TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13091015
Played Sep 7Finished
Artur Sobel
Home
1.30
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
611511118116911
Artur Szoltysek
Away
3.15
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 07:37 and never touched — 64.7% is still 64.7%
Graded at full timeArtur Sobel to win
64.7%
64.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
89 points played in total.
Set by set
611511118116911
H2H Artur Sobel 12–3 Artur Szoltysek Artur Szoltysek has won 3 of their 15 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 07:37What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.30 (71%)
Sobel
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
12-3 in 15
Sobel
Wrong
gap of 9 in 15, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sobel 1550 vs Szoltysek 1240
Sobel
Wrong
both rated, 310 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sobel 60% vs Szoltysek 20%
Sobel
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sobel 40% vs Szoltysek 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Sobel +1 · Szoltysek -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 77% — Strong (leans Sobel) · live re-read · sealed at 65% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Szoltysek form (20%) is below what odds imply (32%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSobel 1.30 / Szoltysek 3.15
Signal prob.77% / 23%
Edge (Sobel)+6.3pp
TT Elite Series · #13091015
Sobel1.30
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite55% won 174 of 314
Up 2–0, closes it93% 71 of 76
Up 1–0, closes it77% 124 of 161
Szoltysek3.15
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog42% won 61 of 146
Down 0–1, comes back21% 15 of 72
Down 0–2, comes back7% 2 of 31
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSobel8wins
AwaySzoltysek2wins
1 of 10 to a deciderSobel leads 8–2, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSobel87.5%7 of 8
AwaySzoltysekn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sobel8Szoltysek2n = 10Sobel took 8 of 10
S2Sobel5Szoltysek5n = 10split evenly
S3Sobel8Szoltysek2n = 10Sobel took 8 of 10
S4Sobel6Szoltysek2n = 8Sobel took 6 of 8
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home660%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricSobelSzoltysekSobel − SzoltysekBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match40.534.7+5.8per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSobelSzoltysekBasisWin rate · lifetime636 / 1187 vs 234 / 55053.6%42.6%636 / 1187 vs 234 / 550Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match39.838.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SobelSobel 1.30/Szoltysek 3.15
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
77.1%
Sobel · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Szoltysek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WFeb 9 · 10:25A. Sobel—11611113A. Szoltysek—711981
WJan 13 · 14:05A. Sobel—111011113A. Szoltysek—912681
LJan 13 · 05:55A. Sobel—81111862A. Szoltysek—116911113
WDec 30 · 15:20A. Sobel—11115113A. Szoltysek—741161
WSep 29 · 11:00A. Sobel—1111113A. Szoltysek—5770
WJul 29 · 09:00A. Sobel—14911113A. Szoltysek—1211991
WJul 29 · 03:50A. Sobel—111011113A. Szoltysek—412881
LJan 21 · 13:15A. Sobel—117881A. Szoltysek—71111113
WJan 21 · 07:55A. Sobel—101111183A. Szoltysek—1277161
WJan 20 · 14:05A. Sobel—1411113A. Szoltysek—12780
A. Sobel10
WSep 7 · 11:50A. Sobel1.901110167133M. Minda1.809121411112WSep 7 · 09:00A. Sobel1.461111113J. Nosiadek2.503480LSep 7 · 07:40J. Zochniak1.72119119133A. Sobel2.00711811112LSep 7 · 06:50M. Sklensky1.471112133A. Sobel2.45610110WSep 7 · 06:00A. Sobel2.60121111113K. Wisniewski1.42149591WSep 7 · 04:25A. Sobel2.2011116113D. Solilo1.57221111WSep 7 · 03:40M. Minda1.95711101182A. Sobel1.76119129113LSep 1 · 14:20A. Sobel1.9311128992K. Rudomina1.775101111113LSep 1 · 12:40P. Blocho2.001111113A. Sobel1.709830LSep 1 · 11:50G. Kesik2.10611135113A. Sobel1.65112111162
A. Szoltysek10
WSep 7 · 11:25A. Szoltysek1.831111113J. Nosiadek1.865560LSep 7 · 09:25A. Szoltysek3.057101261S. Brud1.31111210113LSep 7 · 08:35A. Szoltysek1.90121011992M. Zwolinski1.751012911113WSep 7 · 06:55A. Szoltysek1.68111211113B. Wisniewski2.05714631LSep 7 · 05:40A. Szoltysek2.7557110S. Brud1.381111133LSep 7 · 04:10A. Szoltysek2.6511561182B. Czerwinski1.40711119113WSep 7 · 03:00A. Szoltysek2.0512117113K. Sulkowski1.681021181LSep 5 · 14:20A. Szoltysek1.851191361W. Iwasyszyn1.8561115113WSep 5 · 12:40J. Rolak1.80961181A. Szoltysek1.9011118113LSep 5 · 11:50T. Piotrowski1.8311211113A. Szoltysek1.83911991
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