TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13059576
Played Sep 1Finished
Dariusz Szlubowski
Home
1.65
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
811115118911114
Kacper Marchlewski
Away
2.06
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:55 and never touched — 58.5% is still 58.5%
Graded at full timeDariusz Szlubowski to win
58.5%
58.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
89 points played in total.
Set by set
811115118911114
H2H Dariusz Szlubowski 4–6 Kacper Marchlewski Dariusz Szlubowski has won 4 of their 10 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 15:55What took a side4 for · 2 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.65 (56%)
Szlubowski
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-6 in 10
Marchlewski
Wrong
gap of 2 in 10, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Szlubowski 1333 vs Marchlewski 1150
Szlubowski
Correct
both rated, 183 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Szlubowski 60% vs Marchlewski 20%
Szlubowski
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Szlubowski 60% vs Marchlewski 30%
Szlubowski
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Szlubowski -1 · Marchlewski -3
Marchlewski
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Szlubowski)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Marchlewski form (20%) is below what odds imply (49%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSzlubowski 1.65 / Marchlewski 2.06
Signal prob.59% / 42%
Edge (Szlubowski)+3.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13059576
Szlubowski1.65
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite61% won 79 of 130
Up 2–0, closes it87% 33 of 38
Up 1–0, closes it77% 51 of 66
Marchlewski2.06
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog34% won 36 of 107
Down 0–1, comes back11% 6 of 55
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 29
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSzlubowski4wins
AwayMarchlewski6wins
5 of 10 to a deciderMarchlewski leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSzlubowskin = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayMarchlewski66.7%6 of 9
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Szlubowski1Marchlewski9n = 10Marchlewski took 9 of 10
S2Szlubowski4Marchlewski6n = 10Marchlewski took 6 of 10
S3Szlubowski6Marchlewski4n = 10Szlubowski took 6 of 10
S4Szlubowski4Marchlewski3n = 7Szlubowski took 4 of 7
S5Szlubowski3Marchlewski2n = 5Szlubowski took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricSzlubowskiMarchlewskiS − MBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set19−8of 10Avg pointsper match36.839.8−3.0per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSzlubowskiMarchlewskiBasisWin rate · lifetime208 / 347 vs 135 / 31059.9%43.6%208 / 347 vs 135 / 310Avg sets wonper match2.21.9per matchAvg pointsper match39.336.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SzlubowskiSzlubowski 1.65/Marchlewski 2.06
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58.5%
Szlubowski · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Szlubowski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 5 · 16:55D. Szlubowski—791111113K. Marchlewski—11113392
WJul 28 · 20:05D. Szlubowski—691111113K. Marchlewski—11118892
WJun 12 · 19:30D. Szlubowski—1111113K. Marchlewski—7580
LMay 1 · 19:30D. Szlubowski—61111692K. Marchlewski—119511113
LMar 20 · 21:40D. Szlubowski—29100K. Marchlewski—1111123
LSep 26 · 19:30D. Szlubowski—581151K. Marchlewski—11119113
LAug 29 · 19:30D. Szlubowski—9870K. Marchlewski—1111113
WApr 25 · 19:30D. Szlubowski—311611153K. Marchlewski—117114132
LMar 28 · 21:40D. Szlubowski—61161552K. Marchlewski—1171113113
LMar 14 · 20:30D. Szlubowski—661191K. Marchlewski—11116113
D. Szlubowski10
WSep 4 · 20:05D. Szlubowski1.871111129113S. Wnek1.83713101162LSep 4 · 18:30D. Poloszczanski2.05111666113D. Szlubowski1.66814111182LSep 4 · 17:45D. Kotwica2.20121011113D. Szlubowski1.571012651LSep 4 · 16:55D. Szlubowski1.5491111482K. Golaszewski2.35119611113LSep 4 · 15:50D. Szlubowski1.27841171P. Strus3.3011116113WSep 1 · 19:40B. Wisniewski3.25951121D. Szlubowski1.2811117113WSep 1 · 18:55B. Mrugala2.2011791132D. Szlubowski1.57711119113WSep 1 · 18:10D. Szlubowski1.4771111113J. Rolak2.50118781LSep 1 · 15:50W. Gluszek2.50111178113D. Szlubowski1.4677111172WAug 27 · 19:40M. Kowalczyk2.40115951D. Szlubowski1.4981111113
K. Marchlewski10
WSep 3 · 24:35K. Marchlewski2.001111113W. Gluszek1.718980WSep 2 · 23:45M. Piecowski1.83611591K. Marchlewski1.8611411113LSep 2 · 22:35K. Marchlewski1.8512940M. Kowalczyk1.801411113LSep 2 · 21:55M. Piecowski1.8511911113K. Marchlewski1.80711991WSep 2 · 19:40K. Marchlewski2.001111113P. Strus1.735670LSep 2 · 18:30K. Marchlewski2.24811881W. Gluszek1.5511911113WSep 2 · 17:20K. Marchlewski1.71117118113M. Piecowski1.9841191182LSep 2 · 16:15M. Piecowski1.831110118113K. Marchlewski1.8681241172LSep 2 · 15:25K. Marchlewski1.802950M. Kowalczyk1.901111113WSep 2 · 24:10B. Mrugala1.668970K. Marchlewski2.051111113
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