotwica—6370M. Trela—1111113
LApr 9 · 12:35D. Kotwica—12115772M. Trela—1071111113
WApr 1 · 06:40D. Kotwica—101111113M. Trela—128791
LApr 1 · 04:10D. Kotwica—91117792M. Trela—1161511113
LMar 21 · 04:25D. Kotwica—8580M. Trela—1111113
LMar 16 · 13:10D. Kotwica—2511101M. Trela—11114123
D. Kotwica10
WSep 4 · 23:20K. Golaszewski2.15711781D. Kotwica1.6011811113LSep 4 · 22:35K. Sulkowski1.85811611133D. Kotwica1.85113119112WSep 4 · 22:15D. Kotwica1.5711118113D. Poloszczanski2.20771191LSep 4 · 21:05S. Wnek2.1511711113D. Kotwica1.62511731LSep 4 · 20:30D. Kotwica1.904880K. Golaszewski1.801111113LSep 4 · 18:55D. Kotwica1.47119741P. Strus2.5081111113WSep 4 · 17:45D. Kotwica2.20121011113D. Szlubowski1.571012651LSep 4 · 16:15D. Kotwica1.7591191192D. Poloszczanski1.95118118113WSep 4 · 15:00D. Kotwica1.901311113S. Wnek1.7511650LAug 31 · 24:10D. Kotwica1.9587111672A. Mugowski1.751111914113
M. Trela10
WSep 6 · 23:20A. Myszewski1.91815100M. Trela1.771117123LSep 6 · 22:35A. Linek1.60412811113M. Trela2.15111011842WSep 6 · 22:15M. Trela1.941111117113B. Sulkowski1.7461341192LSep 6 · 21:05A. Lilien1.471111113M. Trela2.453880LSep 6 · 20:30M. Trela1.87991161A. Myszewski1.8311118113LSep 6 · 18:55M. Trela2.239711121B. Sulkowski1.5611112143LSep 6 · 17:45M. Trela2.851110121062A. Wos1.359121012113WSep 6 · 16:15M. Trela2.604101111113J. Michalczyk1.4211127772WSep 6 · 15:00M. Trela3.051111113A. Lilien1.319890LSep 4 · 24:10M. Trela1.859870W. Gluszek1.851111113
Upcoming Matches
D. Kotwica
Nothing scheduled
M. Trela
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.