TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13078843
Played Sep 4Finished
Stanislaw Wnek
Home
2.15
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
115711117113––
Dawid Kotwica
Away
1.62
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:20 and never touched — 58.3% is still 58.3%
Graded at full timeDawid Kotwica to win
58.3%
58.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
66 points played in total.
Set by set
115711117113––
H2H Stanislaw Wnek 7–8 Dawid Kotwica Stanislaw Wnek has won 7 of their 15 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:20What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.62 (57%)
Kotwica
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-8 in 15
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Wnek 1185 vs Kotwica 1294
Kotwica
Wrong
both rated, 109 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Wnek 20% vs Kotwica 40%
Kotwica
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Wnek 20% vs Kotwica 20%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Wnek -1 · Kotwica -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 60% — Slight lean (leans Kotwica) · live re-read · sealed at 58% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kotwica form (40%) is below what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsWnek 2.15 / Kotwica 1.62
Signal prob.40% / 60%
Edge (Kotwica)+3.2pp
TT Elite Series · #13078843
Wnek2.15
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog40% won 122 of 302
Down 0–1, comes back19% 33 of 174
Down 0–2, comes back2% 2 of 87
Kotwica1.62
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite54% won 70 of 130
Up 2–0, closes it85% 29 of 34
Up 1–0, closes it77% 51 of 66
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeWnek5wins
AwayKotwica5wins
Level at 5–5.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeWnek80%4 of 5
AwayKotwica80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Wnek5Kotwica5n = 10split evenly
S2Wnek4Kotwica6n = 10Kotwica took 6 of 10
S3Wnek7Kotwica3n = 10Wnek took 7 of 10
S4Wnek3Kotwica4n = 7Kotwica took 4 of 7
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricWnekKotwicaW − KBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match34.232.4+1.8per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricWnekKotwicaBasisWin rate · lifetime703 / 1384 vs 664 / 160350.8%41.4%703 / 1384 vs 664 / 1603Avg sets wonper match2.01.7per matchAvg pointsper match37.335.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KotwicaWnek 2.15/Kotwica 1.62
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
60.2%
Kotwica · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Wnek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 4 · 21:05S. Wnek—11711113D. Kotwica—511731
LSep 4 · 15:00S. Wnek—11650D. Kotwica—1311113
LJun 8 · 20:15S. Wnek—118711D. Kotwica—91111113
WMay 26 · 17:05S. Wnek—11911113D. Kotwica—711931
LApr 29 · 02:20S. Wnek—10111171D. Kotwica—12137113
WApr 28 · 23:55S. Wnek—1111113D. Kotwica—9450
WApr 28 · 18:20S. Wnek—1111113D. Kotwica—5660
WDec 24 · 06:40S. Wnek—61111113D. Kotwica—118471
LDec 10 · 24:45S. Wnek—871171D. Kotwica—11117113
LDec 9 · 22:20S. Wnek—612791D. Kotwica—111011113
S. Wnek10
LSep 5 · 24:10K. Golaszewski1.8611137123S. Wnek1.8081111101LSep 4 · 23:45S. Wnek1.80881191K. Sulkowski1.8511116113LSep 4 · 22:55S. Wnek1.907230D. Poloszczanski1.771111113LSep 4 · 20:05D. Szlubowski1.871111129113S. Wnek1.83713101162WSep 4 · 19:20K. Golaszewski1.786930S. Wnek1.891111113LSep 4 · 17:20D. Poloszczanski1.7611115133S. Wnek1.957711111LSep 4 · 16:35P. Strus2.0591411133S. Wnek1.6511128111LSep 4 · 15:00D. Kotwica1.901311113S. Wnek1.7511650WSep 3 · 08:10K. Klocek1.651161211102S. Wnek2.05911144123LSep 3 · 07:20R. Stapor1.3891115113S. Wnek2.751151381
D. Kotwica10
WSep 4 · 23:20K. Golaszewski2.15711781D. Kotwica1.6011811113LSep 4 · 22:35K. Sulkowski1.85811611133D. Kotwica1.85113119112WSep 4 · 22:15D. Kotwica1.5711118113D. Poloszczanski2.20771191LSep 4 · 20:30D. Kotwica1.904880K. Golaszewski1.801111113LSep 4 · 18:55D. Kotwica1.47119741P. Strus2.5081111113WSep 4 · 17:45D. Kotwica2.20121011113D. Szlubowski1.571012651LSep 4 · 16:15D. Kotwica1.7591191192D. Poloszczanski1.95118118113WSep 4 · 15:00D. Kotwica1.901311113S. Wnek1.7511650LAug 31 · 24:10D. Kotwica1.9587111672A. Mugowski1.751111914113LAug 30 · 23:20D. Kotwica1.9012351182M. Trela1.801011119113
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