TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13083479
Played Sep 5Finished
Bartosz Kwodawski
Home
3.05
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
5111181012118117
Aleksander Lilien
Away
1.31
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 16:31 and never touched — 63.5% is still 63.5%
Graded at full timeAleksander Lilien to win
63.5%
63.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
94 points played in total.
Set by set
5111181012118117
H2H Bartosz Kwodawski 6–13 Aleksander Lilien Bartosz Kwodawski has won 6 of their 19 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 16:31What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.31 (70%)
Lilien
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-13 in 19
Lilien
Wrong
gap of 7 in 19, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kwodawski 1347 vs Lilien 1520
Lilien
Wrong
both rated, 173 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kwodawski 40% vs Lilien 80%
Lilien
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kwodawski 40% vs Lilien 80%
Lilien
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kwodawski -2 · Lilien +4
Lilien
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 74% — Strong (leans Lilien) · live re-read · sealed at 64% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKwodawski 3.05 / Lilien 1.31
Signal prob.26% / 74%
Edge (Lilien)+4.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13083479
Kwodawski3.05
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog29% won 43 of 148
Down 0–1, comes back17% 16 of 93
Down 0–2, comes back10% 7 of 68
Lilien1.31
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite60% won 249 of 417
Up 2–0, closes it96% 128 of 133
Up 1–0, closes it78% 189 of 244
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKwodawski3wins
AwayLilien7wins
5 of 10 to a deciderLilien leads 7–3, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKwodawski66.7%2 of 3
AwayLilien85.7%6 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kwodawski3Lilien7n = 10Lilien took 7 of 10
S2Kwodawski6Lilien4n = 10Kwodawski took 6 of 10
S3Kwodawski5Lilien5n = 10split evenly
S4Kwodawski2Lilien6n = 8Lilien took 6 of 8
S5Kwodawski2Lilien3n = 5Lilien took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricKwodawskiLilienK − LBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match39.341.7−2.4per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKwodawskiLilienBasisWin rate · lifetime193 / 459 vs 826 / 152642.1%54.1%193 / 459 vs 826 / 1526Avg sets wonper match1.82.1per matchAvg pointsper match35.138.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LilienKwodawski 3.05/Lilien 1.31
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
74.4%
Lilien · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Kwodawski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WJul 8 · 09:50B. Kwodawski—814118123A. Lilien—1112411102
LJul 6 · 09:50B. Kwodawski—991341A. Lilien—111111113
LJun 23 · 12:15B. Kwodawski—971261A. Lilien—111110113
LJun 17 · 13:30B. Kwodawski—71111472A. Lilien—119411113
LJun 15 · 09:25B. Kwodawski—711651A. Lilien—11711113
WNov 21 · 15:20B. Kwodawski—1151011113A. Lilien—51112762
WNov 10 · 11:35B. Kwodawski—1111113A. Lilien—7490
LSep 19 · 13:30B. Kwodawski—9890A. Lilien—1111113
LSep 9 · 16:15B. Kwodawski—1111610142A. Lilien—581112163
LSep 9 · 14:20B. Kwodawski—91151172A. Lilien—119118113
B. Kwodawski10
LSep 5 · 19:40D. Poloszczanski2.40128612113B. Kwodawski1.501011111082LSep 5 · 18:55B. Sulkowski1.5311119113B. Kwodawski2.30671161LSep 5 · 16:35B. Kwodawski1.639550K. Kufel2.151111113LSep 5 · 15:50J. Michalczyk1.78311812113B. Kwodawski1.93116111042WSep 5 · 14:35J. Przewlocki1.85119881B. Kwodawski1.8551111113LSep 5 · 13:25B. Kwodawski2.90911621M. Minda1.3511911113WSep 5 · 12:10J. Wozniak1.8710650B. Kwodawski1.811211113LSep 5 · 10:55K. Klocek1.9511811113B. Kwodawski1.77911451LSep 5 · 09:20A. Mugowski1.90921111113B. Kwodawski1.7511115842WSep 2 · 14:40B. Kwodawski1.5711118113M. Zwolinski2.20491151
A. Lilien10
LSep 7 · 24:10A. Myszewski2.401211113A. Lilien1.5110490LSep 6 · 23:45A. Lilien1.66118991A. Linek2.1071111113LSep 6 · 22:55A. Lilien1.66511961B. Sulkowski2.0511711113WSep 6 · 21:05A. Lilien1.471111113M. Trela2.453880WSep 6 · 20:05A. Wos1.63115111082A. Lilien2.10911712113LSep 6 · 19:20A. Myszewski2.301111113A. Lilien1.528560LSep 6 · 17:20J. Michalczyk1.90111275113A. Lilien1.80710111182WSep 6 · 16:35B. Sulkowski2.258115101A. Lilien1.5511811123LSep 6 · 15:00M. Trela3.051111113A. Lilien1.319890LSep 6 · 24:10A. Lilien1.83713291K. Kufel1.83111111113
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