TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13059568
Played Sep 1Finished
Bartlomiej Mrugala
Home
2.10
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
116118811114––
Wojciech Gluszek
Away
1.63
At publish
Won last 7Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 7
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:56 and never touched — 57.2% is still 57.2%
Graded at full timeWojciech Gluszek to win
57.2%
57.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
70 points played in total.
Set by set
116118811114––
H2H Bartlomiej Mrugala 4–7 Wojciech Gluszek Bartlomiej Mrugala has won 4 of their 11 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 15:56What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.63 (56%)
Gluszek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-7 in 11
Gluszek
Wrong
gap of 3 in 11, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Mrugala 1252 vs Gluszek 1313
Gluszek
Wrong
both rated, 60 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Mrugala 80% vs Gluszek 100%
Gluszek
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Mrugala 60% vs Gluszek 70%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Mrugala -1 · Gluszek +5
Gluszek
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Gluszek) · live re-read · sealed at 57% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Gluszek form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (61%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMrugala 2.10 / Gluszek 1.63
Signal prob.43% / 57%
Edge (Gluszek)+0.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13059568
Mrugala2.10
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog44% won 116 of 264
Down 0–1, comes back20% 27 of 135
Down 0–2, comes back6% 4 of 69
Gluszek1.63
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 7
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite58% won 191 of 328
Up 2–0, closes it95% 98 of 103
Up 1–0, closes it78% 149 of 190
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMrugala4wins
AwayGluszek6wins
3 of 10 to a deciderGluszek leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMrugala66.7%2 of 3
AwayGluszek71.4%5 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Mrugala3Gluszek7n = 10Gluszek took 7 of 10
S2Mrugala6Gluszek4n = 10Mrugala took 6 of 10
S3Mrugala4Gluszek6n = 10Gluszek took 6 of 10
S4Mrugala3Gluszek2n = 5Mrugala took 3 of 5
S5Mrugala1Gluszek2n = 3Gluszek took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricMrugalaGluszekM − GBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match35.738.7−3.0per matchSweeps23−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMrugalaGluszekBasisWin rate · lifetime287 / 633 vs 863 / 181045.3%47.7%287 / 633 vs 863 / 1810Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.536.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
GluszekMrugala 2.10/Gluszek 1.63
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
56.7%
Gluszek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Mrugala won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 21 · 21:05B. Mrugala—131196102W. Gluszek—1161111123
WAug 21 · 15:00B. Mrugala—1111113W. Gluszek—5690
WJun 3 · 19:05B. Mrugala—71311113W. Gluszek—1111891
LMar 24 · 15:35B. Mrugala—1311871W. Gluszek—15711113
LMar 10 · 18:05B. Mrugala—6590W. Gluszek—1111113
LFeb 26 · 15:35B. Mrugala—141131192W. Gluszek—169119113
WFeb 16 · 18:05B. Mrugala—4101211113W. Gluszek—111210892
WJan 29 · 15:35B. Mrugala—1111113W. Gluszek—8790
LJan 22 · 15:35B. Mrugala—13670W. Gluszek—1511113
LJan 21 · 20:30B. Mrugala—3790W. Gluszek—1111113
B. Mrugala10
LSep 2 · 24:10B. Mrugala1.668970K. Marchlewski2.051111113LSep 1 · 23:20B. Mrugala1.857111031J. Rolak1.8511912113WSep 1 · 21:55B. Mrugala1.901311511113B. Wisniewski1.8015711692WSep 1 · 21:30B. Mrugala1.911111113W. Gluszek1.803680LSep 1 · 20:30B. Mrugala1.908114101J. Rolak1.8011811123LSep 1 · 18:55B. Mrugala2.2011791132D. Szlubowski1.57711119113LSep 1 · 16:15B. Mrugala1.95891281B. Wisniewski1.70111110113WSep 1 · 15:00B. Mrugala1.5871111133K. Marchlewski2.181139111WSep 1 · 24:35B. Mrugala2.171111113M. Piecowski1.597880WAug 31 · 23:45M. Piecowski1.9811116972B. Mrugala1.73991111113
W. Gluszek10
WSep 4 · 24:10M. Trela1.859870W. Gluszek1.851111113WSep 3 · 23:45W. Gluszek1.861611113113K. Golaszewski1.8018881172WSep 3 · 22:55W. Gluszek2.15118114123K. Sulkowski1.63911911102WSep 3 · 21:05W. Gluszek1.8011117113J. Rolak1.90961191WSep 3 · 20:05K. Sulkowski1.55127661W. Gluszek2.25101111113WSep 3 · 19:20J. Rolak1.5210630W. Gluszek2.351211113LSep 3 · 17:20M. Kowalczyk1.751111113W. Gluszek1.904460LSep 3 · 16:35K. Golaszewski1.791111113W. Gluszek1.885890LSep 3 · 15:00M. Trela1.8531111113W. Gluszek1.80118841LSep 1 · 21:30B. Mrugala1.911111113W. Gluszek1.803680
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