TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13065576
Played Sep 2Finished
Piotr Strus
Home
1.67
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
6111191412411511
Miroslaw Piecowski
Away
2.03
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:20 and never touched — 61.2% is still 61.2%
Graded at full timePiotr Strus to win
61.2%
61.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
94 points played in total.
Set by set
6111191412411511
H2H Piotr Strus 14–8 Miroslaw Piecowski Miroslaw Piecowski has won 8 of their 22 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 15:20What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (55%)
Strus
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
14-8 in 22
Strus
Wrong
gap of 6 in 22, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Strus 1218 vs Piecowski 1254
Piecowski
Correct
both rated, 36 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Strus 80% vs Piecowski 60%
Strus
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Strus 70% vs Piecowski 50%
Strus
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Strus -1 · Piecowski +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Slight lean (leans Strus) · live re-read · sealed at 61% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Piecowski form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (49%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStrus 1.67 / Piecowski 2.03
Signal prob.55% / 45%
Edge (Strus)+0.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13065576
Strus1.67
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite42% won 44 of 104
Up 2–0, closes it86% 19 of 22
Up 1–0, closes it71% 31 of 44
Piecowski2.03
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog42% won 115 of 272
Down 0–1, comes back25% 37 of 146
Down 0–2, comes back5% 4 of 75
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeStrus6wins
AwayPiecowski4wins
4 of 10 to a deciderStrus leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeStrus100%5 of 5
AwayPiecowski80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Strus5Piecowski5n = 10split evenly
S2Strus5Piecowski5n = 10split evenly
S3Strus7Piecowski3n = 10Strus took 7 of 10
S4Strus1Piecowski5n = 6Piecowski took 5 of 6
S5Strus3Piecowski1n = 4Strus took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricStrusPiecowskiS − PBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match37.838.7−0.9per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricStrusPiecowskiBasisWin rate · lifetime383 / 843 vs 514 / 115745.4%44.4%383 / 843 vs 514 / 1157Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.938.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
StrusStrus 1.67/Piecowski 2.03
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
55.3%
Strus · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Piecowski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 19 · 18:10P. Strus—12690M. Piecowski—1411113
WAug 10 · 18:55P. Strus—1411113M. Piecowski—12580
WJul 17 · 18:55P. Strus—71111113M. Piecowski—119771
WJul 13 · 18:10P. Strus—126119113M. Piecowski—101181192
WDec 23 · 17:45P. Strus—113122113M. Piecowski—611101172
LDec 18 · 20:05P. Strus—61115882M. Piecowski—1181311113
WDec 9 · 21:40P. Strus—1112113M. Piecowski—81040
LNov 20 · 20:50P. Strus—911961M. Piecowski—11511113
WAug 28 · 20:40P. Strus—119115163M. Piecowski—811711142
LAug 20 · 20:40P. Strus—8820M. Piecowski—1111113
P. Strus10
WSep 4 · 19:40D. Poloszczanski1.651211411112P. Strus2.07143117133WSep 4 · 18:55D. Kotwica1.47119741P. Strus2.5081111113WSep 4 · 18:10P. Strus1.908111016113K. Golaszewski1.80118121482WSep 4 · 16:35P. Strus2.0591411133S. Wnek1.6511128111WSep 4 · 15:50D. Szlubowski1.27841171P. Strus3.3011116113LSep 2 · 19:40K. Marchlewski2.001111113P. Strus1.735670LSep 2 · 18:55M. Piecowski1.8571111123P. Strus1.851179101LSep 2 · 18:10P. Strus1.809590M. Kowalczyk1.851111113LSep 2 · 15:50W. Gluszek1.65111184113P. Strus2.0799111172WAug 31 · 19:40M. Piecowski1.9511146752P. Strus1.769121111113
M. Piecowski10
LSep 3 · 24:10M. Piecowski1.34111578113M. Piecowski2.90713111192LSep 2 · 23:45M. Piecowski1.83611591K. Marchlewski1.8611411113WSep 2 · 22:55M. Piecowski1.7581111113W. Gluszek1.95118371WSep 2 · 21:05M. Piecowski1.9081111113M. Kowalczyk1.75119861WSep 2 · 20:05W. Gluszek2.105750M. Piecowski1.601111113LSep 2 · 19:20M. Kowalczyk1.7411118113M. Piecowski1.95241141LSep 2 · 17:20K. Marchlewski1.71117118113M. Piecowski1.9841191182WSep 2 · 15:00M. Piecowski1.471112991M. Piecowski2.45131011113WSep 1 · 24:10B. Wisniewski1.603950M. Piecowski2.151111113LAug 31 · 23:45M. Piecowski1.9811116972B. Mrugala1.73991111113
Upcoming Matches
P. Strus
M. Piecowski
Nothing scheduled
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.