TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13078853
Played Sep 4Finished
Dawid Poloszczanski
Home
1.65
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 3
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
12141134111171113
Piotr Strus
Away
2.07
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:18 and never touched — 56.4% is still 56.4%
Graded at full timeDawid Poloszczanski to win
56.4%
56.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
97 points played in total.
Set by set
12141134111171113
H2H Dawid Poloszczanski 22–20 Piotr Strus Piotr Strus has won 20 of their 42 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:18What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.65 (56%)
Poloszczanski
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
22-20 in 42
Poloszczanski
Wrong
gap of 2 in 42, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Poloszczanski 1295 vs Strus 1234
Poloszczanski
Wrong
both rated, 61 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Poloszczanski 60% vs Strus 80%
Strus
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Poloszczanski 50% vs Strus 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Poloszczanski +3 · Strus +4
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Poloszczanski)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Strus form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPoloszczanski 1.65 / Strus 2.07
Signal prob.56% / 44%
Edge (Poloszczanski)+0.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13078853
Poloszczanski1.65
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite57% won 52 of 91
Up 2–0, closes it100% 21 of 21
Up 1–0, closes it80% 37 of 46
Strus2.07
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog46% won 107 of 233
Down 0–1, comes back27% 30 of 112
Down 0–2, comes back14% 9 of 63
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePoloszczanski10wins
AwayStrus0wins
4 of 10 to a deciderPoloszczanski leads 10–0, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePoloszczanski100%7 of 7
AwayStrus0%0 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Poloszczanski7Strus3n = 10Poloszczanski took 7 of 10
S2Poloszczanski7Strus3n = 10Poloszczanski took 7 of 10
S3Poloszczanski5Strus5n = 10split evenly
S4Poloszczanski7Strus1n = 8Poloszczanski took 7 of 8
S5Poloszczanski4Strus0n = 4Poloszczanski took 4 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricPoloszczanskiStrusP − SBasisWins100+10in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match44.237.4+6.8per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPoloszczanskiStrusBasisWin rate · lifetime330 / 832 vs 385 / 84339.7%45.7%330 / 832 vs 385 / 843Avg sets wonper match1.81.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.238.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PoloszczanskiPoloszczanski 1.65/Strus 2.07
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
56.4%
Poloszczanski · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Strus won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WJun 12 · 19:05D. Poloszczanski—461111113P. Strus—11115692
WJun 2 · 19:05D. Poloszczanski—81113113P. Strus—1151161
WMay 31 · 03:50D. Poloszczanski—11117113P. Strus—801191
WMay 30 · 06:55D. Poloszczanski—1111113P. Strus—9750
WMay 23 · 06:05D. Poloszczanski—17115113P. Strus—1591191
WMay 16 · 03:50D. Poloszczanski—1471411113P. Strus—121116882
WMay 9 · 07:45D. Poloszczanski—7111111113P. Strus—11961392
WApr 25 · 06:55D. Poloszczanski—1811113P. Strus—16620
WApr 19 · 03:50D. Poloszczanski—115713113P. Strus—911111172
WApr 18 · 06:05D. Poloszczanski—111111113P. Strus—441391
D. Poloszczanski10
LSep 6 · 24:35D. Poloszczanski2.60101380J. Michalczyk1.411215113LSep 5 · 23:45K. Kufel1.601111113D. Poloszczanski2.103260LSep 5 · 22:35D. Poloszczanski2.9541013111B. Sulkowski1.35111211133LSep 5 · 21:55A. Lilien1.221112113D. Poloszczanski3.7041030WSep 5 · 19:40D. Poloszczanski2.40128612113B. Kwodawski1.501011111082LSep 5 · 18:30D. Poloszczanski2.47911110J. Michalczyk1.461113133LSep 5 · 17:20D. Poloszczanski—111251192K. Kufel—1310118113LSep 5 · 16:15B. Sulkowski1.6011116113D. Poloszczanski2.15791181LSep 5 · 15:25D. Poloszczanski3.50119101172A. Lilien1.25911128113LSep 5 · 24:35K. Sulkowski1.8511118113D. Poloszczanski1.85681171
P. Strus10
WSep 4 · 18:55D. Kotwica1.47119741P. Strus2.5081111113WSep 4 · 18:10P. Strus1.908111016113K. Golaszewski1.80118121482WSep 4 · 16:35P. Strus2.0591411133S. Wnek1.6511128111WSep 4 · 15:50D. Szlubowski1.27841171P. Strus3.3011116113LSep 2 · 19:40K. Marchlewski2.001111113P. Strus1.735670LSep 2 · 18:55M. Piecowski1.8571111123P. Strus1.851179101LSep 2 · 18:10P. Strus1.809590M. Kowalczyk1.851111113LSep 2 · 16:35P. Strus1.6761114452M. Piecowski2.031191211113LSep 2 · 15:50W. Gluszek1.65111184113P. Strus2.0799111172WAug 31 · 19:40M. Piecowski1.9511146752P. Strus1.769121111113
Upcoming Matches
D. Poloszczanski
Nothing scheduled
P. Strus
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.