TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #12450558
Played Aug 18Finished
Konrad Staszczyk
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
811115611611––
Adrian Spychala
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:31 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeKonrad Staszczyk to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingKonrad Staszczyk above · Adrian Spychala below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 6-11
Point 69 set 4, 6-11 — our read held Konrad Staszczyk at 54.0%
69 points played in total.
H2H Konrad Staszczyk 0–3 Adrian Spychala Konrad Staszczyk has won 0 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 15:31What took a side0 for · 4 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Spychala
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-3 in 3
Spychala
Correct
gap of 3 in 3, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Staszczyk 1647 vs Spychala 1678
Spychala
Correct
both rated, 31 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Staszczyk 20% vs Spychala 40%
Spychala
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Staszczyk 20% vs Spychala 20%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Staszczyk -2 · Spychala -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
0 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Spychala) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Spychala form (40%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStaszczyk 1.83 / Spychala 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Spychala)+4.0pp
TT Elite Series · #12450558
Staszczyk1.83
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Spychala1.83
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeStaszczyk0wins
AwaySpychala3wins
Spychala leads 3–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeStaszczykn = 0, below the 3 needed
AwaySpychala100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Staszczyk0Spychala3n = 3Spychala took 3 of 3
S2Staszczyk0Spychala3n = 3Spychala took 3 of 3
S3Staszczyk0Spychala3n = 3Spychala took 3 of 3
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away3100%
These 3 meetings
MetricStaszczykSpychalaStaszczyk − SpychalaBasisWins03−3in 3 meetingsFirst set03−3of 3Avg pointsper match18.333.0−14.7per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricStaszczykSpychalaBasisWin rate · lifetime172 / 295 vs 593 / 160858.3%36.9%172 / 295 vs 593 / 1608Avg sets wonper match2.21.6per matchAvg pointsper match38.535.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SpychalaStaszczyk 1.83/Spychala 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Spychala · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Spychala won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
LJun 13 · 13:00K. Staszczyk—7760A. Spychala—1111113
LJun 13 · 07:30K. Staszczyk—4750A. Spychala—1111113
LJun 13 · 05:00K. Staszczyk—6580A. Spychala—1111113
K. Staszczyk10
LSep 7 · 16:05K. Staszczyk3.50561131K. Strowski1.2811114113LSep 7 · 15:00K. Staszczyk1.6154110K. Kostyk2.201111133WAug 19 · 24:35D. Solilo3.00106100K. Staszczyk1.361211123LAug 18 · 22:55M. Rutkowski1.9111117113K. Staszczyk1.80851151WAug 18 · 22:10J. Kuzmicz1.441151091K. Staszczyk2.6351112113LAug 18 · 21:25M. Olbrycht2.331311113K. Staszczyk1.5111880LAug 18 · 20:05K. Staszczyk2.20511471K. Glazowski1.6111911113LAug 18 · 18:30K. Kolodziej1.251111113K. Staszczyk3.752750LAug 18 · 17:40J. Kuzmicz1.4411118113K. Staszczyk2.63821131LAug 18 · 16:55K. Staszczyk2.0091151152M. Olbrycht1.73119119113
A. Spychala10
WSep 2 · 19:40A. Spychala1.801211113J. Witkowski1.9110790WSep 2 · 18:30A. Spychala1.73119411113M. Olbrycht2.0031111772LSep 2 · 17:20A. Spychala1.83117781K. Kapik1.8371111113WSep 2 · 16:05L. Pietraszko2.63101111652A. Spychala1.44129911113WSep 2 · 15:25A. Spychala1.91411145113J. Chmielowski1.80117121182WSep 2 · 14:35A. Spychala1.7011118113J. Witkowski1.95771171LSep 2 · 13:00A. Spychala1.80116612102M. Kolek1.858111110123WSep 2 · 11:45A. Spychala1.8371111113K. Wisniewski1.86118761LSep 2 · 10:05A. Spychala2.95481591J. Kuzmicz1.33111113113WSep 2 · 09:00A. Spychala2.25101111153D. Prokopcov1.551289131
Upcoming Matches
K. Staszczyk2 of 10 neutral
Sep 7 · 17:40K. Staszczyk1.83K. Kapik1.83—Sep 7 · 18:50K. Staszczyk2.50K. Glazowski1.50—Sep 7 · 20:30K. Staszczyk1.73M. Rutkowski2.00—Sep 7 · 21:00K. Staszczyk1.61K. Kostyk2.20—Sep 7 · 22:10K. Staszczyk1.91K. Kapik1.80—Sep 7 · 22:35K. Staszczyk1.28B. Sulkowski3.50—Sep 7 · 23:20K. Staszczyk1.73M. Rutkowski2.00—Sep 8 · 21:50K. Staszczyk—K. Kapik——Sep 8 · 22:35K. Staszczyk—K. Kostyk——Sep 8 · 23:45K. Staszczyk—M. Rutkowski——
A. Spychala
Nothing scheduled
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