TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13071900
Played Sep 4Finished
Dawid Kotwica
Home
1.90
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 5
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1311116115––––
Stanislaw Wnek
Away
1.75
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:08 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeStanislaw Wnek to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
57 points played in total.
Set by set
1311116115––––
H2H Dawid Kotwica 7–6 Stanislaw Wnek Stanislaw Wnek has won 6 of their 13 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 14:08What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.75 (52%)
Wnek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-6 in 13
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kotwica 1319 vs Wnek 1197
Kotwica
Correct
both rated, 121 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kotwica 0% vs Wnek 20%
Wnek
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kotwica 40% vs Wnek 20%
Kotwica
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kotwica -5 · Wnek +1
Kotwica
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Kotwica) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Wnek form (20%) is below what odds imply (57%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKotwica 1.90 / Wnek 1.75
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Kotwica)+6.1pp
TT Elite Series · #13071900
Kotwica1.90
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest90%takes the first set · 9 of 10
As underdog36% won 159 of 446
Down 0–1, comes back17% 44 of 259
Down 0–2, comes back3% 4 of 159
Wnek1.75
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite58% won 121 of 209
Up 2–0, closes it96% 44 of 46
Up 1–0, closes it77% 89 of 115
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKotwica4wins
AwayWnek6wins
Wnek leads 6–4.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKotwica75%3 of 4
AwayWnek83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kotwica4Wnek6n = 10Wnek took 6 of 10
S2Kotwica4Wnek6n = 10Wnek took 6 of 10
S3Kotwica2Wnek8n = 10Wnek took 8 of 10
S4Kotwica4Wnek2n = 6Kotwica took 4 of 6
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away440%
These 10 meetings
MetricKotwicaWnekK − WBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match30.934.7−3.8per matchSweeps04−43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKotwicaWnekBasisWin rate · lifetime662 / 1598 vs 701 / 137841.4%50.9%662 / 1598 vs 701 / 1378Avg sets wonper match1.72.0per matchAvg pointsper match35.437.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KotwicaKotwica 1.90/Wnek 1.75
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Kotwica · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Kotwica won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WJun 8 · 20:15D. Kotwica—91111113S. Wnek—118711
LMay 26 · 17:05D. Kotwica—711931S. Wnek—11911113
WApr 29 · 02:20D. Kotwica—12137113S. Wnek—10111171
LApr 28 · 23:55D. Kotwica—9450S. Wnek—1111113
LApr 28 · 18:20D. Kotwica—5660S. Wnek—1111113
LDec 24 · 06:40D. Kotwica—118471S. Wnek—61111113
WDec 10 · 24:45D. Kotwica—11117113S. Wnek—871171
WDec 9 · 22:20D. Kotwica—111011113S. Wnek—612791
LDec 9 · 21:30D. Kotwica—86100S. Wnek—1111123
LDec 4 · 01:10D. Kotwica—8590S. Wnek—1111113
D. Kotwica10
WSep 4 · 23:20K. Golaszewski2.15711781D. Kotwica1.6011811113LSep 4 · 22:35K. Sulkowski1.85811611133D. Kotwica1.85113119112WSep 4 · 22:15D. Kotwica1.5711118113D. Poloszczanski2.20771191LSep 4 · 21:05S. Wnek2.1511711113D. Kotwica1.62511731LSep 4 · 20:30D. Kotwica1.904880K. Golaszewski1.801111113LSep 4 · 18:55D. Kotwica1.47119741P. Strus2.5081111113WSep 4 · 17:45D. Kotwica2.20121011113D. Szlubowski1.571012651LSep 4 · 16:15D. Kotwica1.7591191192D. Poloszczanski1.95118118113LAug 31 · 24:10D. Kotwica1.9587111672A. Mugowski1.751111914113LAug 30 · 23:20D. Kotwica1.9012351182M. Trela1.801011119113
S. Wnek10
LSep 5 · 24:10K. Golaszewski1.8611137123S. Wnek1.8081111101LSep 4 · 23:45S. Wnek1.80881191K. Sulkowski1.8511116113LSep 4 · 22:55S. Wnek1.907230D. Poloszczanski1.771111113WSep 4 · 21:05S. Wnek2.1511711113D. Kotwica1.62511731LSep 4 · 20:05D. Szlubowski1.871111129113S. Wnek1.83713101162WSep 4 · 19:20K. Golaszewski1.786930S. Wnek1.891111113LSep 4 · 17:20D. Poloszczanski1.7611115133S. Wnek1.957711111LSep 4 · 16:35P. Strus2.0591411133S. Wnek1.6511128111WSep 3 · 08:10K. Klocek1.651161211102S. Wnek2.05911144123LSep 3 · 07:20R. Stapor1.3891115113S. Wnek2.751151381
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