TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #12450653
Played Aug 19Finished
Dominik Solilo
Home
3.00
At publish
Lost last 7Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 7
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
10126111012––––
Konrad Staszczyk
Away
1.36
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:50 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeDominik Solilo to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingDominik Solilo above · Konrad Staszczyk below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 10-12
Point 61 set 3, 10-12 — our read held Dominik Solilo at 54.0%
61 points played in total.
H2H Dominik Solilo 0–2 Konrad Staszczyk Dominik Solilo has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 15:50What took a side1 for · 3 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.36 (69%)
Staszczyk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-2 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Solilo 1426 vs Staszczyk 1613
Staszczyk
Correct
both rated, 187 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Solilo 0% vs Staszczyk 20%
Staszczyk
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Solilo 20% vs Staszczyk 10%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Solilo -5 · Staszczyk -1
Solilo
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 76% — Strong (leans Staszczyk) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Staszczyk form (20%) is below what odds imply (73%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSolilo 3.00 / Staszczyk 1.36
Signal prob.24% / 76%
Edge (Staszczyk)+7.0pp
TT Elite Series · #12450653
Solilo3.00
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 7
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog35% won 54 of 154
Down 0–1, comes back25% 23 of 94
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 54
Staszczyk1.36
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
10%takes the first set · 1 of 10
As favourite64% won 143 of 222
Up 2–0, closes it86% 56 of 65
Up 1–0, closes it82% 102 of 124
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeSolilo0wins
AwayStaszczyk2wins
Staszczyk leads 2–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away2
These 2 meetings
MetricSoliloStaszczykSolilo − StaszczykBasisWins02−2in 2 meetingsFirst set02−2of 2Avg pointsper match25.034.5−9.5per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSoliloStaszczykBasisWin rate · lifetime155 / 367 vs 174 / 30442.2%57.2%155 / 367 vs 174 / 304Avg sets wonper match1.82.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.238.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
StaszczykSolilo 3.00/Staszczyk 1.36
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
75.8%
Staszczyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Staszczyk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
LAug 19 · 24:35D. Solilo—106100K. Staszczyk—1211123
LAug 17 · 22:10D. Solilo—10590K. Staszczyk—1211113
D. Solilo10
WSep 7 · 08:05M. Minda1.5910860D. Solilo2.161211113WSep 7 · 07:15K. Wisniewski1.6881191132D. Solilo2.05113115113WSep 7 · 05:15J. Zochniak1.75991281D. Solilo1.95111110113LSep 7 · 04:25A. Sobel2.2011116113D. Solilo1.57221111LSep 7 · 03:00M. Sklensky—1111613113D. Solilo—46111572WSep 4 · 08:05A. Mugowski2.608890D. Solilo1.421111113LSep 4 · 07:15G. Poliniewicz1.3611811113D. Solilo3.00711951WSep 4 · 05:15A. Lilien1.9071190D. Solilo1.801113113WSep 4 · 04:25M. Minda1.5411860D. Solilo2.251311113LSep 4 · 03:00J. Zochniak1.6011116113D. Solilo2.10671141
K. Staszczyk10
LSep 7 · 16:05K. Staszczyk3.50561131K. Strowski1.2811114113LSep 7 · 15:00K. Staszczyk1.6154110K. Kostyk2.201111133LAug 18 · 22:55M. Rutkowski1.9111117113K. Staszczyk1.80851151WAug 18 · 22:10J. Kuzmicz1.441151091K. Staszczyk2.6351112113LAug 18 · 21:25M. Olbrycht2.331311113K. Staszczyk1.5111880LAug 18 · 20:05K. Staszczyk2.20511471K. Glazowski1.6111911113LAug 18 · 18:30K. Kolodziej1.251111113K. Staszczyk3.752750LAug 18 · 17:40J. Kuzmicz1.4411118113K. Staszczyk2.63821131LAug 18 · 16:55K. Staszczyk2.0091151152M. Olbrycht1.73119119113LAug 18 · 15:45K. Staszczyk1.83811661A. Spychala1.8311511113
Upcoming Matches
D. Solilo
Nothing scheduled
K. Staszczyk2 of 10 neutral
Sep 7 · 17:40K. Staszczyk1.83K. Kapik1.83—Sep 7 · 18:50K. Staszczyk2.50K. Glazowski1.50—Sep 7 · 20:30K. Staszczyk1.73M. Rutkowski2.00—Sep 7 · 21:00K. Staszczyk1.61K. Kostyk2.20—Sep 7 · 22:10K. Staszczyk1.91K. Kapik1.80—Sep 7 · 22:35K. Staszczyk1.28B. Sulkowski3.50—Sep 7 · 23:20K. Staszczyk1.73M. Rutkowski2.00—Sep 8 · 21:50K. Staszczyk—K. Kapik——Sep 8 · 22:35K. Staszczyk—K. Kostyk——Sep 8 · 23:45K. Staszczyk—M. Rutkowski——
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