TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13074511
Played Sep 4Finished
Mateusz Trela
Home
1.85
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
911811711––––
Wojciech Gluszek
Away
1.85
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 23:59 and never touched — 54.4% is still 54.4%
Graded at full timeMateusz Trela to win
54.4%
54.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
57 points played in total.
Set by set
911811711––––
H2H Mateusz Trela 23–19 Wojciech Gluszek Wojciech Gluszek has won 19 of their 42 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 23:59What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.85 (50%)
Gluszek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
23-19 in 42
Trela
Wrong
gap of 4 in 42, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Trela 1351 vs Gluszek 1256
Trela
Wrong
both rated, 95 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Trela 60% vs Gluszek 100%
Gluszek
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Trela 60% vs Gluszek 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Trela -1 · Gluszek +5
Gluszek
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Trela)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Gluszek form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (54%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsTrela 1.85 / Gluszek 1.85
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Trela)+4.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13074511
Trela1.85
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Gluszek1.85
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 5
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeTrela7wins
AwayGluszek3wins
2 of 10 to a deciderTrela leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeTrela33.3%1 of 3
AwayGluszek14.3%1 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Trela3Gluszek7n = 10Gluszek took 7 of 10
S2Trela6Gluszek4n = 10Trela took 6 of 10
S3Trela6Gluszek4n = 10Trela took 6 of 10
S4Trela6Gluszek3n = 9Trela took 6 of 9
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home550%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricTrelaGluszekT − GBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match39.238.0+1.2per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricTrelaGluszekBasisWin rate · lifetime800 / 1637 vs 867 / 182148.9%47.6%800 / 1637 vs 867 / 1821Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.336.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TrelaTrela 1.85/Gluszek 1.85
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54.4%
Trela · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Gluszek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 3 · 15:00M. Trela—31111113W. Gluszek—118841
WAug 24 · 21:30M. Trela—51111113W. Gluszek—118991
WAug 24 · 17:45M. Trela—11117133W. Gluszek—5811111
LAug 17 · 21:55M. Trela—59130W. Gluszek—1111153
WAug 4 · 23:45M. Trela—714159113W. Gluszek—1112131182
WJul 27 · 03:50M. Trela—91111113W. Gluszek—115561
LJul 4 · 11:00M. Trela—112751W. Gluszek—71111113
WJun 11 · 10:05M. Trela—81411113W. Gluszek—1112951
WMay 27 · 13:00M. Trela—981111123W. Gluszek—111173102
LMay 12 · 13:00M. Trela—114971W. Gluszek—61111113
M. Trela10
WSep 6 · 23:20A. Myszewski1.91815100M. Trela1.771117123LSep 6 · 22:35A. Linek1.60412811113M. Trela2.15111011842WSep 6 · 22:15M. Trela1.941111117113B. Sulkowski1.7461341192LSep 6 · 21:05A. Lilien1.471111113M. Trela2.453880LSep 6 · 20:30M. Trela1.87991161A. Myszewski1.8311118113LSep 6 · 18:55M. Trela2.239711121B. Sulkowski1.5611112143LSep 6 · 17:45M. Trela2.851110121062A. Wos1.359121012113WSep 6 · 16:15M. Trela2.604101111113J. Michalczyk1.4211127772WSep 6 · 15:00M. Trela3.051111113A. Lilien1.319890WSep 3 · 23:20M. Trela2.0511911113J. Rolak1.68611471
W. Gluszek10
WSep 3 · 23:45W. Gluszek1.861611113113K. Golaszewski1.8018881172WSep 3 · 22:55W. Gluszek2.15118114123K. Sulkowski1.63911911102WSep 3 · 21:05W. Gluszek1.8011117113J. Rolak1.90961191WSep 3 · 20:05K. Sulkowski1.55127661W. Gluszek2.25101111113WSep 3 · 19:20J. Rolak1.5210630W. Gluszek2.351211113LSep 3 · 17:20M. Kowalczyk1.751111113W. Gluszek1.904460LSep 3 · 16:35K. Golaszewski1.791111113W. Gluszek1.885890LSep 3 · 15:00M. Trela1.8531111113W. Gluszek1.80118841LSep 3 · 24:35K. Marchlewski2.001111113W. Gluszek1.718980LSep 2 · 22:55M. Piecowski1.7581111113W. Gluszek1.95118371
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