TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13090697
Played Sep 7Finished
Artur Sobel
Home
1.46
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
113114118––––
Jakub Nosiadek
Away
2.50
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 06:17 and never touched — 58.5% is still 58.5%
Graded at full timeJakub Nosiadek to win
58.5%
58.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
48 points played in total.
Set by set
113114118––––
H2H Artur Sobel 1–0 Jakub Nosiadek Jakub Nosiadek has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 06:17What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.46 (63%)
Sobel
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Sobel 1546 vs Nosiadek 1216
Sobel
Correct
both rated, 330 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sobel 60% vs Nosiadek 80%
Nosiadek
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sobel 40% vs Nosiadek 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Sobel -2 · Nosiadek +4
Nosiadek
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Sobel) · live re-read · sealed at 42% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Nosiadek form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSobel 1.46 / Nosiadek 2.50
Signal prob.66% / 34%
Edge (Sobel)+2.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13090697
Sobel1.46
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite55% won 174 of 314
Up 2–0, closes it93% 71 of 76
Up 1–0, closes it77% 124 of 161
Nosiadek2.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog31% won 12 of 39
Down 0–1, comes back23% 7 of 30
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 17
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeSobel1wins
AwayNosiadek0wins
1 of 1 to a deciderSobel leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home1
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricSobelNosiadekS − NBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match45.044.0+1.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSobelNosiadekBasisWin rate · lifetime635 / 1186 vs 28 / 8053.5%35%635 / 1186 vs 28 / 80Avg sets wonper match2.11.6per matchAvg pointsper match39.836.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SobelSobel 1.46/Nosiadek 2.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
65.9%
Sobel · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Sobel won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WAug 24 · 13:05A. Sobel—115117113J. Nosiadek—61171192
A. Sobel10
LSep 7 · 07:40J. Zochniak1.72119119133A. Sobel2.00711811112LSep 7 · 06:50M. Sklensky1.471112133A. Sobel2.45610110WSep 7 · 06:00A. Sobel2.60121111113K. Wisniewski1.42149591WSep 7 · 04:25A. Sobel2.2011116113D. Solilo1.57221111WSep 7 · 03:40M. Minda1.95711101182A. Sobel1.76119129113LSep 1 · 14:20A. Sobel1.9311128992K. Rudomina1.775101111113LSep 1 · 12:40P. Blocho2.001111113A. Sobel1.709830LSep 1 · 11:50G. Kesik2.10611135113A. Sobel1.65112111162LSep 1 · 11:00A. Sobel1.937811111B. Czerwinski1.7811118133WSep 1 · 09:50A. Sobel1.712111111113S. Brud1.9711135942
J. Nosiadek10
WAug 24 · 19:40J. Nosiadek1.36511411113P. Strus2.9511511392WAug 24 · 18:30J. Nosiadek1.441151112113W. Gluszek2.50611131082WAug 24 · 17:20J. Nosiadek1.7411119113B. Wisniewski1.95751171WAug 24 · 16:15M. Trela1.574390J. Nosiadek2.201111113LAug 24 · 15:25J. Nosiadek1.8391090M. Kowalczyk1.871112113LAug 24 · 14:40J. Nosiadek4.9066111172L. Pietraszko1.12111157113LAug 24 · 13:05J. Nosiadek4.0061171192A. Sobel1.19115117113WAug 24 · 11:50J. Nosiadek1.85118812113P. Blocho1.85411111092LAug 24 · 10:10J. Nosiadek1.8010380A. Lilien1.851211113LAug 24 · 09:00J. Nosiadek4.857111371M. Balcerzak1.1311815113
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