TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #12450556
Played Aug 18Finished
Jakub Kuzmicz
Home
1.44
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
118112811113––
Konrad Staszczyk
Away
2.63
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:31 and never touched — 67.8% is still 67.8%
Graded at full timeKonrad Staszczyk to win
67.8%
67.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingJakub Kuzmicz above · Konrad Staszczyk below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-2
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 11-3
Point 65 set 4, 11-3 — our read held Konrad Staszczyk at 67.8%
65 points played in total.
H2H Jakub Kuzmicz 1–7 Konrad Staszczyk Jakub Kuzmicz has won 1 of their 8 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 15:31What took a side2 for · 4 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Kuzmicz
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-7 in 8
Staszczyk
Wrong
gap of 6 in 8, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kuzmicz 1835 vs Staszczyk 1627
Kuzmicz
Correct
both rated, 208 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kuzmicz 80% vs Staszczyk 20%
Kuzmicz
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kuzmicz 80% vs Staszczyk 10%
Kuzmicz
Correct
70pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kuzmicz -1 · Staszczyk -3
Staszczyk
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 70% — Strong (leans Kuzmicz) · live re-read · sealed at 32% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Staszczyk form (20%) is below what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKuzmicz 1.44 / Staszczyk 2.63
Signal prob.70% / 30%
Edge (Kuzmicz)+5.5pp
TT Elite Series · #12450556
Kuzmicz1.44
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite60% won 403 of 671
Up 2–0, closes it97% 164 of 169
Up 1–0, closes it80% 274 of 344
Staszczyk2.63
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog39% won 27 of 69
Down 0–1, comes back17% 7 of 41
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 27
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 8 meetings
HomeKuzmicz1wins
AwayStaszczyk7wins
3 of 8 to a deciderStaszczyk leads 7–1, and 3 of those 8 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKuzmicz33.3%1 of 3
AwayStaszczyk100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 8 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kuzmicz3Staszczyk5n = 8Staszczyk took 5 of 8
S2Kuzmicz2Staszczyk6n = 8Staszczyk took 6 of 8
S3Kuzmicz4Staszczyk4n = 8split evenly
S4Kuzmicz3Staszczyk3n = 6split evenly
S5Kuzmicz0Staszczyk3n = 3Staszczyk took 3 of 3
How those 8 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 8 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home113%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away338%
1–3Four sets, away338%
0–3Straight, away113%
These 8 meetings
MetricKuzmiczStaszczykK − SBasisWins17−6in 8 meetingsFirst set35−2of 8Avg pointsper match34.840.8−6.0per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKuzmiczStaszczykBasisWin rate · lifetime603 / 1051 vs 172 / 29757.4%57.9%603 / 1051 vs 172 / 297Avg sets wonper match2.22.2per matchAvg pointsper match39.838.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KuzmiczKuzmicz 1.44/Staszczyk 2.63
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
70%
Kuzmicz · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Kuzmicz won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record8
LJul 16 · 23:55J. Kuzmicz—76100K. Staszczyk—1111123
LJul 16 · 21:45J. Kuzmicz—58111152K. Staszczyk—111137113
LJul 15 · 20:05J. Kuzmicz—11671142K. Staszczyk—911116113
LJun 8 · 24:45J. Kuzmicz—781161K. Staszczyk—11119113
LJun 7 · 22:20J. Kuzmicz—91171262K. Staszczyk—1191110113
LMay 18 · 02:00J. Kuzmicz—7101171K. Staszczyk—11129113
WMay 17 · 23:30J. Kuzmicz—1111113K. Staszczyk—7890
LMay 17 · 21:35J. Kuzmicz—114791K. Staszczyk—71111113
J. Kuzmicz10
WSep 6 · 20:05L. Pietraszko3.401110961J. Kuzmicz1.3091211113WSep 6 · 19:15K. Kapik2.258911101J. Kuzmicz1.5711115123WSep 6 · 17:20D. Jadam2.3881141172J. Kuzmicz1.53117118113LSep 6 · 16:30J. Zochniak2.75139144113J. Kuzmicz1.401111121162WSep 6 · 15:00F. Mlynarski2.38131171172J. Kuzmicz1.53158114113LSep 5 · 19:40J. Kuzmicz1.731013691P. Jendrzejewski2.00121111113LSep 5 · 18:30J. Kuzmicz1.5091171172F. Mlynarski2.50118119113WSep 5 · 17:20J. Kuzmicz1.5711118113D. Jadam2.25661171WSep 5 · 16:05T. Filbrandt2.251111781J. Kuzmicz1.5791311103WSep 5 · 15:25J. Kuzmicz1.22911116113A. Wos4.0011991192
K. Staszczyk10
LSep 7 · 16:05K. Staszczyk3.50561131K. Strowski1.2811114113LSep 7 · 15:00K. Staszczyk1.6154110K. Kostyk2.201111133WAug 19 · 24:35D. Solilo3.00106100K. Staszczyk1.361211123LAug 18 · 22:55M. Rutkowski1.9111117113K. Staszczyk1.80851151WAug 18 · 22:10J. Kuzmicz1.441151091K. Staszczyk2.6351112113LAug 18 · 21:25M. Olbrycht2.331311113K. Staszczyk1.5111880LAug 18 · 20:05K. Staszczyk2.20511471K. Glazowski1.6111911113LAug 18 · 18:30K. Kolodziej1.251111113K. Staszczyk3.752750LAug 18 · 16:55K. Staszczyk2.0091151152M. Olbrycht1.73119119113LAug 18 · 15:45K. Staszczyk1.83811661A. Spychala1.8311511113
Upcoming Matches
J. Kuzmicz1 of 2 neutral
K. Staszczyk2 of 10 neutral
Sep 7 · 17:40K. Staszczyk1.83K. Kapik1.83—Sep 7 · 18:50K. Staszczyk2.50K. Glazowski1.50—Sep 7 · 20:30K. Staszczyk1.73M. Rutkowski2.00—Sep 7 · 21:00K. Staszczyk1.61K. Kostyk2.20—Sep 7 · 22:10K. Staszczyk1.91K. Kapik1.80—Sep 7 · 22:35K. Staszczyk1.28B. Sulkowski3.50—Sep 7 · 23:20K. Staszczyk1.73M. Rutkowski2.00—Sep 8 · 21:50K. Staszczyk—K. Kapik——Sep 8 · 22:35K. Staszczyk—K. Kostyk——Sep 8 · 23:45K. Staszczyk—M. Rutkowski——
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