TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13079709
Played Sep 4Finished
Stanislaw Wnek
Home
1.80
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
811811116911––
Karol Sulkowski
Away
1.85
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:29 and never touched — 58.2% is still 58.2%
Graded at full timeKarol Sulkowski to win
58.2%
58.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
75 points played in total.
Set by set
811811116911––
H2H Stanislaw Wnek 2–3 Karol Sulkowski Stanislaw Wnek has won 2 of their 5 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 22:29What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Wnek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-3 in 5
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Wnek 1194 vs Sulkowski 1280
Sulkowski
Correct
both rated, 86 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Wnek 40% vs Sulkowski 80%
Sulkowski
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Wnek 30% vs Sulkowski 60%
Sulkowski
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Wnek +1 · Sulkowski +3
Sulkowski
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Sulkowski) · live re-read · sealed at 58% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sulkowski form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (54%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsWnek 1.80 / Sulkowski 1.85
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Sulkowski)+4.7pp
TT Elite Series · #13079709
Wnek1.80
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite58% won 121 of 209
Up 2–0, closes it96% 44 of 46
Up 1–0, closes it77% 89 of 115
Sulkowski1.85
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog36% won 156 of 430
Down 0–1, comes back15% 39 of 256
Down 0–2, comes back1% 2 of 141
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeWnek2wins
AwaySulkowski3wins
1 of 5 to a deciderSulkowski leads 3–2, and 1 of those 5 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeWnek66.7%2 of 3
AwaySulkowskin = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Wnek3Sulkowski2n = 5Wnek took 3 of 5
S2Wnek2Sulkowski3n = 5Sulkowski took 3 of 5
S3Wnek1Sulkowski4n = 5Sulkowski took 4 of 5
S4Wnek3Sulkowski1n = 4Wnek took 3 of 4
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home240%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away120%
1–3Four sets, away120%
0–3Straight, away120%
These 5 meetings
MetricWnekSulkowskiW − SBasisWins23−1in 5 meetingsFirst set32+1of 5Avg pointsper match37.040.2−3.2per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricWnekSulkowskiBasisWin rate · lifetime703 / 1384 vs 615 / 124450.8%49.4%703 / 1384 vs 615 / 1244Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.338.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SulkowskiWnek 1.80/Sulkowski 1.85
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Sulkowski · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Sulkowski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
LAug 24 · 23:45S. Wnek—11991182K. Sulkowski—911117113
LAug 24 · 03:25S. Wnek—6830K. Sulkowski—1111113
WJun 1 · 17:30S. Wnek—13711113K. Sulkowski—1111981
WMar 25 · 11:55S. Wnek—11118113K. Sulkowski—991191
LFeb 3 · 12:45S. Wnek—6119111K. Sulkowski—11711133
S. Wnek10
LSep 5 · 24:10K. Golaszewski1.8611137123S. Wnek1.8081111101LSep 4 · 22:55S. Wnek1.907230D. Poloszczanski1.771111113WSep 4 · 21:05S. Wnek2.1511711113D. Kotwica1.62511731LSep 4 · 20:05D. Szlubowski1.871111129113S. Wnek1.83713101162WSep 4 · 19:20K. Golaszewski1.786930S. Wnek1.891111113LSep 4 · 17:20D. Poloszczanski1.7611115133S. Wnek1.957711111LSep 4 · 16:35P. Strus2.0591411133S. Wnek1.6511128111LSep 4 · 15:00D. Kotwica1.901311113S. Wnek1.7511650WSep 3 · 08:10K. Klocek1.651161211102S. Wnek2.05911144123LSep 3 · 07:20R. Stapor1.3891115113S. Wnek2.751151381
K. Sulkowski10
WSep 7 · 07:20M. Zwolinski2.009912101K. Sulkowski1.70111110123LSep 7 · 05:15B. Czerwinski1.541111113K. Sulkowski2.254950WSep 7 · 04:30B. Wisniewski2.3411791262K. Sulkowski1.519111110113LSep 7 · 03:00A. Szoltysek2.0512117113K. Sulkowski1.681021181WSep 6 · 14:40K. Golaszewski2.35571181K. Sulkowski1.5011118113WSep 6 · 13:30K. Sulkowski1.601111123B. Wisniewski2.2058100WSep 6 · 12:15M. Sinicki1.856880K. Sulkowski1.851111113WSep 6 · 11:00F. Jablonski1.9011761152K. Sulkowski1.75511119113WSep 6 · 09:25T. Piotrowski2.1561090K. Sulkowski1.601112113WSep 6 · 07:40K. Sulkowski1.5311118123F. Jablonski2.359911101
Upcoming Matches
S. Wnek
Nothing scheduled
K. Sulkowski1 of 2 neutral
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