TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13092493
Played Sep 7Finished
Michal Minda
Home
1.42
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
116119117––––
Jakub Nosiadek
Away
2.60
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:10 and never touched — 70.7% is still 70.7%
Graded at full timeMichal Minda to win
70.7%
70.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
55 points played in total.
Set by set
116119117––––
H2H Michal Minda 1–0 Jakub Nosiadek Jakub Nosiadek has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 12:10What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.42 (65%)
Minda
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Minda 1519 vs Nosiadek 1207
Minda
Correct
both rated, 311 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Minda 60% vs Nosiadek 40%
Minda
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Minda 50% vs Nosiadek 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Minda +1 · Nosiadek -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 68% — Clear lean (leans Minda) · live re-read · sealed at 71% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Minda form (60%) is below what odds imply (70%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMinda 1.42 / Nosiadek 2.60
Signal prob.68% / 33%
Edge (Minda)+2.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13092493
Minda1.42
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite62% won 298 of 484
Up 2–0, closes it97% 124 of 128
Up 1–0, closes it81% 222 of 275
Nosiadek2.60
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog31% won 12 of 39
Down 0–1, comes back23% 7 of 30
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 17
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeMinda1wins
AwayNosiadek0wins
Minda leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricMindaNosiadekM − NBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match45.038.0+7.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMindaNosiadekBasisWin rate · lifetime1028 / 2015 vs 29 / 8451%34.5%1028 / 2015 vs 29 / 84Avg sets wonper match2.01.5per matchAvg pointsper match39.235.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MindaMinda 1.42/Nosiadek 2.60
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
67.5%
Minda · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Minda won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WJun 13 · 10:20M. Minda—111110133J. Nosiadek—6912111
M. Minda10
WSep 7 · 12:40A. Szoltysek2.851051171M. Minda1.3512114113LSep 7 · 11:50A. Sobel1.901110167133M. Minda1.809121411112WSep 7 · 11:00M. Minda1.907111111113S. Brud1.8011813872WSep 7 · 09:50M. Minda1.2571111113M. Zwolinski3.40113531LSep 7 · 08:05M. Minda1.5910860D. Solilo2.161211113LSep 7 · 06:25J. Zochniak1.54111111113M. Minda2.25881381LSep 7 · 05:35M. Sklensky1.471111113M. Minda2.459480WSep 7 · 04:50M. Minda2.80101113153K. Wisniewski1.3712811131LSep 7 · 03:40M. Minda1.95711101182A. Sobel1.76119129113WSep 5 · 14:15K. Klocek2.70101113121M. Minda1.3512815143
J. Nosiadek10
LSep 7 · 13:30S. Brud1.3811611113J. Nosiadek2.75711781LSep 7 · 11:25A. Szoltysek1.831111113J. Nosiadek1.865560WSep 7 · 10:35M. Zwolinski1.901854101J. Nosiadek1.75161111123LSep 7 · 09:00A. Sobel1.461111113J. Nosiadek2.503480WAug 24 · 19:40J. Nosiadek1.36511411113P. Strus2.9511511392WAug 24 · 18:30J. Nosiadek1.441151112113W. Gluszek2.50611131082WAug 24 · 17:20J. Nosiadek1.7411119113B. Wisniewski1.95751171WAug 24 · 16:15M. Trela1.574390J. Nosiadek2.201111113LAug 24 · 15:25J. Nosiadek1.8391090M. Kowalczyk1.871112113LAug 24 · 14:40J. Nosiadek4.9066111172L. Pietraszko1.12111157113
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