TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13065584
Played Sep 3Finished
Mateusz Trela
Home
1.85
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
311118118114––
Wojciech Gluszek
Away
1.80
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:18 and never touched — 63.4% is still 63.4%
Graded at full timeMateusz Trela to win
63.4%
63.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
67 points played in total.
Set by set
311118118114––
H2H Mateusz Trela 22–19 Wojciech Gluszek Wojciech Gluszek has won 19 of their 41 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 15:18What took a side4 for · 2 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Gluszek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
22-19 in 41
Trela
Correct
gap of 3 in 41, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Trela 1358 vs Gluszek 1217
Trela
Correct
both rated, 142 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Trela 60% vs Gluszek 20%
Trela
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Trela 70% vs Gluszek 40%
Trela
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Trela +1 · Gluszek -3
Gluszek
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Trela) · live re-read · sealed at 63% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Gluszek form (20%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsTrela 1.85 / Gluszek 1.80
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Trela)+4.7pp
TT Elite Series · #13065584
Trela1.85
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog45% won 171 of 384
Down 0–1, comes back26% 56 of 213
Down 0–2, comes back9% 10 of 106
Gluszek1.80
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite57% won 187 of 327
Up 2–0, closes it95% 95 of 100
Up 1–0, closes it77% 145 of 188
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeTrela7wins
AwayGluszek3wins
2 of 10 to a deciderTrela leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeTrela33.3%1 of 3
AwayGluszek14.3%1 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Trela3Gluszek7n = 10Gluszek took 7 of 10
S2Trela6Gluszek4n = 10Trela took 6 of 10
S3Trela6Gluszek4n = 10Trela took 6 of 10
S4Trela6Gluszek3n = 9Trela took 6 of 9
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home550%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricTrelaGluszekT − GBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match39.838.3+1.5per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricTrelaGluszekBasisWin rate · lifetime796 / 1630 vs 866 / 182348.8%47.5%796 / 1630 vs 866 / 1823Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.336.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TrelaTrela 1.85/Gluszek 1.80
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Trela · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Trela won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 24 · 21:30M. Trela—51111113W. Gluszek—118991
WAug 24 · 17:45M. Trela—11117133W. Gluszek—5811111
LAug 17 · 21:55M. Trela—59130W. Gluszek—1111153
WAug 4 · 23:45M. Trela—714159113W. Gluszek—1112131182
WJul 27 · 03:50M. Trela—91111113W. Gluszek—115561
LJul 4 · 11:00M. Trela—112751W. Gluszek—71111113
WJun 11 · 10:05M. Trela—81411113W. Gluszek—1112951
WMay 27 · 13:00M. Trela—981111123W. Gluszek—111173102
LMay 12 · 13:00M. Trela—114971W. Gluszek—61111113
WMay 2 · 10:10M. Trela—91111113W. Gluszek—118871
M. Trela10
WSep 6 · 23:20A. Myszewski1.91815100M. Trela1.771117123LSep 6 · 22:35A. Linek1.60412811113M. Trela2.15111011842WSep 6 · 22:15M. Trela1.941111117113B. Sulkowski1.7461341192LSep 6 · 21:05A. Lilien1.471111113M. Trela2.453880LSep 6 · 20:30M. Trela1.87991161A. Myszewski1.8311118113LSep 6 · 18:55M. Trela2.239711121B. Sulkowski1.5611112143LSep 6 · 17:45M. Trela2.851110121062A. Wos1.359121012113WSep 6 · 16:15M. Trela2.604101111113J. Michalczyk1.4211127772WSep 6 · 15:00M. Trela3.051111113A. Lilien1.319890LSep 4 · 24:10M. Trela1.859870W. Gluszek1.851111113
W. Gluszek10
WSep 4 · 24:10M. Trela1.859870W. Gluszek1.851111113WSep 3 · 23:45W. Gluszek1.861611113113K. Golaszewski1.8018881172WSep 3 · 22:55W. Gluszek2.15118114123K. Sulkowski1.63911911102WSep 3 · 21:05W. Gluszek1.8011117113J. Rolak1.90961191WSep 3 · 20:05K. Sulkowski1.55127661W. Gluszek2.25101111113WSep 3 · 19:20J. Rolak1.5210630W. Gluszek2.351211113LSep 3 · 17:20M. Kowalczyk1.751111113W. Gluszek1.904460LSep 3 · 16:35K. Golaszewski1.791111113W. Gluszek1.885890LSep 3 · 24:35K. Marchlewski2.001111113W. Gluszek1.718980LSep 2 · 22:55M. Piecowski1.7581111113W. Gluszek1.95118371
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