TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13093726
Played Sep 7Finished
Bartlomiej Mrugala
Home
1.95
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 4
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
611119811117116
Jakub Nosiadek
Away
1.74
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 16:02 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJakub Nosiadek to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
91 points played in total.
Set by set
611119811117116
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 16:02What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.74 (53%)
Nosiadek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Mrugala 1225 vs Nosiadek 1210
Mrugala
Correct
both rated, 14 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Mrugala 20% vs Nosiadek 20%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Mrugala 30% vs Nosiadek 50%
Nosiadek
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Mrugala -4 · Nosiadek -1
Mrugala
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Nosiadek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Nosiadek form (20%) is below what odds imply (57%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMrugala 1.95 / Nosiadek 1.74
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Nosiadek)+1.2pp
TT Elite Series · #13093726
Mrugala1.95
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog44% won 115 of 261
Down 0–1, comes back21% 27 of 132
Down 0–2, comes back6% 4 of 66
Nosiadek1.74
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite48% won 12 of 25
Up 1–0, closes it64% 9 of 14
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricMrugalaNosiadekBasisWin rate · lifetime290 / 642 vs 30 / 8745.2%34.5%290 / 642 vs 30 / 87Avg sets wonper match1.91.5per matchAvg pointsper match37.435.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
Forecastthe model predicts this market
Match Winner
NosiadekMrugala 1.95/Nosiadek 1.74
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Nosiadek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Mrugala won
Handicap · Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
B. Mrugala10
WSep 7 · 18:30B. Mrugala2.2511157113J. Przewlocki1.544131171LSep 7 · 16:15W. Iwasyszyn1.7181111123B. Mrugala2.001138101LSep 7 · 15:25B. Mrugala2.356590M. Trela1.511111113LSep 2 · 24:10B. Mrugala1.668970K. Marchlewski2.051111113LSep 1 · 23:20B. Mrugala1.857111031J. Rolak1.8511912113WSep 1 · 21:55B. Mrugala1.901311511113B. Wisniewski1.8015711692WSep 1 · 21:30B. Mrugala1.911111113W. Gluszek1.803680LSep 1 · 20:30B. Mrugala1.908114101J. Rolak1.8011811123LSep 1 · 18:55B. Mrugala2.2011791132D. Szlubowski1.57711119113WSep 1 · 17:45B. Mrugala2.1011118113W. Gluszek1.63681141
J. Nosiadek10
LSep 7 · 16:35P. Strus1.9512911113J. Nosiadek1.761011871WSep 7 · 15:00W. Iwasyszyn1.7598120J. Nosiadek1.951111143LSep 7 · 14:20M. Minda1.421111113J. Nosiadek2.606970LSep 7 · 13:30S. Brud1.3811611113J. Nosiadek2.75711781LSep 7 · 11:25A. Szoltysek1.831111113J. Nosiadek1.865560WSep 7 · 10:35M. Zwolinski1.901854101J. Nosiadek1.75161111123LSep 7 · 09:00A. Sobel1.461111113J. Nosiadek2.503480WAug 24 · 19:40J. Nosiadek1.36511411113P. Strus2.9511511392WAug 24 · 18:30J. Nosiadek1.441151112113W. Gluszek2.50611131082WAug 24 · 17:20J. Nosiadek1.7411119113B. Wisniewski1.95751171
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