TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13091632
Played Sep 7Finished
Artur Sobel
Home
1.90
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
119101216147111311
Michal Minda
Away
1.80
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:38 and never touched — 57.7% is still 57.7%
Graded at full timeArtur Sobel to win
57.7%
57.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
114 points played in total.
Set by set
119101216147111311
H2H Artur Sobel 72–58 Michal Minda Michal Minda has won 58 of their 130 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 09:38What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Minda
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
72-58 in 130
Sobel
Correct
gap of 14 in 130, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sobel 1531 vs Minda 1525
Sobel
Correct
both rated, 6 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sobel 40% vs Minda 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sobel 40% vs Minda 60%
Minda
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Sobel -1 · Minda +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Minda) · live re-read · sealed at 42% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Minda form (40%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSobel 1.90 / Minda 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Minda)+2.6pp
TT Elite Series · #13091632
Sobel1.90
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog45% won 91 of 202
Down 0–1, comes back24% 27 of 111
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 49
Minda1.80
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite62% won 298 of 484
Up 2–0, closes it97% 124 of 128
Up 1–0, closes it81% 222 of 275
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSobel6wins
AwayMinda4wins
6 of 10 to a deciderSobel leads 6–4, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSobel50%2 of 4
AwayMinda33.3%2 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sobel4Minda6n = 10Minda took 6 of 10
S2Sobel5Minda5n = 10split evenly
S3Sobel5Minda5n = 10split evenly
S4Sobel4Minda6n = 10Minda took 6 of 10
S5Sobel5Minda1n = 6Sobel took 5 of 6
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home550%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricSobelMindaS − MBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match44.442.8+1.6per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSobelMindaBasisWin rate · lifetime636 / 1188 vs 1027 / 201353.5%51%636 / 1188 vs 1027 / 2013Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.839.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MindaSobel 1.90/Minda 1.80
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Minda · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Sobel won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 7 · 03:40A. Sobel—119129113M. Minda—711101182
WSep 1 · 04:50A. Sobel—771111113M. Minda—11115532
WAug 31 · 14:20A. Sobel—711118143M. Minda—118811122
LAug 31 · 06:25A. Sobel—148791M. Minda—121111113
LAug 25 · 05:35A. Sobel—101171162M. Minda—128116113
WAug 18 · 10:35A. Sobel—711811113M. Minda—11711892
LAug 18 · 06:00A. Sobel—981191M. Minda—11114113
WAug 17 · 06:25A. Sobel—1011119113M. Minda—12881182
WAug 11 · 09:00A. Sobel—11119113M. Minda—691191
LAug 11 · 03:40A. Sobel—114891M. Minda—51111113
A. Sobel10
LSep 7 · 10:10A. Sobel1.3065111192A. Szoltysek3.15111186113WSep 7 · 09:00A. Sobel1.461111113J. Nosiadek2.503480LSep 7 · 07:40J. Zochniak1.72119119133A. Sobel2.00711811112LSep 7 · 06:50M. Sklensky1.471112133A. Sobel2.45610110WSep 7 · 06:00A. Sobel2.60121111113K. Wisniewski1.42149591WSep 7 · 04:25A. Sobel2.2011116113D. Solilo1.57221111WSep 7 · 03:40M. Minda1.95711101182A. Sobel1.76119129113LSep 1 · 14:20A. Sobel1.9311128992K. Rudomina1.775101111113LSep 1 · 12:40P. Blocho2.001111113A. Sobel1.709830LSep 1 · 11:50G. Kesik2.10611135113A. Sobel1.65112111162
M. Minda10
WSep 7 · 12:40A. Szoltysek2.851051171M. Minda1.3512114113WSep 7 · 11:00M. Minda1.907111111113S. Brud1.8011813872WSep 7 · 09:50M. Minda1.2571111113M. Zwolinski3.40113531LSep 7 · 08:05M. Minda1.5910860D. Solilo2.161211113LSep 7 · 06:25J. Zochniak1.54111111113M. Minda2.25881381LSep 7 · 05:35M. Sklensky1.471111113M. Minda2.459480WSep 7 · 04:50M. Minda2.80101113153K. Wisniewski1.3712811131LSep 7 · 03:40M. Minda1.95711101182A. Sobel1.76119129113WSep 5 · 14:15K. Klocek2.70101113121M. Minda1.3512815143WSep 5 · 13:25B. Kwodawski2.90911621M. Minda1.3511911113
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.