TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #12450552
Played Aug 18Finished
Jakub Kuzmicz
Home
1.44
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1155111012911––
Konrad Staszczyk
Away
2.63
At publish
Lost last 8Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 8
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:30 and never touched — 67.8% is still 67.8%
Graded at full timeKonrad Staszczyk to win
67.8%
67.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJakub Kuzmicz above · Konrad Staszczyk below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 10-12
Set 4 · 9-11
Point 74 set 4, 9-11 — our read held Konrad Staszczyk at 67.8%
74 points played in total.
H2H Jakub Kuzmicz 1–7 Konrad Staszczyk Jakub Kuzmicz has won 1 of their 8 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 15:30What took a side2 for · 4 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Kuzmicz
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-7 in 8
Staszczyk
Correct
gap of 6 in 8, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kuzmicz 1838 vs Staszczyk 1596
Kuzmicz
Wrong
both rated, 243 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kuzmicz 60% vs Staszczyk 0%
Kuzmicz
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kuzmicz 80% vs Staszczyk 10%
Kuzmicz
Wrong
70pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kuzmicz -1 · Staszczyk -5
Staszczyk
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 70% — Strong (leans Kuzmicz) · live re-read · sealed at 32% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Staszczyk form (0%) is below what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKuzmicz 1.44 / Staszczyk 2.63
Signal prob.70% / 30%
Edge (Kuzmicz)+5.5pp
TT Elite Series · #12450552
Kuzmicz1.44
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite60% won 403 of 671
Up 2–0, closes it97% 164 of 169
Up 1–0, closes it80% 274 of 344
Staszczyk2.63
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 8
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog39% won 27 of 69
Down 0–1, comes back17% 7 of 41
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 27
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 8 meetings
HomeKuzmicz1wins
AwayStaszczyk7wins
3 of 8 to a deciderStaszczyk leads 7–1, and 3 of those 8 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKuzmicz33.3%1 of 3
AwayStaszczyk100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 8 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kuzmicz3Staszczyk5n = 8Staszczyk took 5 of 8
S2Kuzmicz2Staszczyk6n = 8Staszczyk took 6 of 8
S3Kuzmicz4Staszczyk4n = 8split evenly
S4Kuzmicz3Staszczyk3n = 6split evenly
S5Kuzmicz0Staszczyk3n = 3Staszczyk took 3 of 3
How those 8 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 8 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home113%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away338%
1–3Four sets, away338%
0–3Straight, away113%
These 8 meetings
MetricKuzmiczStaszczykK − SBasisWins17−6in 8 meetingsFirst set35−2of 8Avg pointsper match34.840.8−6.0per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKuzmiczStaszczykBasisWin rate · lifetime606 / 1055 vs 172 / 30157.4%57.1%606 / 1055 vs 172 / 301Avg sets wonper match2.22.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.838.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KuzmiczKuzmicz 1.44/Staszczyk 2.63
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
70%
Kuzmicz · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Staszczyk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record8
LJul 16 · 23:55J. Kuzmicz—76100K. Staszczyk—1111123
LJul 16 · 21:45J. Kuzmicz—58111152K. Staszczyk—111137113
LJul 15 · 20:05J. Kuzmicz—11671142K. Staszczyk—911116113
LJun 8 · 24:45J. Kuzmicz—781161K. Staszczyk—11119113
LJun 7 · 22:20J. Kuzmicz—91171262K. Staszczyk—1191110113
LMay 18 · 02:00J. Kuzmicz—7101171K. Staszczyk—11129113
WMay 17 · 23:30J. Kuzmicz—1111113K. Staszczyk—7890
LMay 17 · 21:35J. Kuzmicz—114791K. Staszczyk—71111113
J. Kuzmicz10
WSep 6 · 20:05L. Pietraszko3.401110961J. Kuzmicz1.3091211113WSep 6 · 19:15K. Kapik2.258911101J. Kuzmicz1.5711115123WSep 6 · 17:20D. Jadam2.3881141172J. Kuzmicz1.53117118113LSep 6 · 16:30J. Zochniak2.75139144113J. Kuzmicz1.401111121162WSep 6 · 15:00F. Mlynarski2.38131171172J. Kuzmicz1.53158114113LSep 5 · 19:40J. Kuzmicz1.731013691P. Jendrzejewski2.00121111113LSep 5 · 18:30J. Kuzmicz1.5091171172F. Mlynarski2.50118119113WSep 5 · 17:20J. Kuzmicz1.5711118113D. Jadam2.25661171WSep 5 · 16:05T. Filbrandt2.251111781J. Kuzmicz1.5791311103WSep 5 · 15:25J. Kuzmicz1.22911116113A. Wos4.0011991192
K. Staszczyk10
LSep 7 · 16:05K. Staszczyk3.50561131K. Strowski1.2811114113LSep 7 · 15:00K. Staszczyk1.6154110K. Kostyk2.201111133WAug 19 · 24:35D. Solilo3.00106100K. Staszczyk1.361211123LAug 18 · 22:55M. Rutkowski1.9111117113K. Staszczyk1.80851151LAug 18 · 21:25M. Olbrycht2.331311113K. Staszczyk1.5111880LAug 18 · 20:05K. Staszczyk2.20511471K. Glazowski1.6111911113LAug 18 · 18:30K. Kolodziej1.251111113K. Staszczyk3.752750LAug 18 · 17:40J. Kuzmicz1.4411118113K. Staszczyk2.63821131LAug 18 · 16:55K. Staszczyk2.0091151152M. Olbrycht1.73119119113LAug 18 · 15:45K. Staszczyk1.83811661A. Spychala1.8311511113
Upcoming Matches
J. Kuzmicz1 of 2 neutral
K. Staszczyk2 of 10 neutral
Sep 7 · 17:40K. Staszczyk1.83K. Kapik1.83—Sep 7 · 18:50K. Staszczyk2.50K. Glazowski1.50—Sep 7 · 20:30K. Staszczyk1.73M. Rutkowski2.00—Sep 7 · 21:00K. Staszczyk1.61K. Kostyk2.20—Sep 7 · 22:10K. Staszczyk1.91K. Kapik1.80—Sep 7 · 22:35K. Staszczyk1.28B. Sulkowski3.50—Sep 7 · 23:20K. Staszczyk1.73M. Rutkowski2.00—Sep 8 · 21:50K. Staszczyk—K. Kapik——Sep 8 · 22:35K. Staszczyk—K. Kostyk——Sep 8 · 23:45K. Staszczyk—M. Rutkowski——
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