TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13054143
Played Aug 31Finished
Milosz Piecowski
Home
1.95
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1191412611711511
Piotr Strus
Away
1.76
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:57 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timePiotr Strus to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
97 points played in total.
Set by set
1191412611711511
H2H Milosz Piecowski 3–4 Piotr Strus Milosz Piecowski has won 3 of their 7 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 17:57What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.76 (53%)
Strus
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-4 in 7
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Piecowski 1390 vs Strus 1213
Piecowski
Wrong
both rated, 177 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Piecowski 40% vs Strus 100%
Strus
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Piecowski 70% vs Strus 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Piecowski -1 · Strus +5
Strus
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Piecowski) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Strus form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (57%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPiecowski 1.95 / Strus 1.76
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Piecowski)+6.6pp
TT Elite Series · #13054143
Piecowski1.95
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog41% won 153 of 378
Down 0–1, comes back24% 57 of 236
Down 0–2, comes back6% 8 of 130
Strus1.76
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 5
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite41% won 41 of 101
Up 2–0, closes it86% 18 of 21
Up 1–0, closes it70% 30 of 43
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomePiecowski3wins
AwayStrus4wins
3 of 7 to a deciderStrus leads 4–3, and 3 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePiecowskin = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayStrus80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Piecowski2Strus5n = 7Strus took 5 of 7
S2Piecowski4Strus3n = 7Piecowski took 4 of 7
S3Piecowski2Strus5n = 7Strus took 5 of 7
S4Piecowski1Strus3n = 4Strus took 3 of 4
S5Piecowski2Strus1n = 3Piecowski took 2 of 3
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home114%
3–2Decider, home229%
2–3Decider, away114%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away343%
These 7 meetings
MetricPiecowskiStrusP − SBasisWins34−1in 7 meetingsFirst set25−3of 7Avg pointsper match34.640.7−6.1per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPiecowskiStrusBasisWin rate · lifetime869 / 1750 vs 382 / 84149.7%45.4%869 / 1750 vs 382 / 841Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.137.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PiecowskiPiecowski 1.95/Strus 1.76
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Piecowski · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Strus won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
WAug 19 · 18:55M. Piecowski—111259113P. Strus—810111182
WJun 24 · 19:40M. Piecowski—41111113P. Strus—118971
WMar 22 · 04:50M. Piecowski—111195113P. Strus—65111192
LOct 11 · 06:55M. Piecowski—64100P. Strus—1111123
LSep 7 · 09:00M. Piecowski—4940P. Strus—1111113
LMar 8 · 10:50M. Piecowski—17240P. Strus—1911113
LJan 11 · 08:05M. Piecowski—71611972P. Strus—1114511113
M. Piecowski10
WSep 3 · 24:10M. Piecowski1.34111578113M. Piecowski2.90713111192WSep 2 · 23:20M. Piecowski1.831114113M. Kowalczyk1.8691270WSep 2 · 21:55M. Piecowski1.8511911113K. Marchlewski1.80711991LSep 2 · 21:30M. Piecowski1.6071110101W. Gluszek2.1011912123WSep 2 · 20:30M. Piecowski1.86111011113M. Kowalczyk1.83912691WSep 2 · 18:55M. Piecowski1.8571111123P. Strus1.851179101WSep 2 · 17:45M. Piecowski1.55101211123W. Gluszek2.2512108101WSep 2 · 16:15M. Piecowski1.831110118113K. Marchlewski1.8681241172LSep 2 · 15:00M. Piecowski1.471112991M. Piecowski2.45131011113LSep 1 · 24:35B. Mrugala2.171111113M. Piecowski1.597880
P. Strus10
WSep 4 · 19:40D. Poloszczanski1.651211411112P. Strus2.07143117133WSep 4 · 18:55D. Kotwica1.47119741P. Strus2.5081111113WSep 4 · 18:10P. Strus1.908111016113K. Golaszewski1.80118121482WSep 4 · 16:35P. Strus2.0591411133S. Wnek1.6511128111WSep 4 · 15:50D. Szlubowski1.27841171P. Strus3.3011116113LSep 2 · 19:40K. Marchlewski2.001111113P. Strus1.735670LSep 2 · 18:55M. Piecowski1.8571111123P. Strus1.851179101LSep 2 · 18:10P. Strus1.809590M. Kowalczyk1.851111113LSep 2 · 16:35P. Strus1.6761114452M. Piecowski2.031191211113LSep 2 · 15:50W. Gluszek1.65111184113P. Strus2.0799111172
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