TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13092332
Played Sep 7Finished
Bartosz Sulkowski
Home
3.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
9115111012––––
Konrad Staszczyk
Away
1.29
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:32 and never touched — 77.5% is still 77.5%
Graded at full timeKonrad Staszczyk to win
77.5%
77.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingBartosz Sulkowski above · Konrad Staszczyk below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 10-12
Point 58 set 3, 10-12 — our read held Konrad Staszczyk at 77.5%
58 points played in total.
H2H Bartosz Sulkowski 1–5 Konrad Staszczyk Bartosz Sulkowski has won 1 of their 6 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 11:32What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.28 (73%)
Staszczyk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-5 in 6
Staszczyk
Correct
gap of 4 in 6, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sulkowski 1431 vs Staszczyk 1574
Staszczyk
Correct
both rated, 143 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sulkowski 40% vs Staszczyk 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sulkowski 50% vs Staszczyk 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Sulkowski -1 · Staszczyk -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 76% — Strong (leans Staszczyk) · live re-read · sealed at 78% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Staszczyk form (40%) is below what odds imply (78%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSulkowski 3.50 / Staszczyk 1.28
Signal prob.25% / 76%
Edge (Staszczyk)+2.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13092332
Sulkowski3.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog32% won 164 of 510
Down 0–1, comes back17% 51 of 293
Down 0–2, comes back2% 3 of 137
Staszczyk1.28
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite64% won 144 of 226
Up 2–0, closes it86% 57 of 66
Up 1–0, closes it82% 103 of 125
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeSulkowski1wins
AwayStaszczyk5wins
3 of 6 to a deciderStaszczyk leads 5–1, and 3 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSulkowski33.3%1 of 3
AwayStaszczyk100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sulkowski3Staszczyk3n = 6split evenly
S2Sulkowski2Staszczyk3n = 5Staszczyk took 3 of 5
S3Sulkowski3Staszczyk2n = 5Sulkowski took 3 of 5
S4Sulkowski0Staszczyk5n = 5Staszczyk took 5 of 5
S5Sulkowski1Staszczyk2n = 3Staszczyk took 2 of 3
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home117%
2–3Decider, away233%
1–3Four sets, away233%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 6 meetings
MetricSulkowskiStaszczykSulkowski − StaszczykBasisWins15−4in 6 meetingsFirst set330of 6Avg pointsper match32.739.7−7.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSulkowskiStaszczykBasisWin rate · lifetime540 / 1222 vs 176 / 31144.2%56.6%540 / 1222 vs 176 / 311Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.538.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
StaszczykSulkowski 3.50/Staszczyk 1.28
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
75.5%
Staszczyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Staszczyk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
LJul 12 · 15:50B. Sulkowski—1371171K. Staszczyk—111113113
WJun 13 · 11:45B. Sulkowski—1111114113K. Staszczyk—91341182
LMay 31 · 10:30B. Sulkowski—781161K. Staszczyk—11116113
LMay 31 · 03:00B. Sulkowski—91211632K. Staszczyk—1110711113
LMay 30 · 14:15B. Sulkowski—11114522K. Staszczyk—891111113
LMay 17 · 17:55B. Sulkowski—40K. Staszczyk—81
B. Sulkowski10
LSep 7 · 21:50M. Rutkowski1.171111113B. Sulkowski4.507880WSep 7 · 24:35A. Linek1.97136681B. Sulkowski1.71111111113WSep 6 · 22:55A. Lilien1.66511961B. Sulkowski2.0511711113LSep 6 · 22:15M. Trela1.941111117113B. Sulkowski1.7461341192LSep 6 · 21:30A. Myszewski2.3711711113B. Sulkowski1.51511451WSep 6 · 19:40J. Michalczyk2.21811981B. Sulkowski1.5711211113WSep 6 · 18:55M. Trela2.239711121B. Sulkowski1.5611112143WSep 6 · 18:10B. Sulkowski1.60111178113A. Myszewski2.1036111142LSep 6 · 16:35B. Sulkowski2.258115101A. Lilien1.5511811123LSep 6 · 15:50A. Wos1.421511113113B. Sulkowski2.6017761162
K. Staszczyk10
WSep 7 · 23:20M. Rutkowski2.00911101562K. Staszczyk1.731181213113LSep 7 · 22:10K. Staszczyk1.9191190K. Kapik1.801113113WSep 7 · 21:00K. Kostyk2.2071181862K. Staszczyk1.611161116113LSep 7 · 20:30K. Staszczyk1.73781111112M. Rutkowski2.00111168133WSep 7 · 18:50K. Staszczyk2.50111387113K. Glazowski1.50911111182LSep 7 · 17:40K. Staszczyk1.8391161182K. Kapik1.83117119113LSep 7 · 16:05K. Staszczyk3.50561131K. Strowski1.2811114113LSep 7 · 15:00K. Staszczyk1.6154110K. Kostyk2.201111133WAug 19 · 24:35D. Solilo3.00106100K. Staszczyk1.361211123LAug 18 · 22:55M. Rutkowski1.9111117113K. Staszczyk1.80851151
Upcoming Matches
B. Sulkowski2 of 6 neutral
K. Staszczyk3 of 4 neutral
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