TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #12450654
Played Aug 18Finished
Michal Olbrycht
Home
2.33
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1311118118––––
Konrad Staszczyk
Away
1.51
At publish
Lost last 7Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 7
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:50 and never touched — 54.7% is still 54.7%
Graded at full timeKonrad Staszczyk to win
54.7%
54.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingMichal Olbrycht above · Konrad Staszczyk below
Set 1 · 13-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-8
Point 62 set 3, 11-8 — our read held Konrad Staszczyk at 54.7%
62 points played in total.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 15:50What took a side1 for · 3 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.51 (61%)
Staszczyk
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Olbrycht 1643 vs Staszczyk 1608
Olbrycht
Correct
both rated, 35 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Olbrycht 20% vs Staszczyk 0%
Olbrycht
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Olbrycht 40% vs Staszczyk 10%
Olbrycht
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Olbrycht -3 · Staszczyk -5
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Olbrycht) · live re-read · sealed at 45% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Staszczyk form (0%) is below what odds imply (66%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsOlbrycht 2.33 / Staszczyk 1.51
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Olbrycht)+14.7pp
TT Elite Series · #12450654
Olbrycht2.33
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog37% won 93 of 250
Down 0–1, comes back19% 29 of 152
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 76
Staszczyk1.51
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 7
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite64% won 143 of 222
Up 2–0, closes it86% 56 of 65
Up 1–0, closes it82% 102 of 124
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricOlbrychtStaszczykBasisWin rate · lifetime359 / 768 vs 172 / 30046.7%57.3%359 / 768 vs 172 / 300Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.938.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
Forecastthe model predicts this market
Match Winner
OlbrychtOlbrycht 2.33/Staszczyk 1.51
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Olbrycht · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Olbrycht won
Handicap · Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
M. Olbrycht10
WSep 3 · 24:35M. Rutkowski1.83911861M. Olbrycht1.8311711113LSep 2 · 22:55J. Kuzmicz1.3612119113M. Olbrycht3.001091131WSep 2 · 22:10L. Pietraszko2.108330M. Olbrycht1.671111113WSep 2 · 21:25J. Chmielowski2.20118871M. Olbrycht1.6171111113WSep 2 · 20:05M. Olbrycht1.83611116113K. Kapik1.8311981182LSep 2 · 18:30A. Spychala1.73119411113M. Olbrycht2.0031111772LSep 2 · 17:40L. Pietraszko2.001211113M. Olbrycht1.7310660LSep 2 · 16:55M. Olbrycht1.73912111162J. Chmielowski2.00111498113WSep 2 · 15:45M. Olbrycht1.7391211113J. Witkowski2.001110471LSep 2 · 24:10M. Olbrycht2.00128781M. Rutkowski1.73101111113
K. Staszczyk10
LSep 7 · 16:05K. Staszczyk3.50561131K. Strowski1.2811114113LSep 7 · 15:00K. Staszczyk1.6154110K. Kostyk2.201111133WAug 19 · 24:35D. Solilo3.00106100K. Staszczyk1.361211123LAug 18 · 22:55M. Rutkowski1.9111117113K. Staszczyk1.80851151WAug 18 · 22:10J. Kuzmicz1.441151091K. Staszczyk2.6351112113LAug 18 · 20:05K. Staszczyk2.20511471K. Glazowski1.6111911113LAug 18 · 18:30K. Kolodziej1.251111113K. Staszczyk3.752750LAug 18 · 17:40J. Kuzmicz1.4411118113K. Staszczyk2.63821131LAug 18 · 16:55K. Staszczyk2.0091151152M. Olbrycht1.73119119113LAug 18 · 15:45K. Staszczyk1.83811661A. Spychala1.8311511113
Upcoming Matches
M. Olbrycht
Nothing scheduled
K. Staszczyk2 of 10 neutral
Sep 7 · 17:40K. Staszczyk1.83K. Kapik1.83—Sep 7 · 18:50K. Staszczyk2.50K. Glazowski1.50—Sep 7 · 20:30K. Staszczyk1.73M. Rutkowski2.00—Sep 7 · 21:00K. Staszczyk1.61K. Kostyk2.20—Sep 7 · 22:10K. Staszczyk1.91K. Kapik1.80—Sep 7 · 22:35K. Staszczyk1.28B. Sulkowski3.50—Sep 7 · 23:20K. Staszczyk1.73M. Rutkowski2.00—Sep 8 · 21:50K. Staszczyk—K. Kapik——Sep 8 · 22:35K. Staszczyk—K. Kostyk——Sep 8 · 23:45K. Staszczyk—M. Rutkowski——
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