TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13031885
Played Aug 27Finished
Marcin Kowalczyk
Home
2.40
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
118511911511––
Dariusz Szlubowski
Away
1.49
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:02 and never touched — 62.1% is still 62.1%
Graded at full timeDariusz Szlubowski to win
62.1%
62.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
71 points played in total.
Set by set
118511911511––
H2H Marcin Kowalczyk 14–25 Dariusz Szlubowski Marcin Kowalczyk has won 14 of their 39 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:02What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.49 (62%)
Szlubowski
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
14-25 in 39
Szlubowski
Correct
gap of 11 in 39, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kowalczyk 1264 vs Szlubowski 1337
Szlubowski
Correct
both rated, 72 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kowalczyk 40% vs Szlubowski 60%
Szlubowski
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kowalczyk 40% vs Szlubowski 60%
Szlubowski
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kowalczyk -2 · Szlubowski +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% — Clear lean (leans Szlubowski)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKowalczyk 2.40 / Szlubowski 1.49
Signal prob.38% / 62%
Edge (Szlubowski)+0.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13031885
Kowalczyk2.40
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog43% won 173 of 399
Down 0–1, comes back22% 43 of 198
Down 0–2, comes back3% 3 of 91
Szlubowski1.49
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite60% won 76 of 126
Up 2–0, closes it87% 33 of 38
Up 1–0, closes it77% 50 of 65
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKowalczyk6wins
AwaySzlubowski4wins
4 of 10 to a deciderKowalczyk leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKowalczyk80%4 of 5
AwaySzlubowski60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kowalczyk5Szlubowski5n = 10split evenly
S2Kowalczyk5Szlubowski5n = 10split evenly
S3Kowalczyk7Szlubowski3n = 10Kowalczyk took 7 of 10
S4Kowalczyk3Szlubowski5n = 8Szlubowski took 5 of 8
S5Kowalczyk3Szlubowski1n = 4Kowalczyk took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricKowalczykSzlubowskiK − SBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match39.839.4+0.4per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKowalczykSzlubowskiBasisWin rate · lifetime728 / 1496 vs 216 / 35648.7%60.7%728 / 1496 vs 216 / 356Avg sets wonper match2.02.2per matchAvg pointsper match36.839.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SzlubowskiKowalczyk 2.40/Szlubowski 1.49
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
62.1%
Szlubowski · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Szlubowski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 20 · 19:40M. Kowalczyk—101111113D. Szlubowski—126591
WAug 17 · 18:10M. Kowalczyk—11111010113D. Szlubowski—76121262
WAug 13 · 19:40M. Kowalczyk—1114113D. Szlubowski—61250
WAug 11 · 19:40M. Kowalczyk—118118113D. Szlubowski—91191192
LAug 5 · 18:30M. Kowalczyk—441151D. Szlubowski—11118113
WAug 4 · 19:40M. Kowalczyk—1111113D. Szlubowski—8960
LJul 30 · 18:30M. Kowalczyk—119581D. Szlubowski—71111113
LJul 28 · 18:30M. Kowalczyk—91121182D. Szlubowski—118119113
WJul 23 · 19:40M. Kowalczyk—7101211143D. Szlubowski—1112103122
LJul 21 · 19:40M. Kowalczyk—561471D. Szlubowski—111112113
M. Kowalczyk10
WSep 3 · 19:40M. Kowalczyk1.54811116113K. Golaszewski2.3511981192WSep 3 · 18:30M. Kowalczyk1.86111159113K. Sulkowski1.8084111192WSep 3 · 17:20M. Kowalczyk1.751111113W. Gluszek1.904460WSep 3 · 16:15M. Trela1.6531011121M. Kowalczyk2.0611124143LSep 3 · 15:25M. Kowalczyk2.5591141182J. Rolak1.44117118113LSep 2 · 23:20M. Piecowski1.831114113M. Kowalczyk1.8691270WSep 2 · 22:35K. Marchlewski1.8512940M. Kowalczyk1.801411113WSep 2 · 22:15M. Kowalczyk1.66118311113W. Gluszek2.0561111482LSep 2 · 21:05M. Piecowski1.9081111113M. Kowalczyk1.75119861LSep 2 · 20:30M. Piecowski1.86111011113M. Kowalczyk1.83912691
D. Szlubowski10
WSep 4 · 20:05D. Szlubowski1.871111129113S. Wnek1.83713101162LSep 4 · 18:30D. Poloszczanski2.05111666113D. Szlubowski1.66814111182LSep 4 · 17:45D. Kotwica2.20121011113D. Szlubowski1.571012651LSep 4 · 16:55D. Szlubowski1.5491111482K. Golaszewski2.35119611113LSep 4 · 15:50D. Szlubowski1.27841171P. Strus3.3011116113WSep 1 · 19:40B. Wisniewski3.25951121D. Szlubowski1.2811117113WSep 1 · 18:55B. Mrugala2.2011791132D. Szlubowski1.57711119113WSep 1 · 18:10D. Szlubowski1.4771111113J. Rolak2.50118781WSep 1 · 16:35D. Szlubowski1.65811119113K. Marchlewski2.0611581142LSep 1 · 15:50W. Gluszek2.50111178113D. Szlubowski1.4677111172
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