TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13079704
Played Sep 5Finished
Karol Sulkowski
Home
1.85
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 4
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
116118811117––
Dawid Poloszczanski
Away
1.85
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:28 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeKarol Sulkowski to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
73 points played in total.
Set by set
116118811117––
H2H Karol Sulkowski 12–8 Dawid Poloszczanski Dawid Poloszczanski has won 8 of their 20 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 22:28What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.85 (50%)
Poloszczanski
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
12-8 in 20
Sulkowski
Correct
gap of 4 in 20, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sulkowski 1289 vs Poloszczanski 1290
Poloszczanski
Wrong
both rated, 1 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sulkowski 80% vs Poloszczanski 60%
Sulkowski
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sulkowski 60% vs Poloszczanski 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Sulkowski +4 · Poloszczanski +1
Sulkowski
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Sulkowski)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sulkowski form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (54%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSulkowski 1.85 / Poloszczanski 1.85
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Sulkowski)+4.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13079704
Sulkowski1.85
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Poloszczanski1.85
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSulkowski6wins
AwayPoloszczanski4wins
6 of 10 to a deciderSulkowski leads 6–4, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSulkowski66.7%2 of 3
AwayPoloszczanski42.9%3 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sulkowski3Poloszczanski7n = 10Poloszczanski took 7 of 10
S2Sulkowski7Poloszczanski3n = 10Sulkowski took 7 of 10
S3Sulkowski6Poloszczanski4n = 10Sulkowski took 6 of 10
S4Sulkowski2Poloszczanski8n = 10Poloszczanski took 8 of 10
S5Sulkowski5Poloszczanski1n = 6Sulkowski took 5 of 6
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home550%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricSulkowskiPoloszczanskiS − PBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match43.043.9−0.9per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSulkowskiPoloszczanskiBasisWin rate · lifetime616 / 1245 vs 332 / 83649.5%39.7%616 / 1245 vs 332 / 836Avg sets wonper match2.01.8per matchAvg pointsper match38.038.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SulkowskiSulkowski 1.85/Poloszczanski 1.85
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Sulkowski · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Sulkowski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WJul 26 · 01:00K. Sulkowski—111157113D. Poloszczanski—84111172
LJul 25 · 22:35K. Sulkowski—651171D. Poloszczanski—11117113
WJul 11 · 08:05K. Sulkowski—1011911123D. Poloszczanski—126114102
LJul 11 · 05:35K. Sulkowski—1151071D. Poloszczanski—31112113
LJun 1 · 16:45K. Sulkowski—1071181D. Poloszczanski—12119113
WMay 17 · 06:30K. Sulkowski—611116113D. Poloszczanski—11971152
WMay 16 · 08:10K. Sulkowski—413114113D. Poloszczanski—111191182
WMay 10 · 11:25K. Sulkowski—131110113D. Poloszczanski—1181291
WMay 10 · 07:20K. Sulkowski—711117113D. Poloszczanski—11851182
LMay 9 · 06:30K. Sulkowski—91120682D. Poloszczanski—1181811113
K. Sulkowski10
LSep 7 · 05:15B. Czerwinski1.541111113K. Sulkowski2.254950WSep 7 · 04:30B. Wisniewski2.3411791262K. Sulkowski1.519111110113LSep 7 · 03:00A. Szoltysek2.0512117113K. Sulkowski1.681021181WSep 6 · 14:40K. Golaszewski2.35571181K. Sulkowski1.5011118113WSep 6 · 13:30K. Sulkowski1.601111123B. Wisniewski2.2058100WSep 6 · 12:15M. Sinicki1.856880K. Sulkowski1.851111113WSep 6 · 11:00F. Jablonski1.9011761152K. Sulkowski1.75511119113WSep 6 · 09:25T. Piotrowski2.1561090K. Sulkowski1.601112113WSep 6 · 07:40K. Sulkowski1.5311118123F. Jablonski2.359911101LSep 6 · 06:30K. Sulkowski1.51104100K. Golaszewski2.331211123
D. Poloszczanski10
LSep 6 · 24:35D. Poloszczanski2.60101380J. Michalczyk1.411215113LSep 5 · 23:45K. Kufel1.601111113D. Poloszczanski2.103260LSep 5 · 22:35D. Poloszczanski2.9541013111B. Sulkowski1.35111211133LSep 5 · 21:55A. Lilien1.221112113D. Poloszczanski3.7041030WSep 5 · 19:40D. Poloszczanski2.40128612113B. Kwodawski1.501011111082LSep 5 · 18:30D. Poloszczanski2.47911110J. Michalczyk1.461113133LSep 5 · 17:20D. Poloszczanski—111251192K. Kufel—1310118113LSep 5 · 16:15B. Sulkowski1.6011116113D. Poloszczanski2.15791181LSep 5 · 15:25D. Poloszczanski3.50119101172A. Lilien1.25911128113WSep 4 · 22:55S. Wnek1.907230D. Poloszczanski1.771111113
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