TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13067552
Played Sep 2Finished
Milosz Piecowski
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1191412117––––
Marcin Kowalczyk
Away
1.86
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:09 and never touched — 66.5% is still 66.5%
Graded at full timeMilosz Piecowski to win
66.5%
66.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
64 points played in total.
Set by set
1191412117––––
H2H Milosz Piecowski 9–3 Marcin Kowalczyk Marcin Kowalczyk has won 3 of their 12 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 22:09What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Piecowski
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
9-3 in 12
Piecowski
Correct
gap of 6 in 12, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Piecowski 1371 vs Kowalczyk 1279
Piecowski
Correct
both rated, 91 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Piecowski 80% vs Kowalczyk 60%
Piecowski
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Piecowski 60% vs Kowalczyk 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Piecowski +1 · Kowalczyk +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Piecowski) · live re-read · sealed at 67% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Piecowski form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPiecowski 1.83 / Kowalczyk 1.86
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Piecowski)+3.6pp
TT Elite Series · #13067552
Piecowski1.83
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite57% won 149 of 261
Up 2–0, closes it93% 38 of 41
Up 1–0, closes it75% 88 of 118
Kowalczyk1.86
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog43% won 168 of 390
Down 0–1, comes back22% 42 of 195
Down 0–2, comes back3% 3 of 91
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePiecowski7wins
AwayKowalczyk3wins
3 of 10 to a deciderPiecowski leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePiecowski100%3 of 3
AwayKowalczyk42.9%3 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Piecowski3Kowalczyk7n = 10Kowalczyk took 7 of 10
S2Piecowski6Kowalczyk4n = 10Piecowski took 6 of 10
S3Piecowski5Kowalczyk5n = 10split evenly
S4Piecowski6Kowalczyk3n = 9Piecowski took 6 of 9
S5Piecowski3Kowalczyk0n = 3Piecowski took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricPiecowskiKowalczykP − KBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match39.240.1−0.9per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPiecowskiKowalczykBasisWin rate · lifetime862 / 1745 vs 733 / 150549.4%48.7%862 / 1745 vs 733 / 1505Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.136.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PiecowskiPiecowski 1.83/Kowalczyk 1.86
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Piecowski · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Piecowski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 2 · 20:30M. Piecowski—111011113M. Kowalczyk—912691
WAug 26 · 22:15M. Piecowski—101111113M. Kowalczyk—129581
WAug 26 · 15:25M. Piecowski—11134113M. Kowalczyk—7111171
LAug 17 · 22:15M. Piecowski—391161M. Kowalczyk—11117113
WAug 17 · 15:25M. Piecowski—118911123M. Kowalczyk—911117102
WAug 11 · 18:30M. Piecowski—51113123M. Kowalczyk—11911101
WAug 6 · 18:30M. Piecowski—913119113M. Kowalczyk—111161152
WJul 23 · 17:20M. Piecowski—811411113M. Kowalczyk—11811882
LJul 22 · 16:15M. Piecowski—8580M. Kowalczyk—1111113
LJun 24 · 18:30M. Piecowski—412651M. Kowalczyk—111011113
M. Piecowski10
WSep 3 · 24:10M. Piecowski1.34111578113M. Piecowski2.90713111192WSep 2 · 21:55M. Piecowski1.8511911113K. Marchlewski1.80711991LSep 2 · 21:30M. Piecowski1.6071110101W. Gluszek2.1011912123WSep 2 · 20:30M. Piecowski1.86111011113M. Kowalczyk1.83912691WSep 2 · 18:55M. Piecowski1.8571111123P. Strus1.851179101WSep 2 · 17:45M. Piecowski1.55101211123W. Gluszek2.2512108101WSep 2 · 16:15M. Piecowski1.831110118113K. Marchlewski1.8681241172LSep 2 · 15:00M. Piecowski1.471112991M. Piecowski2.45131011113LSep 1 · 24:35B. Mrugala2.171111113M. Piecowski1.597880LAug 31 · 22:55M. Piecowski2.558111110113M. Piecowski1.4511571282
M. Kowalczyk10
WSep 3 · 19:40M. Kowalczyk1.54811116113K. Golaszewski2.3511981192WSep 3 · 18:30M. Kowalczyk1.86111159113K. Sulkowski1.8084111192WSep 3 · 17:20M. Kowalczyk1.751111113W. Gluszek1.904460WSep 3 · 16:15M. Trela1.6531011121M. Kowalczyk2.0611124143LSep 3 · 15:25M. Kowalczyk2.5591141182J. Rolak1.44117118113WSep 2 · 22:35K. Marchlewski1.8512940M. Kowalczyk1.801411113WSep 2 · 22:15M. Kowalczyk1.66118311113W. Gluszek2.0561111482LSep 2 · 21:05M. Piecowski1.9081111113M. Kowalczyk1.75119861LSep 2 · 20:30M. Piecowski1.86111011113M. Kowalczyk1.83912691WSep 2 · 19:20M. Kowalczyk1.7411118113M. Piecowski1.95241141
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