TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #12450655
Played Aug 18Finished
Konrad Staszczyk
Home
2.20
At publish
Lost last 6Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 6
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
511119411711––
Kacper Glazowski
Away
1.62
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:50 and never touched — 61.5% is still 61.5%
Graded at full timeKonrad Staszczyk to win
61.5%
61.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingKonrad Staszczyk above · Kacper Glazowski below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 4-11
Set 4 · 7-11
Point 69 set 4, 7-11 — our read held Konrad Staszczyk at 61.5%
69 points played in total.
H2H Konrad Staszczyk 0–1 Kacper Glazowski Konrad Staszczyk has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 15:50What took a side1 for · 4 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Glazowski
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Staszczyk 1616 vs Glazowski 1758
Glazowski
Correct
both rated, 142 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Staszczyk 0% vs Glazowski 60%
Glazowski
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Staszczyk 10% vs Glazowski 60%
Glazowski
Correct
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Staszczyk -5 · Glazowski +1
Staszczyk
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Glazowski) · live re-read · sealed at 39% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Staszczyk form (0%) is below what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStaszczyk 2.20 / Glazowski 1.61
Signal prob.35% / 65%
Edge (Glazowski)+7.0pp
TT Elite Series · #12450655
Staszczyk2.20
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 6
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog39% won 27 of 69
Down 0–1, comes back17% 7 of 41
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 27
Glazowski1.61
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite65% won 123 of 189
Up 2–0, closes it98% 58 of 59
Up 1–0, closes it83% 102 of 123
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeStaszczyk0wins
AwayGlazowski1wins
1 of 1 to a deciderGlazowski leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricStaszczykGlazowskiS − GBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match49.048.0+1.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricStaszczykGlazowskiBasisWin rate · lifetime172 / 299 vs 490 / 101157.5%48.5%172 / 299 vs 490 / 1011Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.437.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
GlazowskiStaszczyk 2.20/Glazowski 1.61
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
64.7%
Glazowski · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Glazowski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LJul 16 · 16:05K. Staszczyk—117111192K. Glazowski—131194113
K. Staszczyk10
LSep 7 · 16:05K. Staszczyk3.50561131K. Strowski1.2811114113LSep 7 · 15:00K. Staszczyk1.6154110K. Kostyk2.201111133WAug 19 · 24:35D. Solilo3.00106100K. Staszczyk1.361211123LAug 18 · 22:55M. Rutkowski1.9111117113K. Staszczyk1.80851151WAug 18 · 22:10J. Kuzmicz1.441151091K. Staszczyk2.6351112113LAug 18 · 21:25M. Olbrycht2.331311113K. Staszczyk1.5111880LAug 18 · 18:30K. Kolodziej1.251111113K. Staszczyk3.752750LAug 18 · 17:40J. Kuzmicz1.4411118113K. Staszczyk2.63821131LAug 18 · 16:55K. Staszczyk2.0091151152M. Olbrycht1.73119119113LAug 18 · 15:45K. Staszczyk1.83811661A. Spychala1.8311511113
K. Glazowski10
WSep 7 · 16:30K. Glazowski1.2811911113K. Kostyk3.50611541LSep 7 · 15:45K. Kapik2.2512511113K. Glazowski1.571011661WSep 7 · 14:35K. Strowski1.7471161182K. Glazowski1.94115119113LSep 7 · 13:25K. Glazowski2.406980K. Wloczko1.501111113LSep 7 · 12:10G. Poliniewicz2.1011138113K. Glazowski1.657111181WSep 7 · 10:55K. Wisniewski2.759811101K. Glazowski1.4011118123LSep 7 · 09:20M. Sklensky2.301371110123K. Glazowski1.531111712102LSep 1 · 20:05K. Glazowski2.20118881M. Sklensky1.6121111113WSep 1 · 18:30K. Strowski2.00781181K. Glazowski1.7311117113WSep 1 · 17:40A. Spychala2.209980K. Glazowski1.611111113
Upcoming Matches
K. Staszczyk2 of 10 neutral
Sep 7 · 17:40K. Staszczyk1.83K. Kapik1.83—Sep 7 · 18:50K. Staszczyk2.50K. Glazowski1.50—Sep 7 · 20:30K. Staszczyk1.73M. Rutkowski2.00—Sep 7 · 21:00K. Staszczyk1.61K. Kostyk2.20—Sep 7 · 22:10K. Staszczyk1.91K. Kapik1.80—Sep 7 · 22:35K. Staszczyk1.28B. Sulkowski3.50—Sep 7 · 23:20K. Staszczyk1.73M. Rutkowski2.00—Sep 8 · 21:50K. Staszczyk—K. Kapik——Sep 8 · 22:35K. Staszczyk—K. Kostyk——Sep 8 · 23:45K. Staszczyk—M. Rutkowski——
K. Glazowski1 of 10 neutral
Sep 7 · 18:05K. Glazowski1.83M. Rutkowski1.83—Sep 7 · 18:50K. Glazowski1.50K. Staszczyk2.50—Sep 7 · 19:40K. Glazowski1.50K. Strowski2.50—Sep 8 · 09:00K. Glazowski—K. Wisniewski——Sep 8 · 10:05K. Glazowski—G. Poliniewicz——Sep 8 · 11:45K. Glazowski—J. Kuzmicz——Sep 8 · 13:00K. Glazowski—M. Sklensky——Sep 8 · 14:35K. Glazowski—A. Daniel——Sep 8 · 15:45K. Glazowski—L. Pietraszko——Sep 8 · 16:30K. Glazowski—M. Rutkowski——
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