TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13083885
Played Sep 5Finished
Dawid Poloszczanski
Home
2.40
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 5
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
12108116111210118
Bartosz Kwodawski
Away
1.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:20 and never touched — 56.0% is still 56.0%
Graded at full timeBartosz Kwodawski to win
56.0%
56.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
99 points played in total.
Set by set
12108116111210118
H2H Dawid Poloszczanski 0–4 Bartosz Kwodawski Dawid Poloszczanski has won 0 of their 4 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 18:20What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (62%)
Kwodawski
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-4 in 4
Kwodawski
Wrong
gap of 4 in 4, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Poloszczanski 1248 vs Kwodawski 1353
Kwodawski
Wrong
both rated, 105 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Poloszczanski 0% vs Kwodawski 40%
Kwodawski
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Poloszczanski 30% vs Kwodawski 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Poloszczanski -5 · Kwodawski -1
Poloszczanski
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 64% — Clear lean (leans Kwodawski) · live re-read · sealed at 56% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kwodawski form (40%) is below what odds imply (67%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPoloszczanski 2.40 / Kwodawski 1.50
Signal prob.36% / 64%
Edge (Kwodawski)+2.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13083885
Poloszczanski2.40
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog39% won 132 of 338
Down 0–1, comes back23% 45 of 194
Down 0–2, comes back6% 6 of 108
Kwodawski1.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite67% won 38 of 57
Up 2–0, closes it91% 20 of 22
Up 1–0, closes it85% 29 of 34
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomePoloszczanski0wins
AwayKwodawski4wins
2 of 4 to a deciderKwodawski leads 4–0, and 2 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePoloszczanski0%0 of 3
AwayKwodawskin = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Poloszczanski3Kwodawski1n = 4Poloszczanski took 3 of 4
S2Poloszczanski1Kwodawski3n = 4Kwodawski took 3 of 4
S3Poloszczanski2Kwodawski2n = 4split evenly
S4Poloszczanski0Kwodawski4n = 4Kwodawski took 4 of 4
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away250%
1–3Four sets, away250%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 4 meetings
MetricPoloszczanskiKwodawskiP − KBasisWins04−4in 4 meetingsFirst set31+2of 4Avg pointsper match39.547.0−7.5per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPoloszczanskiKwodawskiBasisWin rate · lifetime332 / 841 vs 194 / 46139.5%42.1%332 / 841 vs 194 / 461Avg sets wonper match1.81.8per matchAvg pointsper match38.235.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KwodawskiPoloszczanski 2.40/Kwodawski 1.50
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
64.3%
Kwodawski · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Poloszczanski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
LAug 22 · 19:40D. Poloszczanski—168971B. Kwodawski—141111113
LAug 1 · 09:00D. Poloszczanski—11812352B. Kwodawski—3111011113
LJul 25 · 16:15D. Poloszczanski—613571B. Kwodawski—111111113
LJan 17 · 10:50D. Poloszczanski—13811972B. Kwodawski—1111711113
D. Poloszczanski10
LSep 6 · 24:35D. Poloszczanski2.60101380J. Michalczyk1.411215113LSep 5 · 23:45K. Kufel1.601111113D. Poloszczanski2.103260LSep 5 · 22:35D. Poloszczanski2.9541013111B. Sulkowski1.35111211133LSep 5 · 21:55A. Lilien1.221112113D. Poloszczanski3.7041030LSep 5 · 18:30D. Poloszczanski2.47911110J. Michalczyk1.461113133LSep 5 · 17:20D. Poloszczanski—111251192K. Kufel—1310118113LSep 5 · 16:15B. Sulkowski1.6011116113D. Poloszczanski2.15791181LSep 5 · 15:25D. Poloszczanski3.50119101172A. Lilien1.25911128113LSep 5 · 24:35K. Sulkowski1.8511118113D. Poloszczanski1.85681171WSep 4 · 22:55S. Wnek1.907230D. Poloszczanski1.771111113
B. Kwodawski10
LSep 5 · 18:55B. Sulkowski1.5311119113B. Kwodawski2.30671161WSep 5 · 18:10B. Kwodawski3.055111011113A. Lilien1.3111812872LSep 5 · 16:35B. Kwodawski1.639550K. Kufel2.151111113LSep 5 · 15:50J. Michalczyk1.78311812113B. Kwodawski1.93116111042WSep 5 · 14:35J. Przewlocki1.85119881B. Kwodawski1.8551111113LSep 5 · 13:25B. Kwodawski2.90911621M. Minda1.3511911113WSep 5 · 12:10J. Wozniak1.8710650B. Kwodawski1.811211113LSep 5 · 10:55K. Klocek1.9511811113B. Kwodawski1.77911451LSep 5 · 09:20A. Mugowski1.90921111113B. Kwodawski1.7511115842WSep 2 · 14:40B. Kwodawski1.5711118113M. Zwolinski2.20491151
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