TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13067893
Played Sep 3Finished
Kacper Marchlewski
Home
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
118119118––––
Wojciech Gluszek
Away
1.71
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 23:10 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeKacper Marchlewski to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
58 points played in total.
Set by set
118119118––––
H2H Kacper Marchlewski 5–4 Wojciech Gluszek Wojciech Gluszek has won 4 of their 9 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 23:10What took a side0 for · 2 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.71 (54%)
Gluszek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-4 in 9
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Marchlewski 1216 vs Gluszek 1232
Gluszek
Wrong
both rated, 16 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Marchlewski 40% vs Gluszek 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Marchlewski 50% vs Gluszek 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Marchlewski +1 · Gluszek -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
0 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Gluszek) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Gluszek form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMarchlewski 2.00 / Gluszek 1.71
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Gluszek)+0.1pp
TT Elite Series · #13067893
Marchlewski2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog36% won 41 of 115
Down 0–1, comes back12% 7 of 57
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 30
Gluszek1.71
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite57% won 188 of 329
Up 2–0, closes it95% 94 of 99
Up 1–0, closes it77% 145 of 188
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 9 meetings
HomeMarchlewski5wins
AwayGluszek4wins
3 of 9 to a deciderMarchlewski leads 5–4, and 3 of those 9 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMarchlewski100%3 of 3
AwayGluszek66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Marchlewski3Gluszek6n = 9Gluszek took 6 of 9
S2Marchlewski4Gluszek5n = 9Gluszek took 5 of 9
S3Marchlewski3Gluszek6n = 9Gluszek took 6 of 9
S4Marchlewski6Gluszek1n = 7Marchlewski took 6 of 7
S5Marchlewski2Gluszek1n = 3Marchlewski took 2 of 3
How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home333%
3–2Decider, home222%
2–3Decider, away111%
1–3Four sets, away111%
0–3Straight, away222%
These 9 meetings
MetricMarchlewskiGluszekM − GBasisWins54+1in 9 meetingsFirst set36−3of 9Avg pointsper match38.838.2+0.6per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMarchlewskiGluszekBasisWin rate · lifetime144 / 326 vs 866 / 182244.2%47.5%144 / 326 vs 866 / 1822Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.536.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
GluszekMarchlewski 2.00/Gluszek 1.71
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Gluszek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Marchlewski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
LSep 2 · 18:30K. Marchlewski—811881W. Gluszek—11911113
WSep 1 · 22:55K. Marchlewski—11711113W. Gluszek—511391
WSep 1 · 20:05K. Marchlewski—712911113W. Gluszek—111011382
WAug 6 · 24:10K. Marchlewski—11711133W. Gluszek—3116111
WAug 5 · 20:30K. Marchlewski—11124113W. Gluszek—6101181
LMay 3 · 10:20K. Marchlewski—68110W. Gluszek—1111133
WNov 22 · 11:35K. Marchlewski—8111011113W. Gluszek—11612772
LMay 2 · 15:50K. Marchlewski—711111332W. Gluszek—1113711113
LMar 8 · 16:05K. Marchlewski—10580W. Gluszek—1211113
K. Marchlewski10
WSep 2 · 23:45M. Piecowski1.83611591K. Marchlewski1.8611411113LSep 2 · 22:35K. Marchlewski1.8512940M. Kowalczyk1.801411113LSep 2 · 21:55M. Piecowski1.8511911113K. Marchlewski1.80711991WSep 2 · 19:40K. Marchlewski2.001111113P. Strus1.735670LSep 2 · 18:30K. Marchlewski2.24811881W. Gluszek1.5511911113WSep 2 · 17:20K. Marchlewski1.71117118113M. Piecowski1.9841191182LSep 2 · 16:15M. Piecowski1.831110118113K. Marchlewski1.8681241172LSep 2 · 15:25K. Marchlewski1.802950M. Kowalczyk1.901111113WSep 2 · 24:10B. Mrugala1.668970K. Marchlewski2.051111113WSep 1 · 23:45K. Marchlewski2.001311113B. Wisniewski1.7111890
W. Gluszek10
WSep 4 · 24:10M. Trela1.859870W. Gluszek1.851111113WSep 3 · 23:45W. Gluszek1.861611113113K. Golaszewski1.8018881172WSep 3 · 22:55W. Gluszek2.15118114123K. Sulkowski1.63911911102WSep 3 · 21:05W. Gluszek1.8011117113J. Rolak1.90961191WSep 3 · 20:05K. Sulkowski1.55127661W. Gluszek2.25101111113WSep 3 · 19:20J. Rolak1.5210630W. Gluszek2.351211113LSep 3 · 17:20M. Kowalczyk1.751111113W. Gluszek1.904460LSep 3 · 16:35K. Golaszewski1.791111113W. Gluszek1.885890LSep 3 · 15:00M. Trela1.8531111113W. Gluszek1.80118841WSep 2 · 18:30K. Marchlewski2.24811881W. Gluszek1.5511911113
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