TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13083026
Played Sep 5Finished
Bartosz Sulkowski
Home
1.60
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
117119611118––
Dawid Poloszczanski
Away
2.15
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:32 and never touched — 65.7% is still 65.7%
Graded at full timeBartosz Sulkowski to win
65.7%
65.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
74 points played in total.
Set by set
117119611118––
H2H Bartosz Sulkowski 8–2 Dawid Poloszczanski Dawid Poloszczanski has won 2 of their 10 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 14:32What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.60 (57%)
Sulkowski
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
8-2 in 10
Sulkowski
Correct
gap of 6 in 10, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sulkowski 1397 vs Poloszczanski 1273
Sulkowski
Correct
both rated, 125 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sulkowski 60% vs Poloszczanski 40%
Sulkowski
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sulkowski 60% vs Poloszczanski 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Sulkowski +1 · Poloszczanski -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% — Slight lean (leans Sulkowski) · live re-read · sealed at 66% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSulkowski 1.60 / Poloszczanski 2.15
Signal prob.62% / 38%
Edge (Sulkowski)+4.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13083026
Sulkowski1.60
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite58% won 208 of 358
Up 2–0, closes it98% 93 of 95
Up 1–0, closes it82% 151 of 184
Poloszczanski2.15
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog39% won 132 of 338
Down 0–1, comes back23% 45 of 194
Down 0–2, comes back6% 6 of 108
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSulkowski8wins
AwayPoloszczanski2wins
4 of 10 to a deciderSulkowski leads 8–2, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSulkowski83.3%5 of 6
AwayPoloszczanski25%1 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sulkowski6Poloszczanski4n = 10Sulkowski took 6 of 10
S2Sulkowski7Poloszczanski3n = 10Sulkowski took 7 of 10
S3Sulkowski6Poloszczanski4n = 10Sulkowski took 6 of 10
S4Sulkowski7Poloszczanski1n = 8Sulkowski took 7 of 8
S5Sulkowski2Poloszczanski2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricSulkowskiPoloszczanskiS − PBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match43.836.3+7.5per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSulkowskiPoloszczanskiBasisWin rate · lifetime529 / 1204 vs 332 / 83843.9%39.6%529 / 1204 vs 332 / 838Avg sets wonper match1.91.8per matchAvg pointsper match37.538.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SulkowskiSulkowski 1.60/Poloszczanski 2.15
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
61.7%
Sulkowski · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Sulkowski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 24 · 24:10B. Sulkowski—1111113D. Poloszczanski—5830
WAug 23 · 19:20B. Sulkowski—15111111113D. Poloszczanski—17613862
WAug 23 · 24:10B. Sulkowski—1381111113D. Poloszczanski—15118982
WAug 22 · 18:55B. Sulkowski—111110113D. Poloszczanski—771271
LAug 8 · 22:15B. Sulkowski—11611472D. Poloszczanski—311811113
WAug 8 · 18:10B. Sulkowski—11126113D. Poloszczanski—6101161
WJul 25 · 15:00B. Sulkowski—101111113D. Poloszczanski—128651
WFeb 1 · 06:50B. Sulkowski—11911113D. Poloszczanski—711681
LFeb 1 · 04:20B. Sulkowski—1011121182D. Poloszczanski—129146113
WJan 24 · 14:00B. Sulkowski—1111113D. Poloszczanski—5970
B. Sulkowski10
WSep 7 · 24:35A. Linek1.97136681B. Sulkowski1.71111111113WSep 6 · 22:55A. Lilien1.66511961B. Sulkowski2.0511711113LSep 6 · 22:15M. Trela1.941111117113B. Sulkowski1.7461341192LSep 6 · 21:30A. Myszewski2.3711711113B. Sulkowski1.51511451WSep 6 · 19:40J. Michalczyk2.21811981B. Sulkowski1.5711211113WSep 6 · 18:55M. Trela2.239711121B. Sulkowski1.5611112143WSep 6 · 18:10B. Sulkowski1.60111178113A. Myszewski2.1036111142LSep 6 · 16:35B. Sulkowski2.258115101A. Lilien1.5511811123LSep 6 · 15:50A. Wos1.421511113113B. Sulkowski2.6017761162WSep 5 · 23:20A. Lilien1.62711781B. Sulkowski2.1511711113
D. Poloszczanski10
LSep 6 · 24:35D. Poloszczanski2.60101380J. Michalczyk1.411215113LSep 5 · 23:45K. Kufel1.601111113D. Poloszczanski2.103260LSep 5 · 22:35D. Poloszczanski2.9541013111B. Sulkowski1.35111211133LSep 5 · 21:55A. Lilien1.221112113D. Poloszczanski3.7041030WSep 5 · 19:40D. Poloszczanski2.40128612113B. Kwodawski1.501011111082LSep 5 · 18:30D. Poloszczanski2.47911110J. Michalczyk1.461113133LSep 5 · 17:20D. Poloszczanski—111251192K. Kufel—1310118113LSep 5 · 15:25D. Poloszczanski3.50119101172A. Lilien1.25911128113LSep 5 · 24:35K. Sulkowski1.8511118113D. Poloszczanski1.85681171WSep 4 · 22:55S. Wnek1.907230D. Poloszczanski1.771111113
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