TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13065838
Played Sep 2Finished
Piotr Strus
Home
1.80
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
911511911––––
Marcin Kowalczyk
Away
1.85
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:51 and never touched — 58.1% is still 58.1%
Graded at full timePiotr Strus to win
58.1%
58.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
56 points played in total.
Set by set
911511911––––
H2H Piotr Strus 47–45 Marcin Kowalczyk Marcin Kowalczyk has won 45 of their 92 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 15:51What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Strus
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
47-45 in 92
Strus
Wrong
gap of 2 in 92, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Strus 1208 vs Kowalczyk 1255
Kowalczyk
Correct
both rated, 47 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Strus 60% vs Kowalczyk 20%
Strus
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Strus 70% vs Kowalczyk 40%
Strus
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Strus -2 · Kowalczyk -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Kowalczyk) · live re-read · sealed at 42% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kowalczyk form (20%) is below what odds imply (54%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStrus 1.80 / Kowalczyk 1.85
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Kowalczyk)+4.7pp
TT Elite Series · #13065838
Strus1.80
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite42% won 44 of 104
Up 2–0, closes it86% 19 of 22
Up 1–0, closes it71% 31 of 44
Kowalczyk1.85
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog43% won 168 of 390
Down 0–1, comes back22% 42 of 195
Down 0–2, comes back3% 3 of 91
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeStrus4wins
AwayKowalczyk6wins
4 of 10 to a deciderKowalczyk leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeStrus50%3 of 6
AwayKowalczyk75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Strus6Kowalczyk4n = 10Strus took 6 of 10
S2Strus6Kowalczyk4n = 10Strus took 6 of 10
S3Strus8Kowalczyk2n = 10Strus took 8 of 10
S4Strus2Kowalczyk5n = 7Kowalczyk took 5 of 7
S5Strus0Kowalczyk4n = 4Kowalczyk took 4 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricStrusKowalczykS − KBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match38.038.8−0.8per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricStrusKowalczykBasisWin rate · lifetime383 / 843 vs 729 / 149945.4%48.6%383 / 843 vs 729 / 1499Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.936.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KowalczykStrus 1.80/Kowalczyk 1.85
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Kowalczyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Kowalczyk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 18 · 18:10P. Strus—11119101M. Kowalczyk—13511123
LAug 12 · 18:10P. Strus—14511882M. Kowalczyk—1211811113
WAug 10 · 18:10P. Strus—1112113M. Kowalczyk—91090
LAug 5 · 19:40P. Strus—451181M. Kowalczyk—11116113
LJul 17 · 19:40P. Strus—11111772M. Kowalczyk—711511113
LJul 15 · 19:40P. Strus—119105102M. Kowalczyk—711911123
WJul 13 · 19:40P. Strus—41111113M. Kowalczyk—119791
LJul 10 · 19:40P. Strus—101231182M. Kowalczyk—1210116113
WJul 8 · 15:50P. Strus—1111113M. Kowalczyk—5680
WJun 24 · 15:50P. Strus—1111133M. Kowalczyk—79110
P. Strus10
WSep 4 · 19:40D. Poloszczanski1.651211411112P. Strus2.07143117133WSep 4 · 18:55D. Kotwica1.47119741P. Strus2.5081111113WSep 4 · 18:10P. Strus1.908111016113K. Golaszewski1.80118121482WSep 4 · 16:35P. Strus2.0591411133S. Wnek1.6511128111WSep 4 · 15:50D. Szlubowski1.27841171P. Strus3.3011116113LSep 2 · 19:40K. Marchlewski2.001111113P. Strus1.735670LSep 2 · 18:55M. Piecowski1.8571111123P. Strus1.851179101LSep 2 · 16:35P. Strus1.6761114452M. Piecowski2.031191211113LSep 2 · 15:50W. Gluszek1.65111184113P. Strus2.0799111172WAug 31 · 19:40M. Piecowski1.9511146752P. Strus1.769121111113
M. Kowalczyk10
WSep 3 · 19:40M. Kowalczyk1.54811116113K. Golaszewski2.3511981192WSep 3 · 18:30M. Kowalczyk1.86111159113K. Sulkowski1.8084111192WSep 3 · 17:20M. Kowalczyk1.751111113W. Gluszek1.904460WSep 3 · 16:15M. Trela1.6531011121M. Kowalczyk2.0611124143LSep 3 · 15:25M. Kowalczyk2.5591141182J. Rolak1.44117118113LSep 2 · 23:20M. Piecowski1.831114113M. Kowalczyk1.8691270WSep 2 · 22:35K. Marchlewski1.8512940M. Kowalczyk1.801411113WSep 2 · 22:15M. Kowalczyk1.66118311113W. Gluszek2.0561111482LSep 2 · 21:05M. Piecowski1.9081111113M. Kowalczyk1.75119861LSep 2 · 20:30M. Piecowski1.86111011113M. Kowalczyk1.83912691
Upcoming Matches
P. Strus
M. Kowalczyk
Nothing scheduled
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.